Skip to main content

Coin Direction Telegram Channel

BTC and ETH On-Chain Data Analysis – May 01, 2026

CoinDirection On-Chain Data Analysis

Daily Bitcoin and Ethereum on-chain analysis based on exchange flows, ETF net flows and whale activity.
Source: Dune
Updated: May 01, 2026 06:43 UTC

Market Overview

Bitcoin's latest exchange netflow turned negative after recent positive inflows, while ETF inflows surged from negative to positive. Whale activity sharply declined, reducing immediate distribution risk. Over the past week, Bitcoin's exchange flows shifted from net inflows to consistent outflows, while ETF flows reversed from strong negative to positive, indicating a potential trend toward accumulation. Whale activity remains low, suggesting cautious positioning.

Daily On-Chain Analysis

Bitcoin Daily On-Chain Flow Analysis
Bias: bullish | Confidence: medium

Bitcoin's latest exchange netflow turned negative after recent positive inflows, while ETF inflows surged from negative to positive. Whale activity sharply declined, reducing immediate distribution risk.

Key points
  • Exchange netflow flipped from positive to negative, indicating reduced sell pressure.
  • ETF net inflows turned strongly positive, signaling renewed demand.
  • Whale transaction count and volume dropped significantly.
  • Daily data suggests short-term accumulation or reduced selling.
  • Shift contrasts with prior days' mild sell pressure signals.
Risks
  • Whale activity decline may indicate reduced market participation.
  • Sudden ETF inflow spikes can be short-lived.
  • Exchange outflows might reverse if whales re-engage.
  • Daily signals can be volatile and not fully predictive.

Conclusion: In the short term, Bitcoin shows signs of reduced sell pressure and increased demand from ETFs, but subdued whale activity tempers confidence in sustained accumulation.

Bitcoin Medium-Term On-Chain Trends
Bias: bullish | Confidence: medium

Over the past week, Bitcoin's exchange flows shifted from net inflows to consistent outflows, while ETF flows reversed from strong negative to positive, indicating a potential trend toward accumulation. Whale activity remains low, suggesting cautious positioning.

Key points
  • Exchange netflows declined over 100% compared to previous averages, now negative.
  • ETF netflows reversed from heavy outflows to positive inflows.
  • Whale transaction counts and volumes remain significantly below weekly averages.
  • Medium-term signals align on reduced sell pressure and improved demand.
  • Whale inactivity may limit immediate price impact.
Risks
  • Low whale engagement could delay meaningful price moves.
  • ETF inflows may not sustain without broader market support.
  • Exchange outflows could reverse if selling resumes.
  • Medium-term trends depend on macro and sentiment factors.

Conclusion: Bitcoin's medium-term on-chain data suggest a shift toward accumulation driven by ETF demand and reduced exchange selling, but subdued whale activity introduces uncertainty about the strength of this trend.

Ethereum Daily On-Chain Flow Analysis
Bias: mixed | Confidence: medium

Ethereum's exchange inflows remain positive but sharply declined from recent highs, while ETF inflows flipped from negative to strongly positive. Whale activity dropped substantially, indicating less active large-scale positioning.

Key points
  • Exchange netflows positive but down over 50% from recent averages.
  • ETF netflows turned positive after sustained negative flows.
  • Whale transaction count and volume decreased by over 85%.
  • Short-term data shows mixed signals between inflows and reduced whale activity.
  • ETF demand rebound contrasts with declining exchange inflows.
Risks
  • Positive exchange inflows can imply ongoing sell pressure.
  • Whale inactivity may reduce market momentum.
  • ETF inflow reversal might be temporary.
  • Mixed signals complicate short-term directional bias.

Conclusion: Ethereum's daily on-chain data presents a mixed picture with reduced exchange inflows and recovering ETF demand, but subdued whale activity suggests cautious market engagement.

Ethereum Medium-Term On-Chain Trends
Bias: mixed | Confidence: medium

Ethereum shows a persistent decline in exchange inflows alongside a strong reversal in ETF flows from negative to positive. Whale activity remains very low, indicating limited large-scale accumulation or distribution over the medium term.

Key points
  • Exchange inflows decreased by over 50% compared to prior weeks.
  • ETF netflows reversed from heavy outflows to significant inflows.
  • Whale transaction counts and volumes remain near multi-week lows.
  • Medium-term signals indicate improving demand but ongoing exchange selling.
  • Whale inactivity limits clarity on directional conviction.
Risks
  • Sustained positive exchange inflows could maintain sell pressure.
  • ETF inflow strength may wane without broader support.
  • Low whale activity may delay trend confirmation.
  • Mixed signals increase medium-term uncertainty.

Conclusion: Ethereum's medium-term on-chain data reflect a transition toward improved demand via ETFs but persistent exchange inflows and low whale activity create a mixed outlook with moderate uncertainty.

Bitcoin

Bitcoin Exchange Net Flow
-0.00000335
Bitcoin ETF Net Flow
0.00
Bitcoin Whale Tx
149
Bitcoin Moved by Whales
130.19K

Bitcoin Exchange Flows

Bitcoin ETF Net Flow

Bitcoin Whale Activity

Bitcoin Summary Tables

Latest Bitcoin Exchange Flows
DateBitcoin InflowBitcoin OutflowBitcoin Net Flow
2026-05-010.000153930.00015728-0.00000335
2026-04-300.001214170.001165950.00004822
2026-04-290.000956440.000936960.00001948
2026-04-280.000859880.000827680.00003220
2026-04-270.000828790.000820560.00000822
2026-04-260.000438090.00043958-0.00000149
2026-04-250.000544120.00055571-0.00001159
2026-04-240.001046000.001030230.00001576
2026-04-230.000994650.000991730.00000293
2026-04-220.001399370.00141993-0.00002055
2026-04-210.001604960.00162020-0.00001523
2026-04-200.001267010.001259870.00000714
2026-04-190.001003960.001000940.00000301
2026-04-180.001063160.001030040.00003312
2026-04-170.000590770.000575800.00001496
Latest Bitcoin ETF Net Flows
DateBitcoin ETF Net Flow
2026-05-010.00
2026-04-30-1,352.25
2026-04-29-814.26
2026-04-28-1,647.32
2026-04-27-119.31
2026-04-260.00
2026-04-250.00
2026-04-241,237.85
2026-04-23687.15
2026-04-2215.17
2026-04-21-383.17
2026-04-205,714.35
2026-04-1884.85
2026-04-17423.50
2026-04-162,909.72
Latest Bitcoin Whale Activity
DateWhale TxBitcoin Moved
2026-05-01149130,190.30
2026-04-30908569,916.57
2026-04-29947520,115.37
2026-04-28955566,936.56
2026-04-27953487,823.07
2026-04-26585317,197.99
2026-04-25569349,722.45
2026-04-241,110810,668.92
2026-04-23993565,576.76
2026-04-221,025662,376.57
2026-04-211,130656,987.64
2026-04-201,311723,743.81
2026-04-19808514,651.13
2026-04-18795512,365.96
2026-04-171,085614,346.22

Ethereum

Ethereum Exchange Net Flow
3,914.79
Ethereum ETF Net Flow
2,433.36
Ethereum Whale Tx
55
Ethereum Moved by Whales
190.54K

Ethereum Exchange Flows

Ethereum ETF Net Flow

Ethereum Whale Activity

Ethereum Summary Tables

Latest Ethereum Exchange Flows
DateEthereum InflowEthereum OutflowEthereum Net Flow
2026-05-0165,034.4961,119.703,914.79
2026-04-30301,193.64366,166.26-64,972.61
2026-04-29601,277.83594,909.676,368.17
2026-04-28368,522.38270,855.9997,666.40
2026-04-27496,620.56469,691.3026,929.25
2026-04-26128,737.49140,854.64-12,117.15
2026-04-2590,265.4298,418.97-8,153.55
2026-04-24519,288.65506,929.9512,358.70
2026-04-23396,862.74515,830.07-118,967.33
2026-04-22497,856.98488,880.728,976.26
2026-04-21444,313.35511,162.60-66,849.25
2026-04-20390,655.55851,815.48-461,159.93
2026-04-19219,473.51176,772.4042,701.11
2026-04-18153,768.17467,134.39-313,366.22
2026-04-17362,886.05553,656.52-190,770.47
Latest Ethereum ETF Net Flows
DateEthereum ETF Net Flow
2026-05-012,433.36
2026-04-30-14,324.92
2026-04-29-9,374.05
2026-04-28-6,776.07
2026-04-272,309.37
2026-04-267,506.77
2026-04-2598.14
2026-04-24-115,588.09
2026-04-23-7,585.62
2026-04-2211,665.95
2026-04-21-7,328.47
2026-04-205,622.46
2026-04-196,485.29
2026-04-18-516.34
2026-04-17-10,071.89
Latest Ethereum Whale Activity
DateWhale TxEthereum Moved
2026-05-0155190,540.02
2026-04-304772,029,714.87
2026-04-295632,498,589.80
2026-04-285021,894,592.14
2026-04-274901,675,592.98
2026-04-26174614,553.12
2026-04-2594367,799.97
2026-04-245772,129,979.31
2026-04-234541,557,510.16
2026-04-224971,627,107.72
2026-04-215142,370,830.88
2026-04-205031,736,266.01
2026-04-194371,174,355.46
2026-04-183311,526,056.68
2026-04-174421,425,384.48