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BTC and ETH On-Chain Data Analysis – May 16, 2026

CoinDirection On-Chain Data Analysis

Daily Bitcoin and Ethereum on-chain analysis based on exchange flows, ETF net flows and whale activity.
Source: Dune
Updated: May 16, 2026 06:33 UTC

Market Overview

Bitcoin's latest exchange netflow turned positive after recent negative averages, and ETF inflows surged significantly. Whale activity sharply declined in both count and volume. Over the past week, Bitcoin's exchange flows have shifted from slight net outflows to positive inflows, while ETF flows reversed from negative to strongly positive. Whale activity remains subdued compared to the weekly average.

Daily On-Chain Analysis

Bitcoin Daily On-Chain Flow Analysis
Bias: mixed | Confidence: medium

Bitcoin's latest exchange netflow turned positive after recent negative averages, and ETF inflows surged significantly. Whale activity sharply declined in both count and volume.

Key points
  • Exchange netflow flipped positive from negative baseline
  • ETF net inflows turned strongly positive after prior outflows
  • Whale transaction count and moved volume dropped over 70%
  • Short-term signals suggest increased sell pressure but reduced whale activity
Risks
  • Positive exchange inflows may lead to short-term sell pressure
  • Whale inactivity could reduce market depth or signal uncertainty
  • ETF inflows may not immediately translate to spot demand
  • Volatility could increase due to conflicting signals

Conclusion: In the short term, Bitcoin shows signs of increased sell pressure from rising exchange and ETF inflows, but subdued whale activity introduces uncertainty about the strength of this move.

Bitcoin Medium-Term On-Chain Trends
Bias: mixed | Confidence: medium

Over the past week, Bitcoin's exchange flows have shifted from slight net outflows to positive inflows, while ETF flows reversed from negative to strongly positive. Whale activity remains subdued compared to the weekly average.

Key points
  • Exchange netflows increased by over 180% vs 3-day average
  • ETF inflows improved by over 150% vs 3-day average
  • Whale activity remains significantly below weekly average
  • Trend suggests growing sell pressure but demand from ETFs
Risks
  • Sustained positive exchange inflows could pressure prices
  • Low whale participation may limit strong directional moves
  • ETF inflows might not sustain without broader market support
  • Potential for conflicting signals to cause volatility

Conclusion: Bitcoin's medium-term on-chain data indicate a transition toward increased sell-side pressure balanced by renewed ETF demand, with low whale engagement tempering conviction.

Ethereum Daily On-Chain Flow Analysis
Bias: mixed | Confidence: medium

Ethereum's exchange netflow turned positive sharply from recent negative levels, but ETF flows remain negative albeit less so. Whale activity dropped dramatically in both count and volume.

Key points
  • Exchange netflow rose from large negative to positive
  • ETF netflows remain negative but improved vs prior days
  • Whale transaction count and volume fell over 90%
  • Short-term signals show conflicting demand and sell pressure
Risks
  • Positive exchange inflows may increase sell pressure
  • Negative ETF flows continue to weigh on demand
  • Whale inactivity could reduce market support
  • Mixed signals may increase short-term volatility

Conclusion: Ethereum's short-term on-chain data present a mixed picture with rising exchange inflows suggesting sell pressure, offset by persistent negative ETF flows and sharply reduced whale activity.

Ethereum Medium-Term On-Chain Trends
Bias: bearish | Confidence: medium

Ethereum's medium-term data show persistent negative ETF flows and sharply reduced whale activity, despite some recent improvement in exchange netflows. Overall, demand signals remain subdued.

Key points
  • ETF netflows remain negative and dominant over recent sessions
  • Exchange netflows volatile but recently positive vs negative baseline
  • Whale activity remains extremely low compared to weekly averages
  • Demand signals from ETFs and whales remain weak
Risks
  • Continued negative ETF flows may suppress price support
  • Low whale participation limits accumulation potential
  • Exchange inflows could increase sell pressure if sustained
  • Conflicting signals may cause price instability

Conclusion: Ethereum's medium-term on-chain trends lean bearish due to persistent negative ETF flows and minimal whale activity, despite some short-term exchange inflow improvements.

Bitcoin

Bitcoin Exchange Net Flow
0.00000191
Bitcoin ETF Net Flow
1,441.63
Bitcoin Whale Tx
75
Bitcoin Moved by Whales
115.49K

Bitcoin Exchange Flows

Bitcoin ETF Net Flow

Bitcoin Whale Activity

Bitcoin Summary Tables

Latest Bitcoin Exchange Flows
DateBitcoin InflowBitcoin OutflowBitcoin Net Flow
2026-05-160.000061100.000059190.00000191
2026-05-150.000411970.00042250-0.00001053
2026-05-140.000359750.00039091-0.00003115
2026-05-130.000525970.000491300.00003467
2026-05-120.000492760.000479270.00001349
2026-05-110.000479700.00048779-0.00000809
2026-05-100.000348290.00035038-0.00000209
2026-05-090.000387810.000380620.00000718
2026-05-080.000574580.000563780.00001081
2026-05-070.000576060.00059051-0.00001445
2026-05-060.000846670.000827810.00001886
2026-05-050.000873700.00090012-0.00002642
2026-05-040.000823150.00084126-0.00001811
2026-05-030.000432070.00043920-0.00000713
2026-05-020.000668530.00068115-0.00001261
Latest Bitcoin ETF Net Flows
DateBitcoin ETF Net Flow
2026-05-151,441.63
2026-05-14-6,197.63
2026-05-13-2,236.12
2026-05-12-103.18
2026-05-11-671.76
2026-05-100.00
2026-05-090.00
2026-05-08-1,769.48
2026-05-07-817.22
2026-05-061,018.76
2026-05-05229.29
2026-05-042,377.18
2026-05-030.00
2026-05-01-192.71
2026-04-30-1,352.25
Latest Bitcoin Whale Activity
DateWhale TxBitcoin Moved
2026-05-1675115,491.73
2026-05-15757491,766.14
2026-05-14836487,844.87
2026-05-13801473,397.74
2026-05-12665408,727.26
2026-05-11811481,443.11
2026-05-10489323,912.81
2026-05-09409253,504.67
2026-05-08714403,732.80
2026-05-07783463,464.06
2026-05-06951483,692.08
2026-05-051,093572,283.84
2026-05-041,065586,264.46
2026-05-03490362,987.25
2026-05-02487449,313.65

Ethereum

Ethereum Exchange Net Flow
3,219.15
Ethereum ETF Net Flow
-2,361.05
Ethereum Whale Tx
44
Ethereum Moved by Whales
150.04K

Ethereum Exchange Flows

Ethereum ETF Net Flow

Ethereum Whale Activity

Ethereum Summary Tables

Latest Ethereum Exchange Flows
DateEthereum InflowEthereum OutflowEthereum Net Flow
2026-05-1624,805.7421,586.583,219.15
2026-05-15464,217.78563,289.59-99,071.81
2026-05-14351,080.91413,231.74-62,150.83
2026-05-13485,654.24554,155.68-68,501.44
2026-05-12412,714.13384,960.6927,753.44
2026-05-11264,981.90347,627.81-82,645.92
2026-05-10412,667.25171,298.02241,369.23
2026-05-09235,317.64133,121.06102,196.57
2026-05-08445,203.64409,917.3435,286.29
2026-05-07445,438.44390,886.5354,551.90
2026-05-06636,788.01502,607.46134,180.55
2026-05-05307,619.53327,611.19-19,991.66
2026-05-04382,761.74433,814.22-51,052.48
2026-05-03111,246.70165,128.54-53,881.84
2026-05-0289,077.6284,065.265,012.35
Latest Ethereum ETF Net Flows
DateEthereum ETF Net Flow
2026-05-16-2,361.05
2026-05-15-8,052.57
2026-05-14-7,408.69
2026-05-13-44,451.38
2026-05-12-10,505.50
2026-05-111,432.07
2026-05-10-781.81
2026-05-094,349.92
2026-05-08-22,252.23
2026-05-07650.38
2026-05-062,424.44
2026-05-05-2,296.65
2026-05-04-957.78
2026-05-032,513.67
2026-05-022,692.28
Latest Ethereum Whale Activity
DateWhale TxEthereum Moved
2026-05-1644150,035.81
2026-05-155261,895,714.06
2026-05-144381,556,966.69
2026-05-135392,116,879.30
2026-05-125761,664,049.50
2026-05-115501,694,046.79
2026-05-103681,791,590.11
2026-05-096911,986,947.61
2026-05-087062,161,077.56
2026-05-076502,818,527.89
2026-05-067862,475,835.45
2026-05-054471,629,209.80
2026-05-045581,842,399.57
2026-05-03215783,919.81
2026-05-02118387,026.28