Market Overview
Bitcoin's latest exchange netflow is slightly positive but down 28% from the recent 3-day average, while ETF flows have turned sharply negative today. Whale activity is significantly reduced, indicating lower large-holder engagement. Over the past week, Bitcoin's exchange netflows have shifted from negative to slightly positive, but ETF flows have reversed dramatically from positive to strongly negative. Whale activity remains subdued, indicating a lack of strong accumulation.
Daily On-Chain Analysis
Bitcoin's latest exchange netflow is slightly positive but down 28% from the recent 3-day average, while ETF flows have turned sharply negative today. Whale activity is significantly reduced, indicating lower large-holder engagement.
- Exchange netflow positive but declining vs recent baseline
- ETF netflow sharply negative after recent positive inflows
- Whale transaction count and volume down over 90%
- Potential short-term sell pressure from ETF outflows
- Reduced whale activity may limit strong directional moves
- ETF outflows could accelerate if market sentiment worsens
- Low whale activity may reduce liquidity and amplify volatility
- Exchange inflows remain positive, indicating some sell pressure
- Sudden whale reactivation could change dynamics quickly
Conclusion: In the short term, Bitcoin faces bearish pressure primarily from ETF outflows and declining whale activity, despite mildly positive exchange netflows. This suggests cautious sentiment with potential for increased selling if ETF outflows persist.
Over the past week, Bitcoin's exchange netflows have shifted from negative to slightly positive, but ETF flows have reversed dramatically from positive to strongly negative. Whale activity remains subdued, indicating a lack of strong accumulation.
- Exchange netflows up 152% vs 7-day average but remain near zero
- ETF netflows down over 1000% vs 7-day average, signaling demand drop
- Whale transaction count and volume remain significantly below average
- Persistent ETF outflows suggest weakening institutional demand
- Exchange flows do not yet confirm strong accumulation
- Continued ETF outflows could pressure price further
- Whale inactivity may delay recovery or accumulation
- Exchange netflows near zero could quickly flip with market shifts
- Potential for sudden whale-driven volatility
Conclusion: Bitcoin's medium-term on-chain data points to bearish conditions driven by sustained ETF outflows and weak whale participation, with exchange flows not yet indicating meaningful accumulation or reduced sell pressure.
Ethereum's exchange netflows have collapsed nearly 100% from recent averages but remain positive, while ETF inflows have surged back into positive territory. Whale activity is down sharply, suggesting less large-holder movement today.
- Exchange netflows positive but down ~99% vs recent baseline
- ETF netflows strongly positive after recent negative readings
- Whale transaction count and volume decreased significantly
- ETF inflows indicate renewed institutional demand
- Reduced whale activity may limit immediate volatility
- Low exchange inflows may limit short-term price support
- Whale inactivity could delay strong directional moves
- ETF inflows could reverse if market conditions deteriorate
- Sudden whale reactivation could increase volatility
Conclusion: Ethereum's short-term on-chain signals are mixed but lean bullish due to strong ETF inflows offsetting sharply reduced exchange activity, suggesting renewed demand despite lower whale engagement.
Ethereum shows a clear medium-term shift with ETF inflows turning strongly positive after a period of outflows, while exchange netflows have dropped significantly but remain positive. Whale activity is subdued but consistent with a consolidation phase.
- ETF netflows up over 140% vs 7-day average, signaling strong demand
- Exchange netflows down nearly 98% but still positive
- Whale transaction count and volume remain below average
- Sustained positive ETF flows support medium-term bullish bias
- Exchange flows suggest reduced immediate sell pressure
- Low whale activity may limit accumulation strength
- Exchange netflows near zero could reverse quickly
- ETF inflows could slow if market sentiment shifts
- Potential for volatility if whales increase activity suddenly
Conclusion: Ethereum's medium-term on-chain data supports a bullish outlook driven by strong ETF inflows and positive exchange netflows, despite subdued whale activity, indicating institutional demand is a key driver currently.
Bitcoin
Bitcoin Exchange Flows
Bitcoin ETF Net Flow
Bitcoin Whale Activity
Bitcoin Summary Tables
| Date | Bitcoin Inflow | Bitcoin Outflow | Bitcoin Net Flow |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-09 | 0.00010332 | 0.00009968 | 0.00000364 |
| 2026-05-08 | 0.00057458 | 0.00056378 | 0.00001081 |
| 2026-05-07 | 0.00057606 | 0.00059051 | -0.00001445 |
| 2026-05-06 | 0.00084667 | 0.00082781 | 0.00001886 |
| 2026-05-05 | 0.00087370 | 0.00090012 | -0.00002642 |
| 2026-05-04 | 0.00082315 | 0.00084126 | -0.00001811 |
| 2026-05-03 | 0.00043207 | 0.00043920 | -0.00000713 |
| 2026-05-02 | 0.00066853 | 0.00068115 | -0.00001261 |
| 2026-05-01 | 0.00103481 | 0.00105489 | -0.00002008 |
| 2026-04-30 | 0.00121417 | 0.00116595 | 0.00004822 |
| 2026-04-29 | 0.00095644 | 0.00093696 | 0.00001948 |
| 2026-04-28 | 0.00085988 | 0.00082768 | 0.00003220 |
| 2026-04-27 | 0.00082879 | 0.00082056 | 0.00000822 |
| 2026-04-26 | 0.00043809 | 0.00043958 | -0.00000149 |
| 2026-04-25 | 0.00054412 | 0.00055571 | -0.00001159 |
| Date | Bitcoin ETF Net Flow |
|---|---|
| 2026-05-08 | -1,769.48 |
| 2026-05-07 | -817.22 |
| 2026-05-06 | 1,018.76 |
| 2026-05-05 | 229.29 |
| 2026-05-04 | 2,377.18 |
| 2026-05-03 | 0.00 |
| 2026-05-01 | -192.71 |
| 2026-04-30 | -1,352.25 |
| 2026-04-29 | -814.26 |
| 2026-04-28 | -1,647.32 |
| 2026-04-27 | -119.31 |
| 2026-04-26 | 0.00 |
| 2026-04-25 | 0.00 |
| 2026-04-24 | 1,237.85 |
| 2026-04-23 | 687.15 |
| Date | Whale Tx | Bitcoin Moved |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-09 | 77 | 64,952.45 |
| 2026-05-08 | 714 | 403,732.80 |
| 2026-05-07 | 783 | 463,464.06 |
| 2026-05-06 | 951 | 483,692.08 |
| 2026-05-05 | 1,093 | 572,283.84 |
| 2026-05-04 | 1,065 | 586,264.46 |
| 2026-05-03 | 490 | 362,987.25 |
| 2026-05-02 | 487 | 449,313.65 |
| 2026-05-01 | 859 | 633,568.93 |
| 2026-04-30 | 908 | 569,916.57 |
| 2026-04-29 | 947 | 520,115.37 |
| 2026-04-28 | 955 | 566,936.56 |
| 2026-04-27 | 953 | 487,823.07 |
| 2026-04-26 | 585 | 317,197.99 |
| 2026-04-25 | 569 | 349,722.45 |
Ethereum
Ethereum Exchange Flows
Ethereum ETF Net Flow
Ethereum Whale Activity
Ethereum Summary Tables
| Date | Ethereum Inflow | Ethereum Outflow | Ethereum Net Flow |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-09 | 32,668.26 | 32,442.44 | 225.83 |
| 2026-05-08 | 445,203.64 | 409,917.34 | 35,286.29 |
| 2026-05-07 | 445,438.44 | 390,886.53 | 54,551.90 |
| 2026-05-06 | 636,788.01 | 502,607.46 | 134,180.55 |
| 2026-05-05 | 307,619.53 | 327,611.19 | -19,991.66 |
| 2026-05-04 | 382,761.74 | 433,814.22 | -51,052.48 |
| 2026-05-03 | 111,246.70 | 165,128.54 | -53,881.84 |
| 2026-05-02 | 89,077.62 | 84,065.26 | 5,012.35 |
| 2026-05-01 | 337,082.87 | 448,844.94 | -111,762.07 |
| 2026-04-30 | 301,193.64 | 366,166.26 | -64,972.61 |
| 2026-04-29 | 601,277.83 | 594,909.67 | 6,368.17 |
| 2026-04-28 | 368,522.38 | 270,855.99 | 97,666.40 |
| 2026-04-27 | 496,620.56 | 469,691.30 | 26,929.25 |
| 2026-04-26 | 128,737.49 | 140,854.64 | -12,117.15 |
| 2026-04-25 | 90,265.42 | 98,418.97 | -8,153.55 |
| Date | Ethereum ETF Net Flow |
|---|---|
| 2026-05-09 | 1,008.15 |
| 2026-05-08 | -22,252.23 |
| 2026-05-07 | 650.38 |
| 2026-05-06 | 2,424.44 |
| 2026-05-05 | -2,296.65 |
| 2026-05-04 | -957.78 |
| 2026-05-03 | 2,513.67 |
| 2026-05-02 | 2,692.28 |
| 2026-05-01 | -31,376.56 |
| 2026-04-30 | -14,324.92 |
| 2026-04-29 | -9,374.05 |
| 2026-04-28 | -6,776.07 |
| 2026-04-27 | 2,309.37 |
| 2026-04-26 | 7,506.77 |
| 2026-04-25 | 98.14 |
| Date | Whale Tx | Ethereum Moved |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-09 | 160 | 331,018.33 |
| 2026-05-08 | 706 | 2,161,077.56 |
| 2026-05-07 | 650 | 2,818,527.89 |
| 2026-05-06 | 786 | 2,475,835.45 |
| 2026-05-05 | 447 | 1,629,209.80 |
| 2026-05-04 | 558 | 1,842,399.57 |
| 2026-05-03 | 215 | 783,919.81 |
| 2026-05-02 | 118 | 387,026.28 |
| 2026-05-01 | 524 | 1,704,551.33 |
| 2026-04-30 | 477 | 2,029,714.87 |
| 2026-04-29 | 563 | 2,498,589.80 |
| 2026-04-28 | 502 | 1,894,592.14 |
| 2026-04-27 | 490 | 1,675,592.98 |
| 2026-04-26 | 174 | 614,553.12 |
| 2026-04-25 | 94 | 367,799.97 |

