Skip to main content

Coin Direction Telegram Channel

BTC and ETH On-Chain Data Analysis – May 07, 2026

CoinDirection On-Chain Data Analysis

Daily Bitcoin and Ethereum on-chain analysis based on exchange flows, ETF net flows and whale activity.
Source: Dune
Updated: May 07, 2026 05:47 UTC

Market Overview

BTC exchange netflows have turned positive after a period of outflows, signaling potential short-term sell pressure. ETF inflows collapsed nearly to zero, removing a key demand source. Despite recent daily inflow spikes, the medium-term trend shows overall low exchange inflows and sharply reduced whale activity, indicating a lack of strong directional conviction. ETF flows have collapsed, removing a key demand driver.

Daily On-Chain Analysis

Bitcoin Daily On-Chain Flow Analysis
Bias: bearish | Confidence: medium

BTC exchange netflows have turned positive after a period of outflows, signaling potential short-term sell pressure. ETF inflows collapsed nearly to zero, removing a key demand source.

Key points
  • Exchange netflow shifted from negative to slightly positive
  • ETF net inflows dropped almost 100% compared to recent averages
  • Whale transaction count and volume sharply decreased
  • Short-term sell pressure indicated by rising exchange inflows
Risks
  • ETF inflows near zero reduce bullish demand signals
  • Low whale activity may limit strong directional moves
  • Exchange inflows remain small in absolute terms
  • Potential for quick reversal if whales re-enter

Conclusion: Bitcoin's daily on-chain data suggests emerging short-term sell pressure due to rising exchange inflows and collapsed ETF demand, compounded by reduced whale activity, warranting caution for immediate bullish conviction.

Bitcoin Medium-Term On-Chain Trends
Bias: neutral | Confidence: medium

Despite recent daily inflow spikes, the medium-term trend shows overall low exchange inflows and sharply reduced whale activity, indicating a lack of strong directional conviction. ETF flows have collapsed, removing a key demand driver.

Key points
  • Exchange netflows averaged negative over past week before recent rise
  • ETF inflows have dropped drastically over the medium term
  • Whale activity is significantly below 7-day average
  • No clear accumulation or distribution trend established
Risks
  • ETF demand absence could pressure prices if selling intensifies
  • Whale inactivity may reduce market liquidity and momentum
  • Exchange inflows could increase further, increasing sell pressure
  • Potential for mixed signals to cause volatility

Conclusion: Bitcoin's medium-term on-chain data reflects a neutral stance with no sustained accumulation or distribution, marked by collapsed ETF demand and subdued whale activity, suggesting a wait-and-see approach to directional bias.

Ethereum Daily On-Chain Flow Analysis
Bias: bullish | Confidence: medium

ETH exchange netflows turned strongly negative today, indicating renewed accumulation and reduced immediate sell pressure. However, ETF outflows deepened, signaling demand weakness.

Key points
  • Exchange netflows shifted from positive to strongly negative
  • ETF net outflows increased significantly
  • Whale transaction count and volume dropped notably
  • Short-term accumulation indicated by exchange outflows
Risks
  • ETF outflows may offset accumulation benefits
  • Reduced whale activity could limit strong directional moves
  • Volatility risk due to conflicting signals
  • Potential for quick reversal if ETF demand worsens

Conclusion: Ethereum's daily on-chain data points to short-term accumulation via exchange outflows, but deepening ETF outflows and declining whale activity introduce caution, resulting in a mixed bullish bias.

Ethereum Medium-Term On-Chain Trends
Bias: mixed | Confidence: medium

Medium-term ETH data shows persistent exchange outflows suggesting accumulation, but ETF outflows remain elevated and whale activity is subdued, creating conflicting signals about demand strength.

Key points
  • Exchange netflows averaged negative over past week indicating accumulation
  • ETF netflows remain negative but less severe than recent lows
  • Whale activity significantly below weekly average
  • Conflicting signals between accumulation and demand weakness
Risks
  • Sustained ETF outflows could pressure prices
  • Low whale activity may reduce market momentum
  • Exchange outflows may not be sufficient to offset ETF weakness
  • Potential for volatility due to mixed signals

Conclusion: Ethereum's medium-term on-chain trends reflect accumulation on exchanges but persistent ETF outflows and low whale activity create a mixed outlook, suggesting cautious interpretation of demand strength.

Bitcoin

Bitcoin Exchange Net Flow
0.00000026
Bitcoin ETF Net Flow
0.00
Bitcoin Whale Tx
117
Bitcoin Moved by Whales
79.56K

Bitcoin Exchange Flows

Bitcoin ETF Net Flow

Bitcoin Whale Activity

Bitcoin Summary Tables

Latest Bitcoin Exchange Flows
DateBitcoin InflowBitcoin OutflowBitcoin Net Flow
2026-05-070.000114590.000114330.00000026
2026-05-060.000846670.000827810.00001886
2026-05-050.000873700.00090012-0.00002642
2026-05-040.000823150.00084126-0.00001811
2026-05-030.000432070.00043920-0.00000713
2026-05-020.000668530.00068115-0.00001261
2026-05-010.001034810.00105489-0.00002008
2026-04-300.001214170.001165950.00004822
2026-04-290.000956440.000936960.00001948
2026-04-280.000859880.000827680.00003220
2026-04-270.000828790.000820560.00000822
2026-04-260.000438090.00043958-0.00000149
2026-04-250.000544120.00055571-0.00001159
2026-04-240.001046000.001030230.00001576
2026-04-230.000994650.000991730.00000293
Latest Bitcoin ETF Net Flows
DateBitcoin ETF Net Flow
2026-05-070.00
2026-05-061,018.76
2026-05-05229.29
2026-05-042,377.18
2026-05-030.00
2026-05-01-192.71
2026-04-30-1,352.25
2026-04-29-814.26
2026-04-28-1,647.32
2026-04-27-119.31
2026-04-260.00
2026-04-250.00
2026-04-241,237.85
2026-04-23687.15
2026-04-2215.17
Latest Bitcoin Whale Activity
DateWhale TxBitcoin Moved
2026-05-0711779,558.61
2026-05-06951483,692.08
2026-05-051,093572,283.84
2026-05-041,065586,264.46
2026-05-03490362,987.25
2026-05-02487449,313.65
2026-05-01859633,568.93
2026-04-30908569,916.57
2026-04-29947520,115.37
2026-04-28955566,936.56
2026-04-27953487,823.07
2026-04-26585317,197.99
2026-04-25569349,722.45
2026-04-241,110810,668.92
2026-04-23993565,576.76

Ethereum

Ethereum Exchange Net Flow
-49.63
Ethereum ETF Net Flow
-2,427.73
Ethereum Whale Tx
193
Ethereum Moved by Whales
450.39K

Ethereum Exchange Flows

Ethereum ETF Net Flow

Ethereum Whale Activity

Ethereum Summary Tables

Latest Ethereum Exchange Flows
DateEthereum InflowEthereum OutflowEthereum Net Flow
2026-05-0765,571.7565,621.39-49.63
2026-05-06636,788.01502,607.46134,180.55
2026-05-05307,619.53327,611.19-19,991.66
2026-05-04382,761.74433,814.22-51,052.48
2026-05-03111,246.70165,128.54-53,881.84
2026-05-0289,077.6284,065.265,012.35
2026-05-01337,082.87448,844.94-111,762.07
2026-04-30301,193.64366,166.26-64,972.61
2026-04-29601,277.83594,909.676,368.17
2026-04-28368,522.38270,855.9997,666.40
2026-04-27496,620.56469,691.3026,929.25
2026-04-26128,737.49140,854.64-12,117.15
2026-04-2590,265.4298,418.97-8,153.55
2026-04-24519,288.65506,929.9512,358.70
2026-04-23396,862.74515,830.07-118,967.33
Latest Ethereum ETF Net Flows
DateEthereum ETF Net Flow
2026-05-07-2,427.73
2026-05-062,424.44
2026-05-05-2,296.65
2026-05-04-957.78
2026-05-032,513.67
2026-05-022,692.28
2026-05-01-31,376.56
2026-04-30-14,324.92
2026-04-29-9,374.05
2026-04-28-6,776.07
2026-04-272,309.37
2026-04-267,506.77
2026-04-2598.14
2026-04-24-115,588.09
2026-04-23-7,585.62
Latest Ethereum Whale Activity
DateWhale TxEthereum Moved
2026-05-07193450,394.44
2026-05-067862,475,835.45
2026-05-054471,629,209.80
2026-05-045581,842,399.57
2026-05-03215783,919.81
2026-05-02118387,026.28
2026-05-015241,704,551.33
2026-04-304772,029,714.87
2026-04-295632,498,589.80
2026-04-285021,894,592.14
2026-04-274901,675,592.98
2026-04-26174614,553.12
2026-04-2594367,799.97
2026-04-245772,129,979.31
2026-04-234541,557,510.16