Skip to main content

Coin Direction Telegram Channel

BTC and ETH On-Chain Data Analysis – May 02, 2026

CoinDirection On-Chain Data Analysis

Daily Bitcoin and Ethereum on-chain analysis based on exchange flows, ETF net flows and whale activity.
Source: Dune
Updated: May 02, 2026 06:50 UTC

Market Overview

Bitcoin's latest exchange netflow turned negative after recent positive inflows, indicating reduced immediate sell pressure. ETF outflows remain negative but have decreased significantly, suggesting less demand erosion. Over the past week, Bitcoin's exchange flows have shifted from net inflows to net outflows, indicating a potential transition toward accumulation. However, ETF flows remain negative, albeit less severe, and whale activity is substantially lower, suggesting subdued large-holder engagement.

Daily On-Chain Analysis

Bitcoin Daily On-Chain Flow Analysis
Bias: bullish | Confidence: medium

Bitcoin's latest exchange netflow turned negative after recent positive inflows, indicating reduced immediate sell pressure. ETF outflows remain negative but have decreased significantly, suggesting less demand erosion.

Key points
  • Exchange netflow shifted from positive to negative, signaling accumulation or reduced selling.
  • ETF netflow remains negative but improved by ~85% versus recent days.
  • Whale transaction count and volume sharply decreased, indicating lower large-holder activity.
  • Daily data suggests a short-term reduction in sell-side pressure.
Risks
  • ETF flows still negative, implying ongoing demand challenges.
  • Whale activity drop could precede renewed distribution or accumulation.
  • Exchange netflow reversal may be short-lived and volatile.
  • Market sentiment could shift quickly if ETF outflows resume.

Conclusion: Bitcoin's daily on-chain data points to a short-term easing of sell pressure with exchange outflows and reduced ETF outflows, but persistent negative ETF flows and low whale activity introduce some uncertainty.

Bitcoin Medium-Term On-Chain Trends
Bias: neutral | Confidence: medium

Over the past week, Bitcoin's exchange flows have shifted from net inflows to net outflows, indicating a potential transition toward accumulation. However, ETF flows remain negative, albeit less severe, and whale activity is substantially lower, suggesting subdued large-holder engagement.

Key points
  • Exchange netflows reversed from positive to negative over 7 days.
  • ETF outflows persist but have moderated significantly.
  • Whale transaction counts and volumes are down over 85%.
  • Medium-term signals show mixed demand dynamics.
Risks
  • Continued negative ETF flows may pressure demand.
  • Low whale activity could limit strong directional moves.
  • Exchange outflows may not sustain if market sentiment weakens.
  • Potential for conflicting signals to cause volatility.

Conclusion: Bitcoin's medium-term on-chain data reflects a tentative shift toward accumulation with reduced sell pressure, but ongoing negative ETF flows and diminished whale activity temper bullish conviction.

Ethereum Daily On-Chain Flow Analysis
Bias: bullish | Confidence: medium

Ethereum continues to show exchange outflows, indicating ongoing accumulation or reduced selling. Notably, ETF netflows have turned positive after recent negative readings, suggesting improving demand dynamics in the short term.

Key points
  • Exchange netflow remains negative but less extreme than recent days.
  • ETF netflow shifted from negative to positive, signaling renewed demand.
  • Whale activity sharply decreased in both count and volume.
  • Short-term data points to accumulation and improving sentiment.
Risks
  • Whale activity decline may reduce market momentum.
  • Exchange outflows have moderated, possibly signaling less aggressive accumulation.
  • ETF inflows may be volatile and short-lived.
  • Market conditions could change rapidly with external factors.

Conclusion: Ethereum's daily on-chain data suggests ongoing accumulation supported by positive ETF inflows, though reduced whale activity and moderated exchange outflows warrant cautious interpretation.

Ethereum Medium-Term On-Chain Trends
Bias: bullish | Confidence: medium

Ethereum's medium-term trend shows persistent exchange outflows and a significant shift from negative to positive ETF flows, indicating strengthening demand. Whale activity remains low, which may limit immediate large-scale moves but aligns with a steady accumulation regime.

Key points
  • Exchange netflows consistently negative, supporting accumulation thesis.
  • ETF netflows improved dramatically from negative to positive over 7 days.
  • Whale transaction count and volume remain sharply reduced.
  • Medium-term signals favor demand improvement and accumulation.
Risks
  • Low whale activity could delay strong price moves.
  • ETF inflows may fluctuate, impacting demand consistency.
  • Exchange outflows lessening could signal a pause in accumulation.
  • External market factors could disrupt current trends.

Conclusion: Ethereum's medium-term on-chain data indicates a positive shift in demand with sustained accumulation and improving ETF flows, though subdued whale activity suggests cautious optimism.

Bitcoin

Bitcoin Exchange Net Flow
-0.00001054
Bitcoin ETF Net Flow
-192.71
Bitcoin Whale Tx
120
Bitcoin Moved by Whales
150.43K

Bitcoin Exchange Flows

Bitcoin ETF Net Flow

Bitcoin Whale Activity

Bitcoin Summary Tables

Latest Bitcoin Exchange Flows
DateBitcoin InflowBitcoin OutflowBitcoin Net Flow
2026-05-020.000281300.00029185-0.00001054
2026-05-010.001034810.00105489-0.00002008
2026-04-300.001214170.001165950.00004822
2026-04-290.000956440.000936960.00001948
2026-04-280.000859880.000827680.00003220
2026-04-270.000828790.000820560.00000822
2026-04-260.000438090.00043958-0.00000149
2026-04-250.000544120.00055571-0.00001159
2026-04-240.001046000.001030230.00001576
2026-04-230.000994650.000991730.00000293
2026-04-220.001399370.00141993-0.00002055
2026-04-210.001604960.00162020-0.00001523
2026-04-200.001267010.001259870.00000714
2026-04-190.001003960.001000940.00000301
2026-04-180.001063160.001030040.00003312
Latest Bitcoin ETF Net Flows
DateBitcoin ETF Net Flow
2026-05-01-192.71
2026-04-30-1,352.25
2026-04-29-814.26
2026-04-28-1,647.32
2026-04-27-119.31
2026-04-260.00
2026-04-250.00
2026-04-241,237.85
2026-04-23687.15
2026-04-2215.17
2026-04-21-383.17
2026-04-205,714.35
2026-04-1884.85
2026-04-17423.50
2026-04-162,909.72
Latest Bitcoin Whale Activity
DateWhale TxBitcoin Moved
2026-05-02120150,434.55
2026-05-01859633,568.93
2026-04-30908569,916.57
2026-04-29947520,115.37
2026-04-28955566,936.56
2026-04-27953487,823.07
2026-04-26585317,197.99
2026-04-25569349,722.45
2026-04-241,110810,668.92
2026-04-23993565,576.76
2026-04-221,025662,376.57
2026-04-211,130656,987.64
2026-04-201,311723,743.81
2026-04-19808514,651.13
2026-04-18795512,365.96

Ethereum

Ethereum Exchange Net Flow
-7,048.06
Ethereum ETF Net Flow
2,472.34
Ethereum Whale Tx
45
Ethereum Moved by Whales
103.03K

Ethereum Exchange Flows

Ethereum ETF Net Flow

Ethereum Whale Activity

Ethereum Summary Tables

Latest Ethereum Exchange Flows
DateEthereum InflowEthereum OutflowEthereum Net Flow
2026-05-0212,123.1019,171.17-7,048.06
2026-05-01337,082.87448,844.94-111,762.07
2026-04-30301,193.64366,166.26-64,972.61
2026-04-29601,277.83594,909.676,368.17
2026-04-28368,522.38270,855.9997,666.40
2026-04-27496,620.56469,691.3026,929.25
2026-04-26128,737.49140,854.64-12,117.15
2026-04-2590,265.4298,418.97-8,153.55
2026-04-24519,288.65506,929.9512,358.70
2026-04-23396,862.74515,830.07-118,967.33
2026-04-22497,856.98488,880.728,976.26
2026-04-21444,313.35511,162.60-66,849.25
2026-04-20390,655.55851,815.48-461,159.93
2026-04-19219,473.51176,772.4042,701.11
2026-04-18153,768.17467,134.39-313,366.22
Latest Ethereum ETF Net Flows
DateEthereum ETF Net Flow
2026-05-022,472.34
2026-05-01-31,376.56
2026-04-30-14,324.92
2026-04-29-9,374.05
2026-04-28-6,776.07
2026-04-272,309.37
2026-04-267,506.77
2026-04-2598.14
2026-04-24-115,588.09
2026-04-23-7,585.62
2026-04-2211,665.95
2026-04-21-7,328.47
2026-04-205,622.46
2026-04-196,485.29
2026-04-18-516.34
Latest Ethereum Whale Activity
DateWhale TxEthereum Moved
2026-05-0245103,029.56
2026-05-015241,704,551.33
2026-04-304772,029,714.87
2026-04-295632,498,589.80
2026-04-285021,894,592.14
2026-04-274901,675,592.98
2026-04-26174614,553.12
2026-04-2594367,799.97
2026-04-245772,129,979.31
2026-04-234541,557,510.16
2026-04-224971,627,107.72
2026-04-215142,370,830.88
2026-04-205031,736,266.01
2026-04-194371,174,355.46
2026-04-183311,526,056.68