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BTC and ETH On-Chain Data Analysis – May 10, 2026

CoinDirection On-Chain Data Analysis

Daily Bitcoin and Ethereum on-chain analysis based on exchange flows, ETF net flows and whale activity.
Source: Dune
Updated: May 10, 2026 06:32 UTC

Market Overview

Bitcoin's latest exchange netflow has increased compared to recent averages, indicating potential short-term sell pressure, while ETF flows have turned positive after recent negative readings. Whale activity is sharply lower, reducing immediate large-holder influence. Over the past week, Bitcoin's exchange netflows have moved from negative to slightly positive, while ETF flows remain volatile with a recent positive spike. Whale activity remains significantly subdued, indicating less large-holder positioning and a lack of strong accumulation or distribution trend.

Daily On-Chain Analysis

Bitcoin Daily On-Chain Flow Analysis
Bias: neutral | Confidence: medium

Bitcoin's latest exchange netflow has increased compared to recent averages, indicating potential short-term sell pressure, while ETF flows have turned positive after recent negative readings. Whale activity is sharply lower, reducing immediate large-holder influence.

Key points
  • Exchange netflow slightly positive, doubling recent 3-day average
  • ETF netflow shifted from negative to positive today
  • Whale transaction count and volume dropped significantly
  • Short-term signals mixed between mild sell pressure and renewed demand
  • No strong directional conviction from whales
Risks
  • Rising exchange inflows could increase sell pressure
  • ETF inflows may not sustain if whales remain inactive
  • Low whale activity reduces liquidity support
  • Short-term volatility possible due to conflicting signals

Conclusion: Bitcoin's daily on-chain data shows a tentative shift towards demand with positive ETF flows but rising exchange inflows and subdued whale activity suggest cautious short-term dynamics without clear directional bias.

Bitcoin Medium-Term On-Chain Trends
Bias: mixed | Confidence: medium

Over the past week, Bitcoin's exchange netflows have moved from negative to slightly positive, while ETF flows remain volatile with a recent positive spike. Whale activity remains significantly subdued, indicating less large-holder positioning and a lack of strong accumulation or distribution trend.

Key points
  • Exchange netflows increased 157% vs 7-day average, turning positive
  • ETF netflows highly volatile, recent positive after negative period
  • Whale transaction count and volume down over 80% vs 7-day average
  • No sustained accumulation or distribution by whales
  • Market positioning appears cautious and indecisive
Risks
  • Positive exchange inflows may signal emerging sell pressure
  • ETF flow volatility could lead to demand uncertainty
  • Low whale engagement limits trend strength
  • Potential for sudden shifts if whale activity resumes

Conclusion: Bitcoin's medium-term on-chain profile is mixed, with exchange and ETF flows showing some demand signs but subdued whale activity and volatile ETF flows temper confidence in a clear trend.

Ethereum Daily On-Chain Flow Analysis
Bias: bullish | Confidence: medium

Ethereum's exchange netflows have surged significantly above recent baselines, indicating strong short-term inflows to exchanges. ETF flows have turned positive after a negative period, supporting demand. Whale activity is sharply reduced, suggesting less large-holder selling pressure today.

Key points
  • Exchange netflows increased 42% vs 3-day average and 614% vs 7-day average
  • ETF netflows shifted from negative to positive
  • Whale transaction count and volume decreased over 80%
  • Strong exchange inflows could imply sell pressure but ETF inflows support demand
  • Whale inactivity reduces immediate large-holder distribution
Risks
  • High exchange inflows may increase short-term sell pressure
  • ETF inflows may not offset exchange outflows if selling intensifies
  • Reduced whale activity could limit market support
  • Potential volatility due to conflicting signals

Conclusion: Ethereum's daily on-chain data suggests increased exchange inflows that may pressure price short-term, but positive ETF flows and low whale activity provide some demand support, resulting in a cautiously bullish bias.

Ethereum Medium-Term On-Chain Trends
Bias: bullish | Confidence: medium

Ethereum shows a strong medium-term increase in exchange inflows and a notable shift to positive ETF flows after recent negativity. Whale activity remains low, indicating less large-holder distribution and a potential accumulation phase supported by ETF demand.

Key points
  • Exchange netflows up over 600% vs 7-day average
  • ETF netflows turned positive with over 235% increase vs 7-day average
  • Whale transaction count and volume down over 80% vs 7-day average
  • ETF inflows suggest renewed institutional demand
  • Low whale activity may indicate reduced selling pressure
Risks
  • Sustained high exchange inflows could lead to sell pressure
  • ETF demand may be insufficient if whale selling resumes
  • Low whale activity could limit market depth
  • Market remains sensitive to shifts in large-holder behavior

Conclusion: Ethereum's medium-term on-chain trends point to bullish demand signals from ETF inflows and subdued whale activity, though elevated exchange inflows warrant monitoring for potential sell pressure.

Bitcoin

Bitcoin Exchange Net Flow
0.00000238
Bitcoin ETF Net Flow
0.00
Bitcoin Whale Tx
86
Bitcoin Moved by Whales
97.67K

Bitcoin Exchange Flows

Bitcoin ETF Net Flow

Bitcoin Whale Activity

Bitcoin Summary Tables

Latest Bitcoin Exchange Flows
DateBitcoin InflowBitcoin OutflowBitcoin Net Flow
2026-05-100.000076650.000074270.00000238
2026-05-090.000387810.000380620.00000718
2026-05-080.000574580.000563780.00001081
2026-05-070.000576060.00059051-0.00001445
2026-05-060.000846670.000827810.00001886
2026-05-050.000873700.00090012-0.00002642
2026-05-040.000823150.00084126-0.00001811
2026-05-030.000432070.00043920-0.00000713
2026-05-020.000668530.00068115-0.00001261
2026-05-010.001034810.00105489-0.00002008
2026-04-300.001214170.001165950.00004822
2026-04-290.000956440.000936960.00001948
2026-04-280.000859880.000827680.00003220
2026-04-270.000828790.000820560.00000822
2026-04-260.000438090.00043958-0.00000149
Latest Bitcoin ETF Net Flows
DateBitcoin ETF Net Flow
2026-05-090.00
2026-05-08-1,769.48
2026-05-07-817.22
2026-05-061,018.76
2026-05-05229.29
2026-05-042,377.18
2026-05-030.00
2026-05-01-192.71
2026-04-30-1,352.25
2026-04-29-814.26
2026-04-28-1,647.32
2026-04-27-119.31
2026-04-260.00
2026-04-250.00
2026-04-241,237.85
Latest Bitcoin Whale Activity
DateWhale TxBitcoin Moved
2026-05-108697,670.17
2026-05-09409253,504.67
2026-05-08714403,732.80
2026-05-07783463,464.06
2026-05-06951483,692.08
2026-05-051,093572,283.84
2026-05-041,065586,264.46
2026-05-03490362,987.25
2026-05-02487449,313.65
2026-05-01859633,568.93
2026-04-30908569,916.57
2026-04-29947520,115.37
2026-04-28955566,936.56
2026-04-27953487,823.07
2026-04-26585317,197.99

Ethereum

Ethereum Exchange Net Flow
106,247.85
Ethereum ETF Net Flow
3,337.52
Ethereum Whale Tx
113
Ethereum Moved by Whales
312.05K

Ethereum Exchange Flows

Ethereum ETF Net Flow

Ethereum Whale Activity

Ethereum Summary Tables

Latest Ethereum Exchange Flows
DateEthereum InflowEthereum OutflowEthereum Net Flow
2026-05-09224,815.16118,567.31106,247.85
2026-05-08445,203.64409,917.3435,286.29
2026-05-07445,438.44390,886.5354,551.90
2026-05-06636,788.01502,607.46134,180.55
2026-05-05307,619.53327,611.19-19,991.66
2026-05-04382,761.74433,814.22-51,052.48
2026-05-03111,246.70165,128.54-53,881.84
2026-05-0289,077.6284,065.265,012.35
2026-05-01337,082.87448,844.94-111,762.07
2026-04-30301,193.64366,166.26-64,972.61
2026-04-29601,277.83594,909.676,368.17
2026-04-28368,522.38270,855.9997,666.40
2026-04-27496,620.56469,691.3026,929.25
2026-04-26128,737.49140,854.64-12,117.15
2026-04-2590,265.4298,418.97-8,153.55
Latest Ethereum ETF Net Flows
DateEthereum ETF Net Flow
2026-05-093,337.52
2026-05-08-22,252.23
2026-05-07650.38
2026-05-062,424.44
2026-05-05-2,296.65
2026-05-04-957.78
2026-05-032,513.67
2026-05-022,692.28
2026-05-01-31,376.56
2026-04-30-14,324.92
2026-04-29-9,374.05
2026-04-28-6,776.07
2026-04-272,309.37
2026-04-267,506.77
2026-04-2598.14
Latest Ethereum Whale Activity
DateWhale TxEthereum Moved
2026-05-10113312,049.74
2026-05-096911,986,947.61
2026-05-087062,161,077.56
2026-05-076502,818,527.89
2026-05-067862,475,835.45
2026-05-054471,629,209.80
2026-05-045581,842,399.57
2026-05-03215783,919.81
2026-05-02118387,026.28
2026-05-015241,704,551.33
2026-04-304772,029,714.87
2026-04-295632,498,589.80
2026-04-285021,894,592.14
2026-04-274901,675,592.98
2026-04-26174614,553.12