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BTC and ETH On-Chain Data Analysis – May 20, 2026

CoinDirection On-Chain Data Analysis

Daily Bitcoin and Ethereum on-chain analysis based on exchange flows, ETF net flows and whale activity.
Source: Dune
Updated: May 20, 2026 05:59 UTC

Market Overview

BTC exchange inflows have sharply decreased versus recent averages, reducing immediate sell pressure, but ETF outflows have intensified, signaling weaker demand. Whale activity is significantly lower, limiting directional conviction. Persistent ETF outflows have deepened over the past week, indicating sustained demand weakness. Exchange inflows have declined significantly, but remain slightly positive, while whale activity remains subdued, suggesting limited accumulation.

Daily On-Chain Analysis

Bitcoin Daily On-Chain Flow Analysis
Bias: neutral | Confidence: medium

BTC exchange inflows have sharply decreased versus recent averages, reducing immediate sell pressure, but ETF outflows have intensified, signaling weaker demand. Whale activity is significantly lower, limiting directional conviction.

Key points
  • Exchange netflow down 85% vs 3-day average, near neutral inflow
  • ETF net outflows more than doubled, increasing demand negativity
  • Whale transaction count and volume dropped over 80%
  • Reduced exchange inflows imply less sell pressure short-term
  • ETF outflows counterbalance exchange signals, creating mixed signals
Risks
  • ETF outflows could pressure spot demand further
  • Low whale activity reduces market directional clarity
  • Sudden changes in exchange flows could alter short-term bias
  • Market may react to external macro or sentiment factors

Conclusion: Bitcoin's daily on-chain data shows a reduction in exchange inflows suggesting lower immediate sell pressure, but intensified ETF outflows and subdued whale activity create a mixed short-term outlook with no clear directional bias.

Bitcoin Medium-Term On-Chain Trends
Bias: bearish | Confidence: medium

Persistent ETF outflows have deepened over the past week, indicating sustained demand weakness. Exchange inflows have declined significantly, but remain slightly positive, while whale activity remains subdued, suggesting limited accumulation.

Key points
  • ETF outflows increased over 300% vs 7-day average
  • Exchange inflows decreased 64% but remain slightly positive
  • Whale activity remains low, with volume down 85%
  • No strong accumulation signals from whales or exchanges
  • Demand remains under pressure due to ETF outflows
Risks
  • Potential for sudden whale reactivation could shift trend
  • Exchange flows could reverse if market sentiment changes
  • ETF flows may stabilize or reverse unexpectedly
  • External factors could override on-chain signals

Conclusion: Bitcoin's medium-term on-chain data points to sustained demand weakness driven by growing ETF outflows and subdued whale activity, despite reduced exchange inflows, suggesting a cautious bearish outlook.

Ethereum Daily On-Chain Flow Analysis
Bias: bearish | Confidence: medium

Ethereum exchange netflows have shifted sharply from strong outflows to significant inflows, indicating increased sell pressure. ETF inflows have turned positive, suggesting improving demand, but whale activity remains very low, limiting conviction.

Key points
  • Exchange netflow flipped from large outflows to notable inflows
  • ETF netflows turned positive after persistent outflows
  • Whale transaction count and volume dropped over 95%
  • Rising exchange inflows imply increased short-term sell pressure
  • ETF inflows provide some counterbalance to exchange signals
Risks
  • Low whale activity reduces strength of accumulation signals
  • Exchange inflows could be temporary or reversed
  • ETF inflows may not sustain without broader demand support
  • Market volatility could disrupt current flow patterns

Conclusion: Ethereum's daily on-chain data shows a reversal to increased exchange inflows signaling short-term sell pressure, partially offset by positive ETF inflows, while very low whale activity tempers confidence in a clear directional bias.

Ethereum Medium-Term On-Chain Trends
Bias: mixed | Confidence: medium

Ethereum has transitioned from persistent exchange outflows and ETF outflows to positive inflows in both categories, indicating a shift in market dynamics. However, whale activity remains extremely low, creating uncertainty about the sustainability of this trend.

Key points
  • Exchange netflows increased over 110% vs 7-day average, now positive
  • ETF netflows reversed from negative to positive over the week
  • Whale activity remains near historic lows in count and volume
  • Shift suggests potential change from accumulation to distribution
  • Signals conflict between rising sell pressure and improving demand
Risks
  • Whale inactivity may limit trend strength or sustainability
  • Exchange inflows could signal short-term profit-taking
  • ETF inflows may not reflect broader market demand
  • External events could quickly alter medium-term flows

Conclusion: Ethereum's medium-term on-chain data reveals a notable shift from outflows to inflows across exchanges and ETFs, indicating mixed signals between rising sell pressure and improving demand, compounded by minimal whale participation, resulting in an uncertain medium-term outlook.

Bitcoin

Bitcoin Exchange Net Flow
0.00000351
Bitcoin ETF Net Flow
-6,931.43
Bitcoin Whale Tx
101
Bitcoin Moved by Whales
61.03K

Bitcoin Exchange Flows

Bitcoin ETF Net Flow

Bitcoin Whale Activity

Bitcoin Summary Tables

Latest Bitcoin Exchange Flows
DateBitcoin InflowBitcoin OutflowBitcoin Net Flow
2026-05-200.000069920.000066410.00000351
2026-05-190.000392970.000372270.00002070
2026-05-180.000458410.000412730.00004568
2026-05-170.000208170.000201510.00000666
2026-05-160.000255390.000253030.00000236
2026-05-150.000411970.00042250-0.00001053
2026-05-140.000359750.00039091-0.00003115
2026-05-130.000525970.000491300.00003467
2026-05-120.000492760.000479270.00001349
2026-05-110.000479700.00048779-0.00000809
2026-05-100.000348290.00035038-0.00000209
2026-05-090.000387810.000380620.00000718
2026-05-080.000574580.000563780.00001081
2026-05-070.000576060.00059051-0.00001445
2026-05-060.000846670.000827810.00001886
Latest Bitcoin ETF Net Flows
DateBitcoin ETF Net Flow
2026-05-19-6,931.43
2026-05-18-3,767.51
2026-05-151,441.63
2026-05-14-6,197.63
2026-05-13-2,236.12
2026-05-12-103.18
2026-05-11-671.76
2026-05-100.00
2026-05-090.00
2026-05-08-1,769.48
2026-05-07-817.22
2026-05-061,018.76
2026-05-05229.29
2026-05-042,377.18
2026-05-030.00
Latest Bitcoin Whale Activity
DateWhale TxBitcoin Moved
2026-05-2010161,033.05
2026-05-19717482,318.57
2026-05-18652428,156.49
2026-05-17333241,393.06
2026-05-16324373,132.27
2026-05-15757491,766.14
2026-05-14836487,844.87
2026-05-13801473,397.74
2026-05-12665408,727.26
2026-05-11811481,443.11
2026-05-10489323,912.81
2026-05-09409253,504.67
2026-05-08714403,732.80
2026-05-07783463,464.06
2026-05-06951483,692.08

Ethereum

Ethereum Exchange Net Flow
10,159.49
Ethereum ETF Net Flow
387.78
Ethereum Whale Tx
22
Ethereum Moved by Whales
50.45K

Ethereum Exchange Flows

Ethereum ETF Net Flow

Ethereum Whale Activity

Ethereum Summary Tables

Latest Ethereum Exchange Flows
DateEthereum InflowEthereum OutflowEthereum Net Flow
2026-05-2027,176.2517,016.7510,159.49
2026-05-19422,086.61662,691.30-240,604.69
2026-05-18521,990.35725,663.41-203,673.05
2026-05-17135,908.62189,780.94-53,872.33
2026-05-16171,565.55149,476.5422,089.00
2026-05-15464,217.78563,289.59-99,071.81
2026-05-14351,080.91413,231.74-62,150.83
2026-05-13485,654.24554,155.68-68,501.44
2026-05-12412,714.13384,960.6927,753.44
2026-05-11264,981.90347,627.81-82,645.92
2026-05-10412,667.25171,298.02241,369.23
2026-05-09235,317.64133,121.06102,196.57
2026-05-08445,203.64409,917.3435,286.29
2026-05-07445,438.44390,886.5354,551.90
2026-05-06636,788.01502,607.46134,180.55
Latest Ethereum ETF Net Flows
DateEthereum ETF Net Flow
2026-05-20387.78
2026-05-19-37,095.73
2026-05-18-14,232.35
2026-05-17-6,058.98
2026-05-162,270.63
2026-05-15-8,052.57
2026-05-14-7,408.69
2026-05-13-44,451.38
2026-05-12-10,505.50
2026-05-111,432.07
2026-05-10-781.81
2026-05-094,349.92
2026-05-08-22,252.23
2026-05-07650.38
2026-05-062,424.44
Latest Ethereum Whale Activity
DateWhale TxEthereum Moved
2026-05-202250,451.75
2026-05-194321,499,581.89
2026-05-186621,991,965.90
2026-05-173011,192,996.37
2026-05-163381,224,824.70
2026-05-155261,895,714.06
2026-05-144381,556,966.69
2026-05-135392,116,879.30
2026-05-125761,664,049.50
2026-05-115501,694,046.79
2026-05-103681,791,590.11
2026-05-096911,986,947.61
2026-05-087062,161,077.56
2026-05-076502,818,527.89
2026-05-067862,475,835.45