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BTC and ETH On-Chain Data Analysis – May 11, 2026

CoinDirection On-Chain Data Analysis

Daily Bitcoin and Ethereum on-chain analysis based on exchange flows, ETF net flows and whale activity.
Source: Dune
Updated: May 11, 2026 05:50 UTC

Market Overview

Bitcoin's latest exchange netflow is slightly positive but significantly lower than recent averages, while ETF inflows have turned positive after prior negative readings. Whale activity has sharply declined in both count and volume. Over the past week, Bitcoin's exchange netflows have shifted from negative to slightly positive, ETF flows remain volatile with a recent positive spike, and whale activity has consistently declined, indicating mixed signals for accumulation versus distribution.

Daily On-Chain Analysis

Bitcoin Daily On-Chain Flow Analysis
Bias: neutral | Confidence: medium

Bitcoin's latest exchange netflow is slightly positive but significantly lower than recent averages, while ETF inflows have turned positive after prior negative readings. Whale activity has sharply declined in both count and volume.

Key points
  • Exchange netflow positive but down 77% vs 3-day average
  • ETF netflow turned positive from negative 3-day average
  • Whale transaction count and volume dropped over 78%
  • Short-term signals show reduced sell pressure but low whale engagement
Risks
  • Low whale activity may reduce market liquidity
  • ETF inflows could be short-lived or volatile
  • Exchange netflow remains near neutral, not strongly bullish
  • Potential for sudden shifts if whale activity resumes

Conclusion: In the short term, Bitcoin shows signs of reduced immediate sell pressure with positive ETF inflows, but the sharp decline in whale activity and near-neutral exchange flows suggest cautious market participation and limited conviction.

Bitcoin Medium-Term On-Chain Trends
Bias: mixed | Confidence: medium

Over the past week, Bitcoin's exchange netflows have shifted from negative to slightly positive, ETF flows remain volatile with a recent positive spike, and whale activity has consistently declined, indicating mixed signals for accumulation versus distribution.

Key points
  • 7-day average exchange netflow slightly negative but latest positive
  • ETF netflows oscillated with recent positive spike after negative trend
  • Whale activity down nearly 90% in count and volume over 7 days
  • Medium-term trend shows reduced whale-driven distribution or accumulation
Risks
  • ETF flow volatility may undermine demand sustainability
  • Declining whale activity could limit directional momentum
  • Exchange flows near neutral, lacking clear accumulation signal
  • Potential for conflicting signals to cause market indecision

Conclusion: Bitcoin's medium-term on-chain data presents a mixed picture with reduced whale involvement and fluctuating ETF flows, suggesting a market in transition without a clear dominant trend in accumulation or distribution.

Ethereum Daily On-Chain Flow Analysis
Bias: bearish | Confidence: medium

Ethereum's exchange inflows have dropped sharply but remain positive, while ETF outflows persist though at a reduced rate. Whale activity has also declined significantly, indicating cautious positioning with ongoing demand pressure.

Key points
  • Exchange netflow positive but down over 98% vs 3-day average
  • ETF netflow remains negative but less severe than prior days
  • Whale transaction count and volume decreased by over 88%
  • Short-term data suggests reduced accumulation and persistent sell pressure
Risks
  • Continued ETF outflows may pressure demand
  • Low whale activity could reduce market support
  • Positive exchange inflows may still indicate sell pressure
  • Potential for sudden changes if whale activity picks up

Conclusion: Ethereum's short-term on-chain signals point to ongoing demand challenges with persistent ETF outflows and reduced whale activity, despite lower exchange inflows, indicating cautious market sentiment.

Ethereum Medium-Term On-Chain Trends
Bias: bearish | Confidence: medium

Ethereum's medium-term data shows persistent negative ETF flows and sharply reduced whale activity, while exchange inflows have decreased substantially but remain positive, suggesting sustained distribution pressure with limited accumulation.

Key points
  • 7-day average exchange netflow positive but declining sharply
  • ETF netflows consistently negative over 7 days
  • Whale activity down over 90% in count and volume
  • Medium-term trend indicates ongoing demand weakness
Risks
  • Sustained ETF outflows may continue to weigh on price
  • Low whale engagement reduces potential for strong accumulation
  • Exchange inflows may still reflect sell-side pressure
  • Market could remain range-bound or weaken further

Conclusion: Ethereum's medium-term on-chain trends reflect persistent demand headwinds with ongoing ETF outflows and diminished whale activity, signaling a bearish bias despite some exchange flow moderation.

Bitcoin

Bitcoin Exchange Net Flow
0.00000122
Bitcoin ETF Net Flow
0.00
Bitcoin Whale Tx
82
Bitcoin Moved by Whales
96.40K

Bitcoin Exchange Flows

Bitcoin ETF Net Flow

Bitcoin Whale Activity

Bitcoin Summary Tables

Latest Bitcoin Exchange Flows
DateBitcoin InflowBitcoin OutflowBitcoin Net Flow
2026-05-110.000055400.000054180.00000122
2026-05-100.000348290.00035038-0.00000209
2026-05-090.000387810.000380620.00000718
2026-05-080.000574580.000563780.00001081
2026-05-070.000576060.00059051-0.00001445
2026-05-060.000846670.000827810.00001886
2026-05-050.000873700.00090012-0.00002642
2026-05-040.000823150.00084126-0.00001811
2026-05-030.000432070.00043920-0.00000713
2026-05-020.000668530.00068115-0.00001261
2026-05-010.001034810.00105489-0.00002008
2026-04-300.001214170.001165950.00004822
2026-04-290.000956440.000936960.00001948
2026-04-280.000859880.000827680.00003220
2026-04-270.000828790.000820560.00000822
Latest Bitcoin ETF Net Flows
DateBitcoin ETF Net Flow
2026-05-110.00
2026-05-100.00
2026-05-090.00
2026-05-08-1,769.48
2026-05-07-817.22
2026-05-061,018.76
2026-05-05229.29
2026-05-042,377.18
2026-05-030.00
2026-05-01-192.71
2026-04-30-1,352.25
2026-04-29-814.26
2026-04-28-1,647.32
2026-04-27-119.31
2026-04-260.00
Latest Bitcoin Whale Activity
DateWhale TxBitcoin Moved
2026-05-118296,396.87
2026-05-10489323,912.81
2026-05-09409253,504.67
2026-05-08714403,732.80
2026-05-07783463,464.06
2026-05-06951483,692.08
2026-05-051,093572,283.84
2026-05-041,065586,264.46
2026-05-03490362,987.25
2026-05-02487449,313.65
2026-05-01859633,568.93
2026-04-30908569,916.57
2026-04-29947520,115.37
2026-04-28955566,936.56
2026-04-27953487,823.07

Ethereum

Ethereum Exchange Net Flow
1,862.74
Ethereum ETF Net Flow
-2,056.61
Ethereum Whale Tx
56
Ethereum Moved by Whales
244.69K

Ethereum Exchange Flows

Ethereum ETF Net Flow

Ethereum Whale Activity

Ethereum Summary Tables

Latest Ethereum Exchange Flows
DateEthereum InflowEthereum OutflowEthereum Net Flow
2026-05-1134,940.1133,077.371,862.74
2026-05-10412,667.25171,298.02241,369.23
2026-05-09235,317.64133,121.06102,196.57
2026-05-08445,203.64409,917.3435,286.29
2026-05-07445,438.44390,886.5354,551.90
2026-05-06636,788.01502,607.46134,180.55
2026-05-05307,619.53327,611.19-19,991.66
2026-05-04382,761.74433,814.22-51,052.48
2026-05-03111,246.70165,128.54-53,881.84
2026-05-0289,077.6284,065.265,012.35
2026-05-01337,082.87448,844.94-111,762.07
2026-04-30301,193.64366,166.26-64,972.61
2026-04-29601,277.83594,909.676,368.17
2026-04-28368,522.38270,855.9997,666.40
2026-04-27496,620.56469,691.3026,929.25
Latest Ethereum ETF Net Flows
DateEthereum ETF Net Flow
2026-05-11-2,056.61
2026-05-10-781.81
2026-05-094,349.92
2026-05-08-22,252.23
2026-05-07650.38
2026-05-062,424.44
2026-05-05-2,296.65
2026-05-04-957.78
2026-05-032,513.67
2026-05-022,692.28
2026-05-01-31,376.56
2026-04-30-14,324.92
2026-04-29-9,374.05
2026-04-28-6,776.07
2026-04-272,309.37
Latest Ethereum Whale Activity
DateWhale TxEthereum Moved
2026-05-1156244,685.48
2026-05-103681,791,590.11
2026-05-096911,986,947.61
2026-05-087062,161,077.56
2026-05-076502,818,527.89
2026-05-067862,475,835.45
2026-05-054471,629,209.80
2026-05-045581,842,399.57
2026-05-03215783,919.81
2026-05-02118387,026.28
2026-05-015241,704,551.33
2026-04-304772,029,714.87
2026-04-295632,498,589.80
2026-04-285021,894,592.14
2026-04-274901,675,592.98