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BTC and ETH On-Chain Data Analysis – May 06, 2026

CoinDirection On-Chain Data Analysis

Daily Bitcoin and Ethereum on-chain analysis based on exchange flows, ETF net flows and whale activity.
Source: Dune
Updated: May 06, 2026 06:16 UTC

Market Overview

Bitcoin's latest exchange netflow remains negative but has decreased in magnitude, indicating reduced outflows. ETF inflows are positive but significantly lower than recent averages, while whale activity sharply declined. Over the medium term, Bitcoin's exchange outflows have moderated from prior levels, ETF inflows remain positive but volatile, and whale activity has significantly decreased, suggesting a transition phase with unclear directional bias.

Daily On-Chain Analysis

Bitcoin Daily On-Chain Flow Analysis
Bias: neutral | Confidence: medium

Bitcoin's latest exchange netflow remains negative but has decreased in magnitude, indicating reduced outflows. ETF inflows are positive but significantly lower than recent averages, while whale activity sharply declined.

Key points
  • Exchange netflow negative but less outflow than recent 3-day average
  • ETF net inflow positive but down 68% vs recent 3-day average
  • Whale transaction count and volume down over 88% vs 7-day average
  • Reduced whale activity may signal lower large-holder positioning
  • Short-term sell pressure appears muted but demand is not strongly increasing
Risks
  • ETF inflows dropping could reduce spot demand
  • Whale inactivity may precede distribution or accumulation shifts
  • Exchange outflows decreasing could limit immediate sell pressure but also reduce liquidity
  • Volatility may increase if whale activity resumes abruptly

Conclusion: In the short term, Bitcoin shows signs of reduced selling pressure with lower exchange outflows and ETF inflows, but the sharp drop in whale activity introduces uncertainty about near-term directional conviction.

Bitcoin Medium-Term On-Chain Trends
Bias: mixed | Confidence: medium

Over the medium term, Bitcoin's exchange outflows have moderated from prior levels, ETF inflows remain positive but volatile, and whale activity has significantly decreased, suggesting a transition phase with unclear directional bias.

Key points
  • Exchange netflows less negative compared to 7-day average, indicating reduced accumulation
  • ETF inflows positive overall but highly variable
  • Whale transaction count and volume down sharply, indicating lower large-holder engagement
  • Mixed signals between sustained ETF demand and declining whale activity
  • Market may be consolidating with reduced immediate sell pressure
Risks
  • ETF inflow volatility could lead to demand fluctuations
  • Low whale activity may precede sudden repositioning
  • Exchange flow moderation may limit strong accumulation signals
  • Potential for sideways price action or increased volatility

Conclusion: Bitcoin's medium-term on-chain data reflects a balance between ongoing demand from ETFs and diminished whale participation, resulting in a mixed outlook with potential for consolidation or volatility depending on future flow changes.

Ethereum Daily On-Chain Flow Analysis
Bias: neutral | Confidence: medium

Ethereum's exchange outflows remain negative but have decreased significantly, indicating less accumulation. ETF outflows persist but have lessened, while whale activity is down substantially, suggesting cautious positioning.

Key points
  • Exchange netflow negative but 82% less outflow than recent averages
  • ETF netflow negative, though outflows have reduced compared to prior periods
  • Whale transaction count down 44%, moved volume down 67% vs 7-day average
  • Reduced whale activity signals lower large-holder engagement
  • Short-term sell pressure from exchange and ETF flows is diminishing
Risks
  • Continued ETF outflows may pressure demand
  • Lower whale activity could precede distribution or accumulation shifts
  • Reduced exchange outflows may limit accumulation signals
  • Potential for volatility if whale activity changes abruptly

Conclusion: Ethereum's short-term on-chain data shows easing sell pressure with reduced exchange outflows and ETF outflows, but subdued whale activity introduces uncertainty about near-term directional momentum.

Ethereum Medium-Term On-Chain Trends
Bias: bearish | Confidence: medium

Ethereum's medium-term data shows persistent exchange outflows albeit at lower levels, ongoing ETF outflows, and significantly reduced whale activity, collectively indicating cautious sentiment and potential demand weakness.

Key points
  • Exchange outflows persist but have decreased compared to prior weeks
  • ETF netflows remain negative, signaling demand pressure
  • Whale activity sharply reduced in both count and volume
  • Combination of ETF outflows and low whale engagement suggests bearish undertone
  • Market may be experiencing subdued accumulation and cautious positioning
Risks
  • ETF outflows could continue to pressure price
  • Low whale activity may limit strong accumulation support
  • Exchange outflows, though reduced, still indicate some selling
  • Potential for increased volatility if whale behavior shifts

Conclusion: Ethereum's medium-term on-chain trends point to a cautious and slightly bearish environment with persistent ETF outflows and diminished whale participation, suggesting subdued demand and potential for continued pressure.

Bitcoin

Bitcoin Exchange Net Flow
-0.00000659
Bitcoin ETF Net Flow
229.29
Bitcoin Whale Tx
100
Bitcoin Moved by Whales
63.75K

Bitcoin Exchange Flows

Bitcoin ETF Net Flow

Bitcoin Whale Activity

Bitcoin Summary Tables

Latest Bitcoin Exchange Flows
DateBitcoin InflowBitcoin OutflowBitcoin Net Flow
2026-05-060.000111270.00011786-0.00000659
2026-05-050.000873700.00090012-0.00002642
2026-05-040.000823150.00084126-0.00001811
2026-05-030.000432070.00043920-0.00000713
2026-05-020.000668530.00068115-0.00001261
2026-05-010.001034810.00105489-0.00002008
2026-04-300.001214170.001165950.00004822
2026-04-290.000956440.000936960.00001948
2026-04-280.000859880.000827680.00003220
2026-04-270.000828790.000820560.00000822
2026-04-260.000438090.00043958-0.00000149
2026-04-250.000544120.00055571-0.00001159
2026-04-240.001046000.001030230.00001576
2026-04-230.000994650.000991730.00000293
2026-04-220.001399370.00141993-0.00002055
Latest Bitcoin ETF Net Flows
DateBitcoin ETF Net Flow
2026-05-05229.29
2026-05-042,377.18
2026-05-030.00
2026-05-01-192.71
2026-04-30-1,352.25
2026-04-29-814.26
2026-04-28-1,647.32
2026-04-27-119.31
2026-04-260.00
2026-04-250.00
2026-04-241,237.85
2026-04-23687.15
2026-04-2215.17
2026-04-21-383.17
2026-04-205,714.35
Latest Bitcoin Whale Activity
DateWhale TxBitcoin Moved
2026-05-0610063,748.00
2026-05-051,093572,283.84
2026-05-041,065586,264.46
2026-05-03490362,987.25
2026-05-02487449,313.65
2026-05-01859633,568.93
2026-04-30908569,916.57
2026-04-29947520,115.37
2026-04-28955566,936.56
2026-04-27953487,823.07
2026-04-26585317,197.99
2026-04-25569349,722.45
2026-04-241,110810,668.92
2026-04-23993565,576.76
2026-04-221,025662,376.57

Ethereum

Ethereum Exchange Net Flow
-7,314.92
Ethereum ETF Net Flow
-326.40
Ethereum Whale Tx
234
Ethereum Moved by Whales
507.51K

Ethereum Exchange Flows

Ethereum ETF Net Flow

Ethereum Whale Activity

Ethereum Summary Tables

Latest Ethereum Exchange Flows
DateEthereum InflowEthereum OutflowEthereum Net Flow
2026-05-0653,065.5460,380.46-7,314.92
2026-05-05307,619.53327,611.19-19,991.66
2026-05-04382,761.74433,814.22-51,052.48
2026-05-03111,246.70165,128.54-53,881.84
2026-05-0289,077.6284,065.265,012.35
2026-05-01337,082.87448,844.94-111,762.07
2026-04-30301,193.64366,166.26-64,972.61
2026-04-29601,277.83594,909.676,368.17
2026-04-28368,522.38270,855.9997,666.40
2026-04-27496,620.56469,691.3026,929.25
2026-04-26128,737.49140,854.64-12,117.15
2026-04-2590,265.4298,418.97-8,153.55
2026-04-24519,288.65506,929.9512,358.70
2026-04-23396,862.74515,830.07-118,967.33
2026-04-22497,856.98488,880.728,976.26
Latest Ethereum ETF Net Flows
DateEthereum ETF Net Flow
2026-05-06-326.40
2026-05-05-2,296.65
2026-05-04-957.78
2026-05-032,513.67
2026-05-022,692.28
2026-05-01-31,376.56
2026-04-30-14,324.92
2026-04-29-9,374.05
2026-04-28-6,776.07
2026-04-272,309.37
2026-04-267,506.77
2026-04-2598.14
2026-04-24-115,588.09
2026-04-23-7,585.62
2026-04-2211,665.95
Latest Ethereum Whale Activity
DateWhale TxEthereum Moved
2026-05-06234507,506.55
2026-05-054471,629,209.80
2026-05-045581,842,399.57
2026-05-03215783,919.81
2026-05-02118387,026.28
2026-05-015241,704,551.33
2026-04-304772,029,714.87
2026-04-295632,498,589.80
2026-04-285021,894,592.14
2026-04-274901,675,592.98
2026-04-26174614,553.12
2026-04-2594367,799.97
2026-04-245772,129,979.31
2026-04-234541,557,510.16
2026-04-224971,627,107.72