Skip to main content

Coin Direction Telegram Channel

BTC and ETH On-Chain Data Analysis – May 21, 2026

CoinDirection On-Chain Data Analysis

Daily Bitcoin and Ethereum on-chain analysis based on exchange flows, ETF net flows and whale activity.
Source: Dune
Updated: May 21, 2026 05:48 UTC

Market Overview

Bitcoin's latest exchange netflow is slightly positive but significantly lower than recent averages, while ETF outflows have intensified. Whale activity has dropped sharply, reducing immediate directional conviction. Over the past week, Bitcoin's exchange netflows have stabilized near zero with persistent ETF outflows, while whale activity remains historically low, indicating a lack of strong accumulation or distribution trends.

Daily On-Chain Analysis

Bitcoin Daily On-Chain Flow Analysis
Bias: neutral | Confidence: medium

Bitcoin's latest exchange netflow is slightly positive but significantly lower than recent averages, while ETF outflows have intensified. Whale activity has dropped sharply, reducing immediate directional conviction.

Key points
  • Exchange netflow slightly positive but down 73% vs 3-day average
  • ETF net outflows increased by 28% vs 3-day average
  • Whale transaction count and volume down over 80%
  • Reduced whale activity limits strong positioning signals
Risks
  • ETF outflows could pressure demand further
  • Low whale activity may reduce liquidity and increase volatility
  • Small positive exchange inflows could still trigger sell pressure
  • Conflicting signals between exchange and ETF flows

Conclusion: Bitcoin's daily on-chain data presents mixed signals with subdued exchange inflows and growing ETF outflows, compounded by sharply reduced whale activity, suggesting a neutral near-term outlook with potential for volatility due to conflicting flows.

Bitcoin Medium-Term On-Chain Trends
Bias: neutral | Confidence: medium

Over the past week, Bitcoin's exchange netflows have stabilized near zero with persistent ETF outflows, while whale activity remains historically low, indicating a lack of strong accumulation or distribution trends.

Key points
  • Exchange netflows stable around zero over 7 days
  • ETF outflows deepened by nearly 50% vs 7-day average
  • Whale activity remains suppressed by over 80%
  • No clear accumulation or distribution trend established
Risks
  • Sustained ETF outflows may weigh on demand
  • Low whale engagement could limit market depth
  • Exchange flows near zero may precede volatility
  • Potential for sudden shifts if whale activity resumes

Conclusion: Bitcoin's medium-term on-chain profile shows a balance between neutral exchange flows and persistent ETF outflows, with diminished whale participation, resulting in a neutral bias lacking strong directional conviction.

Ethereum Daily On-Chain Flow Analysis
Bias: mixed | Confidence: medium

Ethereum's exchange and ETF net outflows have sharply decreased compared to recent averages, indicating a slowdown in accumulation or reduced sell pressure. Whale activity has also dropped significantly, adding uncertainty to the short-term outlook.

Key points
  • Exchange net outflows reduced by about 97% vs 3-day average
  • ETF outflows decreased by over 98% vs 3-day average
  • Whale transaction count and volume down nearly 90%
  • Reduced outflows may signal pause in accumulation or distribution
Risks
  • Lower outflows could precede renewed sell pressure
  • Minimal whale activity reduces clarity on positioning
  • ETF flows remain negative, limiting bullish demand signals
  • Potential for volatility due to conflicting signals

Conclusion: Ethereum's daily on-chain data reflects a sharp decline in exchange and ETF outflows alongside subdued whale activity, producing mixed signals that suggest a pause or transition phase in market dynamics.

Ethereum Medium-Term On-Chain Trends
Bias: neutral | Confidence: medium

Ethereum's medium-term trend shows persistent negative exchange and ETF netflows, though these have diminished significantly recently. Whale activity remains very low, indicating a lack of strong directional momentum.

Key points
  • Exchange net outflows remain negative but reduced by ~95% vs 7-day average
  • ETF net outflows persist but sharply decreased
  • Whale activity suppressed by over 90%
  • No clear accumulation or distribution trend established
Risks
  • Continued negative ETF flows may pressure demand
  • Low whale engagement limits market depth and signals
  • Reduced outflows could precede trend reversal or volatility
  • Potential for sudden shifts if whale activity picks up

Conclusion: Ethereum's medium-term on-chain data indicates ongoing negative flows with sharply reduced magnitude and minimal whale activity, resulting in a neutral bias with no clear trend direction established.

Bitcoin

Bitcoin Exchange Net Flow
0.00000791
Bitcoin ETF Net Flow
-3,938.30
Bitcoin Whale Tx
105
Bitcoin Moved by Whales
72.66K

Bitcoin Exchange Flows

Bitcoin ETF Net Flow

Bitcoin Whale Activity

Bitcoin Summary Tables

Latest Bitcoin Exchange Flows
DateBitcoin InflowBitcoin OutflowBitcoin Net Flow
2026-05-210.000055160.000047250.00000791
2026-05-200.000545560.000524100.00002146
2026-05-190.000392970.000372270.00002070
2026-05-180.000458410.000412730.00004568
2026-05-170.000208170.000201510.00000666
2026-05-160.000255390.000253030.00000236
2026-05-150.000411970.00042250-0.00001053
2026-05-140.000359750.00039091-0.00003115
2026-05-130.000525970.000491300.00003467
2026-05-120.000492760.000479270.00001349
2026-05-110.000479700.00048779-0.00000809
2026-05-100.000348290.00035038-0.00000209
2026-05-090.000387810.000380620.00000718
2026-05-080.000574580.000563780.00001081
2026-05-070.000576060.00059051-0.00001445
Latest Bitcoin ETF Net Flows
DateBitcoin ETF Net Flow
2026-05-20-3,938.30
2026-05-19-6,931.43
2026-05-18-3,767.51
2026-05-151,441.63
2026-05-14-6,197.63
2026-05-13-2,236.12
2026-05-12-103.18
2026-05-11-671.76
2026-05-100.00
2026-05-090.00
2026-05-08-1,769.48
2026-05-07-817.22
2026-05-061,018.76
2026-05-05229.29
2026-05-042,377.18
Latest Bitcoin Whale Activity
DateWhale TxBitcoin Moved
2026-05-2110572,660.69
2026-05-20635364,379.35
2026-05-19717482,318.57
2026-05-18652428,156.49
2026-05-17333241,393.06
2026-05-16324373,132.27
2026-05-15757491,766.14
2026-05-14836487,844.87
2026-05-13801473,397.74
2026-05-12665408,727.26
2026-05-11811481,443.11
2026-05-10489323,912.81
2026-05-09409253,504.67
2026-05-08714403,732.80
2026-05-07783463,464.06

Ethereum

Ethereum Exchange Net Flow
-4,307.17
Ethereum ETF Net Flow
-294.51
Ethereum Whale Tx
44
Ethereum Moved by Whales
87.83K

Ethereum Exchange Flows

Ethereum ETF Net Flow

Ethereum Whale Activity

Ethereum Summary Tables

Latest Ethereum Exchange Flows
DateEthereum InflowEthereum OutflowEthereum Net Flow
2026-05-2123,993.3428,300.51-4,307.17
2026-05-20332,406.14319,412.9912,993.15
2026-05-19422,086.61662,691.30-240,604.69
2026-05-18521,990.35725,663.41-203,673.05
2026-05-17135,908.62189,780.94-53,872.33
2026-05-16171,565.55149,476.5422,089.00
2026-05-15464,217.78563,289.59-99,071.81
2026-05-14351,080.91413,231.74-62,150.83
2026-05-13485,654.24554,155.68-68,501.44
2026-05-12412,714.13384,960.6927,753.44
2026-05-11264,981.90347,627.81-82,645.92
2026-05-10412,667.25171,298.02241,369.23
2026-05-09235,317.64133,121.06102,196.57
2026-05-08445,203.64409,917.3435,286.29
2026-05-07445,438.44390,886.5354,551.90
Latest Ethereum ETF Net Flows
DateEthereum ETF Net Flow
2026-05-21-294.51
2026-05-20538.45
2026-05-19-37,095.73
2026-05-18-14,232.35
2026-05-17-6,058.98
2026-05-162,270.63
2026-05-15-8,052.57
2026-05-14-7,408.69
2026-05-13-44,451.38
2026-05-12-10,505.50
2026-05-111,432.07
2026-05-10-781.81
2026-05-094,349.92
2026-05-08-22,252.23
2026-05-07650.38
Latest Ethereum Whale Activity
DateWhale TxEthereum Moved
2026-05-214487,825.78
2026-05-20281942,346.99
2026-05-194321,499,581.89
2026-05-186621,991,965.90
2026-05-173011,192,996.37
2026-05-163381,224,824.70
2026-05-155261,895,714.06
2026-05-144381,556,966.69
2026-05-135392,116,879.30
2026-05-125761,664,049.50
2026-05-115501,694,046.79
2026-05-103681,791,590.11
2026-05-096911,986,947.61
2026-05-087062,161,077.56
2026-05-076502,818,527.89