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BTC and ETH On-Chain Data Analysis – May 03, 2026

CoinDirection On-Chain Data Analysis

Daily Bitcoin and Ethereum on-chain analysis based on exchange flows, ETF net flows and whale activity.
Source: Dune
Updated: May 03, 2026 06:40 UTC

Market Overview

Bitcoin's latest exchange netflow turned negative after recent positive inflows, indicating reduced sell pressure today. ETF outflows remain negative but less severe, while whale activity sharply declined. Over the past week, Bitcoin's exchange netflows have shifted from positive to negative, indicating a trend toward accumulation or reduced selling. However, ETF outflows remain consistently negative, reflecting ongoing demand weakness.

Daily On-Chain Analysis

Bitcoin Daily On-Chain Flow Analysis
Bias: bullish | Confidence: medium

Bitcoin's latest exchange netflow turned negative after recent positive inflows, indicating reduced sell pressure today. ETF outflows remain negative but less severe, while whale activity sharply declined.

Key points
  • Exchange netflow shifted from positive to slightly negative
  • ETF net outflows decreased but remain negative
  • Whale transaction count and volume dropped significantly
  • Short-term signals suggest reduced immediate sell pressure
  • No strong accumulation signal yet
Risks
  • ETF outflows still indicate weak demand
  • Whale activity decline may reduce liquidity
  • Exchange outflows could reverse quickly
  • Market sentiment may remain cautious

Conclusion: In the short term, Bitcoin shows signs of easing sell pressure with exchange outflows and reduced whale activity, but persistent negative ETF flows temper bullish confidence.

Bitcoin Medium-Term On-Chain Trends
Bias: neutral | Confidence: medium

Over the past week, Bitcoin's exchange netflows have shifted from positive to negative, indicating a trend toward accumulation or reduced selling. However, ETF outflows remain consistently negative, reflecting ongoing demand weakness.

Key points
  • Exchange netflows declined over 120% from previous week averages
  • ETF netflows remain negative but are improving
  • Whale activity is significantly lower than weekly average
  • Trend suggests cautious accumulation or reduced selling
  • ETF demand remains a limiting factor
Risks
  • ETF outflows could resume or deepen
  • Whale inactivity may limit strong directional moves
  • Exchange flows could revert with market volatility
  • External macro factors may impact demand

Conclusion: Bitcoin's medium-term on-chain data reflects a transition toward accumulation with declining exchange inflows and subdued whale activity, but persistent negative ETF flows keep the outlook balanced.

Ethereum Daily On-Chain Flow Analysis
Bias: bearish | Confidence: medium

Ethereum's latest exchange netflow surged positive, reversing recent outflows and indicating increased sell pressure today. ETF inflows turned positive, suggesting renewed demand, but whale activity remains sharply reduced.

Key points
  • Exchange netflow shifted from negative to strongly positive
  • ETF netflows turned positive after prior outflows
  • Whale transaction count and volume dropped over 90%
  • Short-term signals show conflicting sell pressure and demand
  • Potential for increased volatility
Risks
  • Rising exchange inflows may lead to sell pressure
  • Whale inactivity could reduce market depth
  • ETF inflows may not sustain demand
  • Mixed signals increase uncertainty

Conclusion: Ethereum's daily on-chain data reveals a complex picture with rising exchange inflows signaling potential sell pressure, offset by positive ETF flows indicating demand, while low whale activity adds uncertainty.

Ethereum Medium-Term On-Chain Trends
Bias: mixed | Confidence: medium

Ethereum's medium-term trend shows a reversal from persistent exchange outflows to inflows, coupled with a shift from negative to positive ETF flows. Whale activity remains very low, creating a mixed signal environment.

Key points
  • Exchange netflows increased over 130% from previous week averages
  • ETF netflows improved significantly to positive territory
  • Whale activity remains near historic lows
  • Trend indicates conflicting accumulation and distribution signals
  • Market positioning appears unsettled
Risks
  • Sustained exchange inflows may increase selling pressure
  • Low whale participation limits strong directional conviction
  • ETF inflows may be short-lived
  • Market may remain volatile amid mixed signals

Conclusion: Ethereum's medium-term on-chain data reflects a transition phase with rising exchange inflows and positive ETF flows contrasting with minimal whale activity, resulting in an uncertain outlook.

Bitcoin

Bitcoin Exchange Net Flow
-0.00000213
Bitcoin ETF Net Flow
-192.71
Bitcoin Whale Tx
91
Bitcoin Moved by Whales
126.45K

Bitcoin Exchange Flows

Bitcoin ETF Net Flow

Bitcoin Whale Activity

Bitcoin Summary Tables

Latest Bitcoin Exchange Flows
DateBitcoin InflowBitcoin OutflowBitcoin Net Flow
2026-05-030.000096710.00009884-0.00000213
2026-05-020.000668530.00068115-0.00001261
2026-05-010.001034810.00105489-0.00002008
2026-04-300.001214170.001165950.00004822
2026-04-290.000956440.000936960.00001948
2026-04-280.000859880.000827680.00003220
2026-04-270.000828790.000820560.00000822
2026-04-260.000438090.00043958-0.00000149
2026-04-250.000544120.00055571-0.00001159
2026-04-240.001046000.001030230.00001576
2026-04-230.000994650.000991730.00000293
2026-04-220.001399370.00141993-0.00002055
2026-04-210.001604960.00162020-0.00001523
2026-04-200.001267010.001259870.00000714
2026-04-190.001003960.001000940.00000301
Latest Bitcoin ETF Net Flows
DateBitcoin ETF Net Flow
2026-05-01-192.71
2026-04-30-1,352.25
2026-04-29-814.26
2026-04-28-1,647.32
2026-04-27-119.31
2026-04-260.00
2026-04-250.00
2026-04-241,237.85
2026-04-23687.15
2026-04-2215.17
2026-04-21-383.17
2026-04-205,714.35
2026-04-1884.85
2026-04-17423.50
2026-04-162,909.72
Latest Bitcoin Whale Activity
DateWhale TxBitcoin Moved
2026-05-0391126,452.48
2026-05-02487449,313.65
2026-05-01859633,568.93
2026-04-30908569,916.57
2026-04-29947520,115.37
2026-04-28955566,936.56
2026-04-27953487,823.07
2026-04-26585317,197.99
2026-04-25569349,722.45
2026-04-241,110810,668.92
2026-04-23993565,576.76
2026-04-221,025662,376.57
2026-04-211,130656,987.64
2026-04-201,311723,743.81
2026-04-19808514,651.13

Ethereum

Ethereum Exchange Net Flow
2,349.71
Ethereum ETF Net Flow
438.60
Ethereum Whale Tx
33
Ethereum Moved by Whales
71.43K

Ethereum Exchange Flows

Ethereum ETF Net Flow

Ethereum Whale Activity

Ethereum Summary Tables

Latest Ethereum Exchange Flows
DateEthereum InflowEthereum OutflowEthereum Net Flow
2026-05-0320,455.4118,105.692,349.71
2026-05-0289,077.6284,065.265,012.35
2026-05-01337,082.87448,844.94-111,762.07
2026-04-30301,193.64366,166.26-64,972.61
2026-04-29601,277.83594,909.676,368.17
2026-04-28368,522.38270,855.9997,666.40
2026-04-27496,620.56469,691.3026,929.25
2026-04-26128,737.49140,854.64-12,117.15
2026-04-2590,265.4298,418.97-8,153.55
2026-04-24519,288.65506,929.9512,358.70
2026-04-23396,862.74515,830.07-118,967.33
2026-04-22497,856.98488,880.728,976.26
2026-04-21444,313.35511,162.60-66,849.25
2026-04-20390,655.55851,815.48-461,159.93
2026-04-19219,473.51176,772.4042,701.11
Latest Ethereum ETF Net Flows
DateEthereum ETF Net Flow
2026-05-03438.60
2026-05-022,692.28
2026-05-01-31,376.56
2026-04-30-14,324.92
2026-04-29-9,374.05
2026-04-28-6,776.07
2026-04-272,309.37
2026-04-267,506.77
2026-04-2598.14
2026-04-24-115,588.09
2026-04-23-7,585.62
2026-04-2211,665.95
2026-04-21-7,328.47
2026-04-205,622.46
2026-04-196,485.29
Latest Ethereum Whale Activity
DateWhale TxEthereum Moved
2026-05-033371,431.35
2026-05-02118387,026.28
2026-05-015241,704,551.33
2026-04-304772,029,714.87
2026-04-295632,498,589.80
2026-04-285021,894,592.14
2026-04-274901,675,592.98
2026-04-26174614,553.12
2026-04-2594367,799.97
2026-04-245772,129,979.31
2026-04-234541,557,510.16
2026-04-224971,627,107.72
2026-04-215142,370,830.88
2026-04-205031,736,266.01
2026-04-194371,174,355.46