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BTC and ETH On-Chain Data Analysis – May 15, 2026

CoinDirection On-Chain Data Analysis

Daily Bitcoin and Ethereum on-chain analysis based on exchange flows, ETF net flows and whale activity.
Source: Dune
Updated: May 15, 2026 05:52 UTC

Market Overview

Bitcoin's latest exchange netflow is slightly positive but stable versus recent averages, while ETF outflows have decreased significantly. Whale activity is sharply reduced, indicating lower large-holder movement today. Over the past week, Bitcoin's exchange netflows have increased moderately, but ETF outflows remain persistently negative, and whale activity is drastically lower. This combination points to a mixed medium-term outlook with subdued accumulation and ongoing demand challenges.

Daily On-Chain Analysis

Bitcoin Daily On-Chain Flow Analysis
Bias: neutral | Confidence: medium

Bitcoin's latest exchange netflow is slightly positive but stable versus recent averages, while ETF outflows have decreased significantly. Whale activity is sharply reduced, indicating lower large-holder movement today.

Key points
  • Exchange netflow slightly positive, near recent baseline
  • ETF net outflows remain negative but less severe than prior days
  • Whale transaction count and volume down over 80%
  • No significant change in short-term sell pressure
  • Market shows low immediate large-holder activity
Risks
  • ETF outflows still negative, indicating ongoing demand weakness
  • Low whale activity may reduce liquidity and price support
  • Small positive exchange netflow could precede sell pressure if sustained
  • External factors could quickly shift flows

Conclusion: Bitcoin's daily on-chain data suggest a neutral short-term stance with stable exchange flows and reduced whale activity, while ETF outflows remain a mild bearish factor. Immediate sell pressure is limited but demand is not strengthening.

Bitcoin Medium-Term On-Chain Trends
Bias: neutral | Confidence: medium

Over the past week, Bitcoin's exchange netflows have increased moderately, but ETF outflows remain persistently negative, and whale activity is drastically lower. This combination points to a mixed medium-term outlook with subdued accumulation and ongoing demand challenges.

Key points
  • Exchange netflows up 57% versus 7-day average, indicating rising sell pressure
  • ETF outflows remain large but reduced compared to prior weeks
  • Whale activity down over 80%, signaling low large-holder engagement
  • No clear accumulation trend despite exchange outflows being low
  • Demand remains weak due to persistent ETF outflows
Risks
  • Rising exchange inflows could increase sell pressure if sustained
  • Low whale activity may limit strong directional moves
  • ETF outflows could continue depressing demand
  • Market sentiment may remain fragile without positive catalysts

Conclusion: Bitcoin's medium-term on-chain signals are mixed, with rising exchange inflows suggesting potential sell pressure, but sharply reduced whale activity and persistent ETF outflows indicating weak demand and limited accumulation.

Ethereum Daily On-Chain Flow Analysis
Bias: bullish | Confidence: medium

Ethereum shows strong negative exchange netflows today, indicating significant outflows from exchanges and potential accumulation. ETF outflows have decreased substantially, and whale activity is sharply lower, suggesting reduced distribution pressure.

Key points
  • Exchange netflow strongly negative, signaling outflows
  • ETF net outflows remain negative but less severe than recent days
  • Whale transaction count and volume down nearly 90%
  • Short-term signals favor accumulation over distribution
  • Reduced whale activity may limit volatility
Risks
  • ETF outflows still negative, limiting demand strength
  • Low whale activity could reduce market momentum
  • Exchange outflows could reverse if market sentiment shifts
  • External market factors may impact flow dynamics

Conclusion: Ethereum's daily on-chain data suggest a bullish short-term bias driven by strong exchange outflows and reduced whale activity, though persistent ETF outflows temper the strength of this accumulation signal.

Ethereum Medium-Term On-Chain Trends
Bias: mixed | Confidence: medium

Ethereum's medium-term data show a complex picture with exchange netflows shifting from positive to strongly negative, ETF outflows persistently negative but improving, and whale activity drastically reduced. This indicates ongoing accumulation tempered by weak demand and low large-holder engagement.

Key points
  • Exchange netflows down over 100% versus 7-day average, indicating strong outflows
  • ETF outflows remain negative but have improved significantly
  • Whale activity decreased by nearly 90%, signaling low large-holder participation
  • Medium-term trend favors accumulation but demand remains fragile
  • Conflicting signals between exchange and ETF flows
Risks
  • Persistent ETF outflows may limit price upside
  • Low whale activity could reduce market support
  • Exchange flow volatility may cause price swings
  • Uncertain macro environment could impact flows

Conclusion: Ethereum's medium-term on-chain trends are mixed, with strong exchange outflows suggesting accumulation but persistent ETF outflows and low whale activity indicating fragile demand and uncertain market conviction.

Bitcoin

Bitcoin Exchange Net Flow
0.00000559
Bitcoin ETF Net Flow
-80.23
Bitcoin Whale Tx
89
Bitcoin Moved by Whales
70.84K

Bitcoin Exchange Flows

Bitcoin ETF Net Flow

Bitcoin Whale Activity

Bitcoin Summary Tables

Latest Bitcoin Exchange Flows
DateBitcoin InflowBitcoin OutflowBitcoin Net Flow
2026-05-150.000066160.000060580.00000559
2026-05-140.000359750.00039091-0.00003115
2026-05-130.000525970.000491300.00003467
2026-05-120.000492760.000479270.00001349
2026-05-110.000479700.00048779-0.00000809
2026-05-100.000348290.00035038-0.00000209
2026-05-090.000387810.000380620.00000718
2026-05-080.000574580.000563780.00001081
2026-05-070.000576060.00059051-0.00001445
2026-05-060.000846670.000827810.00001886
2026-05-050.000873700.00090012-0.00002642
2026-05-040.000823150.00084126-0.00001811
2026-05-030.000432070.00043920-0.00000713
2026-05-020.000668530.00068115-0.00001261
2026-05-010.001034810.00105489-0.00002008
Latest Bitcoin ETF Net Flows
DateBitcoin ETF Net Flow
2026-05-15-80.23
2026-05-14-6,197.63
2026-05-13-2,236.12
2026-05-12-103.18
2026-05-11-671.76
2026-05-100.00
2026-05-090.00
2026-05-08-1,769.48
2026-05-07-817.22
2026-05-061,018.76
2026-05-05229.29
2026-05-042,377.18
2026-05-030.00
2026-05-01-192.71
2026-04-30-1,352.25
Latest Bitcoin Whale Activity
DateWhale TxBitcoin Moved
2026-05-158970,840.09
2026-05-14836487,844.87
2026-05-13801473,397.74
2026-05-12665408,727.26
2026-05-11811481,443.11
2026-05-10489323,912.81
2026-05-09409253,504.67
2026-05-08714403,732.80
2026-05-07783463,464.06
2026-05-06951483,692.08
2026-05-051,093572,283.84
2026-05-041,065586,264.46
2026-05-03490362,987.25
2026-05-02487449,313.65
2026-05-01859633,568.93

Ethereum

Ethereum Exchange Net Flow
-2,287.50
Ethereum ETF Net Flow
-1,092.54
Ethereum Whale Tx
67
Ethereum Moved by Whales
214.34K

Ethereum Exchange Flows

Ethereum ETF Net Flow

Ethereum Whale Activity

Ethereum Summary Tables

Latest Ethereum Exchange Flows
DateEthereum InflowEthereum OutflowEthereum Net Flow
2026-05-1554,830.9157,118.41-2,287.50
2026-05-14351,080.91413,231.74-62,150.83
2026-05-13485,654.24554,155.68-68,501.44
2026-05-12412,714.13384,960.6927,753.44
2026-05-11264,981.90347,627.81-82,645.92
2026-05-10412,667.25171,298.02241,369.23
2026-05-09235,317.64133,121.06102,196.57
2026-05-08445,203.64409,917.3435,286.29
2026-05-07445,438.44390,886.5354,551.90
2026-05-06636,788.01502,607.46134,180.55
2026-05-05307,619.53327,611.19-19,991.66
2026-05-04382,761.74433,814.22-51,052.48
2026-05-03111,246.70165,128.54-53,881.84
2026-05-0289,077.6284,065.265,012.35
2026-05-01337,082.87448,844.94-111,762.07
Latest Ethereum ETF Net Flows
DateEthereum ETF Net Flow
2026-05-15-1,092.54
2026-05-14-7,408.69
2026-05-13-44,451.38
2026-05-12-10,505.50
2026-05-111,432.07
2026-05-10-781.81
2026-05-094,349.92
2026-05-08-22,252.23
2026-05-07650.38
2026-05-062,424.44
2026-05-05-2,296.65
2026-05-04-957.78
2026-05-032,513.67
2026-05-022,692.28
2026-05-01-31,376.56
Latest Ethereum Whale Activity
DateWhale TxEthereum Moved
2026-05-1567214,335.39
2026-05-144381,556,966.69
2026-05-135392,116,879.30
2026-05-125761,664,049.50
2026-05-115501,694,046.79
2026-05-103681,791,590.11
2026-05-096911,986,947.61
2026-05-087062,161,077.56
2026-05-076502,818,527.89
2026-05-067862,475,835.45
2026-05-054471,629,209.80
2026-05-045581,842,399.57
2026-05-03215783,919.81
2026-05-02118387,026.28
2026-05-015241,704,551.33