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BTC and ETH On-Chain Data Analysis – May 09, 2026

CoinDirection On-Chain Data Analysis

Daily Bitcoin and Ethereum on-chain analysis based on exchange flows, ETF net flows and whale activity.
Source: Dune
Updated: May 09, 2026 06:32 UTC

Market Overview

Bitcoin's latest exchange netflow is slightly positive but down 28% from the recent 3-day average, while ETF flows have turned sharply negative today. Whale activity is significantly reduced, indicating lower large-holder engagement. Over the past week, Bitcoin's exchange netflows have shifted from negative to slightly positive, but ETF flows have reversed dramatically from positive to strongly negative. Whale activity remains subdued, indicating a lack of strong accumulation.

Daily On-Chain Analysis

Bitcoin Daily On-Chain Flow Analysis
Bias: bearish | Confidence: medium

Bitcoin's latest exchange netflow is slightly positive but down 28% from the recent 3-day average, while ETF flows have turned sharply negative today. Whale activity is significantly reduced, indicating lower large-holder engagement.

Key points
  • Exchange netflow positive but declining vs recent baseline
  • ETF netflow sharply negative after recent positive inflows
  • Whale transaction count and volume down over 90%
  • Potential short-term sell pressure from ETF outflows
  • Reduced whale activity may limit strong directional moves
Risks
  • ETF outflows could accelerate if market sentiment worsens
  • Low whale activity may reduce liquidity and amplify volatility
  • Exchange inflows remain positive, indicating some sell pressure
  • Sudden whale reactivation could change dynamics quickly

Conclusion: In the short term, Bitcoin faces bearish pressure primarily from ETF outflows and declining whale activity, despite mildly positive exchange netflows. This suggests cautious sentiment with potential for increased selling if ETF outflows persist.

Bitcoin Medium-Term On-Chain Trends
Bias: bearish | Confidence: high

Over the past week, Bitcoin's exchange netflows have shifted from negative to slightly positive, but ETF flows have reversed dramatically from positive to strongly negative. Whale activity remains subdued, indicating a lack of strong accumulation.

Key points
  • Exchange netflows up 152% vs 7-day average but remain near zero
  • ETF netflows down over 1000% vs 7-day average, signaling demand drop
  • Whale transaction count and volume remain significantly below average
  • Persistent ETF outflows suggest weakening institutional demand
  • Exchange flows do not yet confirm strong accumulation
Risks
  • Continued ETF outflows could pressure price further
  • Whale inactivity may delay recovery or accumulation
  • Exchange netflows near zero could quickly flip with market shifts
  • Potential for sudden whale-driven volatility

Conclusion: Bitcoin's medium-term on-chain data points to bearish conditions driven by sustained ETF outflows and weak whale participation, with exchange flows not yet indicating meaningful accumulation or reduced sell pressure.

Ethereum Daily On-Chain Flow Analysis
Bias: bullish | Confidence: medium

Ethereum's exchange netflows have collapsed nearly 100% from recent averages but remain positive, while ETF inflows have surged back into positive territory. Whale activity is down sharply, suggesting less large-holder movement today.

Key points
  • Exchange netflows positive but down ~99% vs recent baseline
  • ETF netflows strongly positive after recent negative readings
  • Whale transaction count and volume decreased significantly
  • ETF inflows indicate renewed institutional demand
  • Reduced whale activity may limit immediate volatility
Risks
  • Low exchange inflows may limit short-term price support
  • Whale inactivity could delay strong directional moves
  • ETF inflows could reverse if market conditions deteriorate
  • Sudden whale reactivation could increase volatility

Conclusion: Ethereum's short-term on-chain signals are mixed but lean bullish due to strong ETF inflows offsetting sharply reduced exchange activity, suggesting renewed demand despite lower whale engagement.

Ethereum Medium-Term On-Chain Trends
Bias: bullish | Confidence: high

Ethereum shows a clear medium-term shift with ETF inflows turning strongly positive after a period of outflows, while exchange netflows have dropped significantly but remain positive. Whale activity is subdued but consistent with a consolidation phase.

Key points
  • ETF netflows up over 140% vs 7-day average, signaling strong demand
  • Exchange netflows down nearly 98% but still positive
  • Whale transaction count and volume remain below average
  • Sustained positive ETF flows support medium-term bullish bias
  • Exchange flows suggest reduced immediate sell pressure
Risks
  • Low whale activity may limit accumulation strength
  • Exchange netflows near zero could reverse quickly
  • ETF inflows could slow if market sentiment shifts
  • Potential for volatility if whales increase activity suddenly

Conclusion: Ethereum's medium-term on-chain data supports a bullish outlook driven by strong ETF inflows and positive exchange netflows, despite subdued whale activity, indicating institutional demand is a key driver currently.

Bitcoin

Bitcoin Exchange Net Flow
0.00000364
Bitcoin ETF Net Flow
-1,769.48
Bitcoin Whale Tx
77
Bitcoin Moved by Whales
64.95K

Bitcoin Exchange Flows

Bitcoin ETF Net Flow

Bitcoin Whale Activity

Bitcoin Summary Tables

Latest Bitcoin Exchange Flows
DateBitcoin InflowBitcoin OutflowBitcoin Net Flow
2026-05-090.000103320.000099680.00000364
2026-05-080.000574580.000563780.00001081
2026-05-070.000576060.00059051-0.00001445
2026-05-060.000846670.000827810.00001886
2026-05-050.000873700.00090012-0.00002642
2026-05-040.000823150.00084126-0.00001811
2026-05-030.000432070.00043920-0.00000713
2026-05-020.000668530.00068115-0.00001261
2026-05-010.001034810.00105489-0.00002008
2026-04-300.001214170.001165950.00004822
2026-04-290.000956440.000936960.00001948
2026-04-280.000859880.000827680.00003220
2026-04-270.000828790.000820560.00000822
2026-04-260.000438090.00043958-0.00000149
2026-04-250.000544120.00055571-0.00001159
Latest Bitcoin ETF Net Flows
DateBitcoin ETF Net Flow
2026-05-08-1,769.48
2026-05-07-817.22
2026-05-061,018.76
2026-05-05229.29
2026-05-042,377.18
2026-05-030.00
2026-05-01-192.71
2026-04-30-1,352.25
2026-04-29-814.26
2026-04-28-1,647.32
2026-04-27-119.31
2026-04-260.00
2026-04-250.00
2026-04-241,237.85
2026-04-23687.15
Latest Bitcoin Whale Activity
DateWhale TxBitcoin Moved
2026-05-097764,952.45
2026-05-08714403,732.80
2026-05-07783463,464.06
2026-05-06951483,692.08
2026-05-051,093572,283.84
2026-05-041,065586,264.46
2026-05-03490362,987.25
2026-05-02487449,313.65
2026-05-01859633,568.93
2026-04-30908569,916.57
2026-04-29947520,115.37
2026-04-28955566,936.56
2026-04-27953487,823.07
2026-04-26585317,197.99
2026-04-25569349,722.45

Ethereum

Ethereum Exchange Net Flow
225.83
Ethereum ETF Net Flow
1,008.15
Ethereum Whale Tx
160
Ethereum Moved by Whales
331.02K

Ethereum Exchange Flows

Ethereum ETF Net Flow

Ethereum Whale Activity

Ethereum Summary Tables

Latest Ethereum Exchange Flows
DateEthereum InflowEthereum OutflowEthereum Net Flow
2026-05-0932,668.2632,442.44225.83
2026-05-08445,203.64409,917.3435,286.29
2026-05-07445,438.44390,886.5354,551.90
2026-05-06636,788.01502,607.46134,180.55
2026-05-05307,619.53327,611.19-19,991.66
2026-05-04382,761.74433,814.22-51,052.48
2026-05-03111,246.70165,128.54-53,881.84
2026-05-0289,077.6284,065.265,012.35
2026-05-01337,082.87448,844.94-111,762.07
2026-04-30301,193.64366,166.26-64,972.61
2026-04-29601,277.83594,909.676,368.17
2026-04-28368,522.38270,855.9997,666.40
2026-04-27496,620.56469,691.3026,929.25
2026-04-26128,737.49140,854.64-12,117.15
2026-04-2590,265.4298,418.97-8,153.55
Latest Ethereum ETF Net Flows
DateEthereum ETF Net Flow
2026-05-091,008.15
2026-05-08-22,252.23
2026-05-07650.38
2026-05-062,424.44
2026-05-05-2,296.65
2026-05-04-957.78
2026-05-032,513.67
2026-05-022,692.28
2026-05-01-31,376.56
2026-04-30-14,324.92
2026-04-29-9,374.05
2026-04-28-6,776.07
2026-04-272,309.37
2026-04-267,506.77
2026-04-2598.14
Latest Ethereum Whale Activity
DateWhale TxEthereum Moved
2026-05-09160331,018.33
2026-05-087062,161,077.56
2026-05-076502,818,527.89
2026-05-067862,475,835.45
2026-05-054471,629,209.80
2026-05-045581,842,399.57
2026-05-03215783,919.81
2026-05-02118387,026.28
2026-05-015241,704,551.33
2026-04-304772,029,714.87
2026-04-295632,498,589.80
2026-04-285021,894,592.14
2026-04-274901,675,592.98
2026-04-26174614,553.12
2026-04-2594367,799.97