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BTC and ETH On-Chain Data Analysis – May 27, 2026

CoinDirection On-Chain Data Analysis

Daily Bitcoin and Ethereum on-chain analysis based on exchange flows, ETF net flows and whale activity.
Source: Dune
Updated: May 27, 2026 08:43 UTC

Market Overview

Bitcoin's latest exchange netflow dropped significantly versus recent averages, indicating lower immediate sell pressure, but ETF outflows remain negative and have intensified. Whale activity has sharply declined, reducing potential distribution signals. Over the past week, Bitcoin's exchange inflows have declined substantially, indicating accumulation or reduced selling, but ETF flows remain persistently negative, signaling ongoing demand challenges. Whale activity has consistently decreased, limiting strong directional conviction.

Daily On-Chain Analysis

Bitcoin Daily On-Chain Flow Analysis
Bias: neutral | Confidence: medium

Bitcoin's latest exchange netflow dropped significantly versus recent averages, indicating lower immediate sell pressure, but ETF outflows remain negative and have intensified. Whale activity has sharply declined, reducing potential distribution signals.

Key points
  • Exchange netflow down 71% vs 3-day average, signaling reduced sell pressure
  • ETF netflow remains negative and worsened by over 100% vs 3-day average
  • Whale transaction count and volume decreased by ~60%
  • Daily signals show mixed demand pressure with subdued whale activity
Risks
  • Negative ETF flows may continue to weigh on demand
  • Lower whale activity could reduce market liquidity
  • Sudden changes in exchange flows could increase volatility

Conclusion: In the short term, Bitcoin shows reduced exchange inflows suggesting less immediate sell pressure, but persistent negative ETF flows and declining whale activity create a mixed outlook with moderate uncertainty.

Bitcoin Medium-Term On-Chain Trends
Bias: bearish | Confidence: medium

Over the past week, Bitcoin's exchange inflows have declined substantially, indicating accumulation or reduced selling, but ETF flows remain persistently negative, signaling ongoing demand challenges. Whale activity has consistently decreased, limiting strong directional conviction.

Key points
  • Exchange netflows down 58% vs 7-day average, suggesting accumulation
  • ETF netflows negative but improving vs 7-day average by 62%
  • Whale activity down over 57% in volume and 59% in count
  • ETF outflows still indicate demand pressure despite some improvement
Risks
  • Sustained negative ETF flows could suppress price recovery
  • Low whale activity may reduce market support
  • Potential for renewed selling if exchange inflows rise

Conclusion: Bitcoin's medium-term trend shows signs of accumulation with lower exchange inflows, but persistent negative ETF flows and subdued whale participation suggest cautious sentiment and potential for continued demand headwinds.

Ethereum Daily On-Chain Flow Analysis
Bias: bullish | Confidence: medium

Ethereum's latest exchange netflow turned strongly positive after a period of outflows, accompanied by a sharp increase in positive ETF inflows. Whale activity, however, has dropped significantly, which may limit immediate momentum.

Key points
  • Exchange netflow shifted from negative to +2858 ETH, a strong reversal
  • ETF netflow surged to +6824 ETH, a large positive inflow
  • Whale transaction count and volume decreased by over 75%
  • Daily data indicates renewed demand but subdued whale engagement
Risks
  • Declining whale activity may reduce sustained buying pressure
  • Exchange inflows could reverse quickly, increasing volatility
  • ETF inflows, while strong, may not fully offset other risks

Conclusion: Ethereum's short-term on-chain data points to renewed accumulation and demand driven by positive exchange and ETF flows, though diminished whale activity tempers confidence in sustained momentum.

Ethereum Medium-Term On-Chain Trends
Bias: bullish | Confidence: medium

Ethereum has shifted from persistent exchange outflows and negative ETF flows to sustained positive inflows in both metrics over the past week, signaling improving demand dynamics. Whale activity remains low, which could moderate the strength of this trend.

Key points
  • Exchange netflows improved over 100% vs 7-day average, now positive
  • ETF netflows reversed from negative to strong positive inflows
  • Whale activity down over 64% in volume and 77% in count
  • Medium-term data shows improving demand but limited whale support
Risks
  • Low whale participation may limit trend durability
  • Potential for exchange inflows to normalize or reverse
  • ETF inflows may fluctuate with market sentiment shifts

Conclusion: Ethereum's medium-term on-chain trends indicate a clear shift toward accumulation and demand recovery, supported by positive exchange and ETF flows, though subdued whale activity suggests cautious optimism.

Bitcoin

Bitcoin Exchange Net Flow
0.00000797
Bitcoin ETF Net Flow
-906.55
Bitcoin Whale Tx
234
Bitcoin Moved by Whales
168.69K

Bitcoin Exchange Flows

Bitcoin ETF Net Flow

Bitcoin Whale Activity

Bitcoin Summary Tables

Latest Bitcoin Exchange Flows
DateBitcoin InflowBitcoin OutflowBitcoin Net Flow
2026-05-270.000339640.000331680.00000797
2026-05-260.000770020.000725240.00004478
2026-05-250.000563660.000543990.00001966
2026-05-240.000372090.000353390.00001870
2026-05-230.000478180.000473190.00000498
2026-05-220.000492940.00049937-0.00000643
2026-05-210.000440230.000408790.00003144
2026-05-200.000545560.000524100.00002146
2026-05-190.000392970.000372270.00002070
2026-05-180.000458410.000412730.00004568
2026-05-170.000208170.000201510.00000666
2026-05-160.000255390.000253030.00000236
2026-05-150.000411970.00042250-0.00001053
2026-05-140.000359750.00039091-0.00003115
2026-05-130.000525970.000491300.00003467
Latest Bitcoin ETF Net Flows
DateBitcoin ETF Net Flow
2026-05-26-906.55
2026-05-250.00
2026-05-230.00
2026-05-22-1,300.72
2026-05-21-793.26
2026-05-20-3,938.30
2026-05-19-6,931.43
2026-05-18-3,767.51
2026-05-151,441.63
2026-05-14-6,197.63
2026-05-13-2,236.12
2026-05-12-103.18
2026-05-11-671.76
2026-05-100.00
2026-05-090.00
Latest Bitcoin Whale Activity
DateWhale TxBitcoin Moved
2026-05-27234168,687.54
2026-05-26828476,098.92
2026-05-25444428,377.98
2026-05-24449313,122.11
2026-05-23454307,998.21
2026-05-22656502,252.66
2026-05-21581354,632.30
2026-05-20635364,379.35
2026-05-19717482,318.57
2026-05-18652428,156.49
2026-05-17333241,393.06
2026-05-16324373,132.27
2026-05-15757491,766.14
2026-05-14836487,844.87
2026-05-13801473,397.74

Ethereum

Ethereum Exchange Net Flow
2,858.30
Ethereum ETF Net Flow
6,824.72
Ethereum Whale Tx
73
Ethereum Moved by Whales
435.24K

Ethereum Exchange Flows

Ethereum ETF Net Flow

Ethereum Whale Activity

Ethereum Summary Tables

Latest Ethereum Exchange Flows
DateEthereum InflowEthereum OutflowEthereum Net Flow
2026-05-2757,758.6754,900.372,858.30
2026-05-26237,545.32331,792.81-94,247.48
2026-05-25245,723.81274,517.99-28,794.19
2026-05-24162,747.65205,306.85-42,559.20
2026-05-23447,114.69443,333.583,781.10
2026-05-22385,668.54454,131.30-68,462.76
2026-05-21328,684.13345,990.14-17,306.01
2026-05-20332,406.14319,412.9912,993.15
2026-05-19422,086.61662,691.30-240,604.69
2026-05-18521,990.35725,663.41-203,673.05
2026-05-17135,908.62189,780.94-53,872.33
2026-05-16171,565.55149,476.5422,089.00
2026-05-15464,217.78563,289.59-99,071.81
2026-05-14351,080.91413,231.74-62,150.83
2026-05-13485,654.24554,155.68-68,501.44
Latest Ethereum ETF Net Flows
DateEthereum ETF Net Flow
2026-05-276,824.72
2026-05-26-4,923.23
2026-05-25-3,326.94
2026-05-241,138.82
2026-05-2354.67
2026-05-22-15,441.50
2026-05-21-14,112.53
2026-05-20538.45
2026-05-19-37,095.73
2026-05-18-14,232.35
2026-05-17-6,058.98
2026-05-162,270.63
2026-05-15-8,052.57
2026-05-14-7,408.69
2026-05-13-44,451.38
Latest Ethereum Whale Activity
DateWhale TxEthereum Moved
2026-05-2773435,238.45
2026-05-263781,387,364.07
2026-05-253071,204,085.43
2026-05-24187672,693.71
2026-05-234171,771,801.60
2026-05-223481,493,405.60
2026-05-213711,116,047.07
2026-05-20281942,346.99
2026-05-194321,499,581.89
2026-05-186621,991,965.90
2026-05-173011,192,996.37
2026-05-163381,224,824.70
2026-05-155261,895,714.06
2026-05-144381,556,966.69
2026-05-135392,116,879.30