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BTC and ETH On-Chain Data Analysis – May 04, 2026

CoinDirection On-Chain Data Analysis

Daily Bitcoin and Ethereum on-chain analysis based on exchange flows, ETF net flows and whale activity.
Source: Dune
Updated: May 04, 2026 06:13 UTC

Market Overview

Bitcoin's latest exchange netflow turned slightly positive after recent negative averages, indicating a potential increase in sell pressure. ETF inflows have shifted from negative to positive, suggesting renewed demand. Over the medium term, Bitcoin's exchange flows have fluctuated with no clear persistent trend, while ETF flows remain positive after a period of negative demand. Whale activity has consistently declined, indicating less large-scale positioning.

Daily On-Chain Analysis

Bitcoin Daily On-Chain Flow Analysis
Bias: mixed | Confidence: medium

Bitcoin's latest exchange netflow turned slightly positive after recent negative averages, indicating a potential increase in sell pressure. ETF inflows have shifted from negative to positive, suggesting renewed demand.

Key points
  • Exchange netflow flipped positive from negative baseline
  • ETF netflow turned positive after prior negative readings
  • Whale transaction count and volume sharply decreased
  • Short-term signals conflict between rising sell pressure and renewed demand
Risks
  • Rising exchange inflows may lead to increased sell pressure
  • Reduced whale activity could limit strong directional moves
  • ETF inflows may not sustain if exchange sell pressure intensifies

Conclusion: In the short term, Bitcoin shows mixed signals with exchange flows suggesting potential sell pressure while ETF inflows indicate renewed demand; subdued whale activity adds uncertainty to immediate directional strength.

Bitcoin Medium-Term On-Chain Trends
Bias: neutral | Confidence: medium

Over the medium term, Bitcoin's exchange flows have fluctuated with no clear persistent trend, while ETF flows remain positive after a period of negative demand. Whale activity has consistently declined, indicating less large-scale positioning.

Key points
  • Exchange netflows show volatility without clear directional persistence
  • ETF netflows have shifted from negative to positive and remain supportive
  • Whale activity steadily decreased over the past week
  • No strong alignment between exchange, ETF, and whale signals
Risks
  • Volatile exchange flows could lead to sudden shifts in sell pressure
  • Declining whale activity may reduce market liquidity or momentum
  • ETF inflows may not be sufficient to offset exchange sell pressure

Conclusion: Bitcoin's medium-term on-chain data reflect a neutral stance with mixed signals across exchange and ETF flows and declining whale activity, suggesting a balanced but cautious outlook without clear accumulation or distribution dominance.

Ethereum Daily On-Chain Flow Analysis
Bias: bearish | Confidence: medium

Ethereum's exchange netflow surged positive from recent negative averages, indicating increased sell pressure. ETF inflows turned positive but remain relatively small compared to exchange flows. Whale activity sharply declined in count and volume.

Key points
  • Exchange netflow sharply increased, signaling potential sell pressure
  • ETF netflow turned positive but remains modest
  • Whale transaction count and volume dropped significantly
  • Short-term signals lean towards distribution despite ETF demand
Risks
  • High exchange inflows may trigger further sell pressure
  • Weak whale activity could limit strong directional moves
  • ETF inflows may not counterbalance exchange outflows

Conclusion: Ethereum's short-term on-chain data suggest rising sell pressure from exchange inflows despite some positive ETF demand, with diminished whale activity adding to uncertainty about sustained accumulation.

Ethereum Medium-Term On-Chain Trends
Bias: bearish | Confidence: medium

Ethereum's medium-term trend shows persistent exchange inflows indicating ongoing sell pressure, while ETF flows have recently turned positive but remain small relative to exchange activity. Whale activity has steadily declined, signaling reduced large-scale positioning.

Key points
  • Exchange netflows persistently positive, suggesting distribution
  • ETF netflows recently positive but small in magnitude
  • Whale activity consistently lower over the past week
  • Signals align towards moderate bearishness with limited accumulation
Risks
  • Sustained exchange inflows may prolong sell pressure
  • Low whale activity could reduce market support
  • ETF inflows may not be sufficient to reverse trend

Conclusion: Ethereum's medium-term on-chain data point to ongoing sell pressure with persistent exchange inflows and declining whale activity, while modest ETF demand provides limited counterbalance, resulting in a cautiously bearish outlook.

Bitcoin

Bitcoin Exchange Net Flow
0.00000139
Bitcoin ETF Net Flow
0.00
Bitcoin Whale Tx
115
Bitcoin Moved by Whales
87.02K

Bitcoin Exchange Flows

Bitcoin ETF Net Flow

Bitcoin Whale Activity

Bitcoin Summary Tables

Latest Bitcoin Exchange Flows
DateBitcoin InflowBitcoin OutflowBitcoin Net Flow
2026-05-040.000114080.000112700.00000139
2026-05-030.000432070.00043920-0.00000713
2026-05-020.000668530.00068115-0.00001261
2026-05-010.001034810.00105489-0.00002008
2026-04-300.001214170.001165950.00004822
2026-04-290.000956440.000936960.00001948
2026-04-280.000859880.000827680.00003220
2026-04-270.000828790.000820560.00000822
2026-04-260.000438090.00043958-0.00000149
2026-04-250.000544120.00055571-0.00001159
2026-04-240.001046000.001030230.00001576
2026-04-230.000994650.000991730.00000293
2026-04-220.001399370.00141993-0.00002055
2026-04-210.001604960.00162020-0.00001523
2026-04-200.001267010.001259870.00000714
Latest Bitcoin ETF Net Flows
DateBitcoin ETF Net Flow
2026-05-030.00
2026-05-01-192.71
2026-04-30-1,352.25
2026-04-29-814.26
2026-04-28-1,647.32
2026-04-27-119.31
2026-04-260.00
2026-04-250.00
2026-04-241,237.85
2026-04-23687.15
2026-04-2215.17
2026-04-21-383.17
2026-04-205,714.35
2026-04-1884.85
2026-04-17423.50
Latest Bitcoin Whale Activity
DateWhale TxBitcoin Moved
2026-05-0411587,016.51
2026-05-03490362,987.25
2026-05-02487449,313.65
2026-05-01859633,568.93
2026-04-30908569,916.57
2026-04-29947520,115.37
2026-04-28955566,936.56
2026-04-27953487,823.07
2026-04-26585317,197.99
2026-04-25569349,722.45
2026-04-241,110810,668.92
2026-04-23993565,576.76
2026-04-221,025662,376.57
2026-04-211,130656,987.64
2026-04-201,311723,743.81

Ethereum

Ethereum Exchange Net Flow
5,924.88
Ethereum ETF Net Flow
139.68
Ethereum Whale Tx
118
Ethereum Moved by Whales
339.78K

Ethereum Exchange Flows

Ethereum ETF Net Flow

Ethereum Whale Activity

Ethereum Summary Tables

Latest Ethereum Exchange Flows
DateEthereum InflowEthereum OutflowEthereum Net Flow
2026-05-0480,962.2175,037.335,924.88
2026-05-03111,246.70165,128.54-53,881.84
2026-05-0289,077.6284,065.265,012.35
2026-05-01337,082.87448,844.94-111,762.07
2026-04-30301,193.64366,166.26-64,972.61
2026-04-29601,277.83594,909.676,368.17
2026-04-28368,522.38270,855.9997,666.40
2026-04-27496,620.56469,691.3026,929.25
2026-04-26128,737.49140,854.64-12,117.15
2026-04-2590,265.4298,418.97-8,153.55
2026-04-24519,288.65506,929.9512,358.70
2026-04-23396,862.74515,830.07-118,967.33
2026-04-22497,856.98488,880.728,976.26
2026-04-21444,313.35511,162.60-66,849.25
2026-04-20390,655.55851,815.48-461,159.93
Latest Ethereum ETF Net Flows
DateEthereum ETF Net Flow
2026-05-04139.68
2026-05-032,513.67
2026-05-022,692.28
2026-05-01-31,376.56
2026-04-30-14,324.92
2026-04-29-9,374.05
2026-04-28-6,776.07
2026-04-272,309.37
2026-04-267,506.77
2026-04-2598.14
2026-04-24-115,588.09
2026-04-23-7,585.62
2026-04-2211,665.95
2026-04-21-7,328.47
2026-04-205,622.46
Latest Ethereum Whale Activity
DateWhale TxEthereum Moved
2026-05-04118339,779.18
2026-05-03215783,919.81
2026-05-02118387,026.28
2026-05-015241,704,551.33
2026-04-304772,029,714.87
2026-04-295632,498,589.80
2026-04-285021,894,592.14
2026-04-274901,675,592.98
2026-04-26174614,553.12
2026-04-2594367,799.97
2026-04-245772,129,979.31
2026-04-234541,557,510.16
2026-04-224971,627,107.72
2026-04-215142,370,830.88
2026-04-205031,736,266.01