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BTC and ETH On-Chain Data Analysis – March 31, 2026

CoinDirection On-Chain Data Analysis

Daily Bitcoin and Ethereum on-chain analysis based on exchange flows, ETF net flows and whale activity.
Source: Dune
Updated: March 31, 2026 06:58 UTC

Market Overview

Bitcoin's latest exchange netflow turned negative after recent positive inflows, indicating reduced sell pressure. ETF outflows remain negative but have lessened sharply, suggesting demand is stabilizing. Over the past week, Bitcoin shows a persistent decline in exchange inflows and ETF outflows, indicating a trend toward accumulation or reduced selling. However, whale activity remains significantly below average, limiting bullish conviction.

Daily On-Chain Analysis

Bitcoin Daily On-Chain Flow Analysis
Bias: bullish | Confidence: medium

Bitcoin's latest exchange netflow turned negative after recent positive inflows, indicating reduced sell pressure. ETF outflows remain negative but have lessened sharply, suggesting demand is stabilizing.

Key points
  • Exchange netflow shifted from positive to negative, signaling lower sell pressure today.
  • ETF net outflows decreased by about 95% versus recent averages, reducing demand negativity.
  • Whale transaction count and volume dropped significantly, indicating less large-holder activity.
  • Daily data suggests cautious accumulation or at least reduced distribution.
Risks
  • Whale activity decline may limit strong accumulation momentum.
  • ETF flows remain negative, which is still a bearish demand signal.
  • Exchange netflow volatility could reverse quickly with renewed inflows.
  • Short-term signals could conflict if whale activity remains subdued.

Conclusion: Bitcoin's daily on-chain signals point to a reduction in immediate sell pressure with exchange outflows and moderated ETF outflows, but subdued whale activity tempers confidence in a strong short-term bullish move.

Bitcoin Medium-Term On-Chain Trends
Bias: neutral | Confidence: medium

Over the past week, Bitcoin shows a persistent decline in exchange inflows and ETF outflows, indicating a trend toward accumulation or reduced selling. However, whale activity remains significantly below average, limiting bullish conviction.

Key points
  • Exchange netflows have shifted from slight positive to negative, showing accumulation trend.
  • ETF outflows persist but have decreased substantially, signaling less demand negativity.
  • Whale transaction counts and volumes are down over 80%, indicating lower large-holder engagement.
  • Medium-term alignment suggests cautious positioning rather than strong conviction.
Risks
  • Sustained low whale activity could reduce market depth and momentum.
  • ETF outflows, though reduced, remain negative, limiting demand strength.
  • Potential for renewed exchange inflows could increase sell pressure.
  • Market may remain range-bound without stronger accumulation signals.

Conclusion: Bitcoin's medium-term on-chain data reflects a cautious accumulation phase with reduced sell pressure and ETF outflows, but subdued whale participation keeps the outlook neutral rather than clearly bullish.

Ethereum Daily On-Chain Flow Analysis
Bias: bullish | Confidence: medium

Ethereum's exchange and ETF outflows remain negative but have decreased significantly from recent averages, indicating less immediate sell pressure. Whale activity is also down sharply, suggesting reduced large-holder distribution today.

Key points
  • Exchange netflows remain negative but are 87% less outflow than recent averages.
  • ETF outflows have decreased by over 90%, reducing demand negativity.
  • Whale transaction count and volume dropped by over 70%, indicating lower large-holder activity.
  • Daily data points to reduced selling and potential accumulation.
Risks
  • ETF flows remain negative, which is a bearish demand indicator.
  • Lower whale activity may limit strong accumulation momentum.
  • Exchange outflows could reverse if selling pressure returns.
  • Short-term signals could be volatile given recent sharp changes.

Conclusion: Ethereum's daily on-chain data suggests a reduction in immediate sell pressure with moderated exchange and ETF outflows, but subdued whale activity tempers confidence in a strong short-term bullish trend.

Ethereum Medium-Term On-Chain Trends
Bias: neutral | Confidence: medium

Ethereum shows a persistent trend of declining exchange and ETF outflows over the past week, indicating a move toward accumulation or reduced selling. However, whale activity remains significantly below average, limiting bullish conviction.

Key points
  • Exchange netflows have consistently been negative but are trending less outflow-heavy.
  • ETF outflows persist but have decreased substantially, signaling less demand negativity.
  • Whale transaction counts and volumes are down over 70%, indicating lower large-holder engagement.
  • Medium-term signals show cautious positioning without strong accumulation.
Risks
  • Sustained low whale activity could reduce market momentum.
  • ETF outflows, though reduced, remain negative, limiting demand strength.
  • Potential for renewed exchange inflows could increase sell pressure.
  • Market may remain range-bound without stronger accumulation signals.

Conclusion: Ethereum's medium-term on-chain data reflects a cautious accumulation phase with reduced sell pressure and ETF outflows, but subdued whale participation keeps the outlook neutral rather than clearly bullish.

Bitcoin

Bitcoin Exchange Net Flow
-0.00000237
Bitcoin ETF Net Flow
-108.66
Bitcoin Whale Tx
131
Bitcoin Moved by Whales
139.10K

Bitcoin Exchange Flows

Bitcoin ETF Net Flow

Bitcoin Whale Activity

Bitcoin Summary Tables

Latest Bitcoin Exchange Flows
DateBitcoin InflowBitcoin OutflowBitcoin Net Flow
2026-03-310.000134070.00013643-0.00000237
2026-03-300.000925220.000894860.00003036
2026-03-290.000663310.000649980.00001333
2026-03-280.000369410.00036973-0.00000032
2026-03-270.000795610.00080513-0.00000952
2026-03-260.000572910.000544450.00002846
2026-03-250.000463390.00052352-0.00006013
2026-03-240.000892740.000888060.00000468
2026-03-230.000535790.00054718-0.00001138
2026-03-220.000566310.00066358-0.00009727
2026-03-210.000329060.000328770.00000029
2026-03-200.000483430.000474980.00000845
2026-03-190.000401090.000393330.00000776
2026-03-180.000682850.000678410.00000444
2026-03-170.000816880.00085021-0.00003332
Latest Bitcoin ETF Net Flows
DateBitcoin ETF Net Flow
2026-03-31-108.66
2026-03-30-3,427.66
2026-03-27-1,985.82
2026-03-26-867.35
2026-03-25-538.98
2026-03-241,355.41
2026-03-23-418.61
2026-03-210.00
2026-03-20-913.86
2026-03-19-838.76
2026-03-182,298.09
2026-03-171,649.80
2026-03-162,045.77
2026-03-150.00
2026-03-13566.51
Latest Bitcoin Whale Activity
DateWhale TxBitcoin Moved
2026-03-31131139,102.15
2026-03-30957534,290.44
2026-03-29407249,286.21
2026-03-28455256,817.40
2026-03-271,072524,401.81
2026-03-26826471,699.32
2026-03-25862419,927.31
2026-03-24864453,034.65
2026-03-23874404,865.30
2026-03-22496257,012.27
2026-03-21443179,599.12
2026-03-20831379,330.87
2026-03-19902362,086.48
2026-03-181,012498,596.08
2026-03-171,128535,007.51

Ethereum

Ethereum Exchange Net Flow
-4,095.04
Ethereum ETF Net Flow
-833.59
Ethereum Whale Tx
111
Ethereum Moved by Whales
595.74K

Ethereum Exchange Flows

Ethereum ETF Net Flow

Ethereum Whale Activity

Ethereum Summary Tables

Latest Ethereum Exchange Flows
DateEthereum InflowEthereum OutflowEthereum Net Flow
2026-03-31209,642.65213,737.69-4,095.04
2026-03-30524,892.82532,686.99-7,794.17
2026-03-2999,690.98107,487.04-7,796.06
2026-03-28132,334.14210,064.48-77,730.34
2026-03-27750,172.51817,059.44-66,886.93
2026-03-26430,199.75422,650.447,549.31
2026-03-25408,284.61944,733.25-536,448.63
2026-03-24345,747.03374,906.15-29,159.11
2026-03-23428,298.48453,002.95-24,704.47
2026-03-22120,103.88953,948.51-833,844.63
2026-03-2187,507.6685,395.512,112.16
2026-03-20504,307.40525,288.45-20,981.05
2026-03-19490,150.97576,873.73-86,722.77
2026-03-18667,669.81717,852.56-50,182.74
2026-03-17483,357.98584,681.43-101,323.45
Latest Ethereum ETF Net Flows
DateEthereum ETF Net Flow
2026-03-31-833.59
2026-03-30-40,139.92
2026-03-29-54.06
2026-03-284,878.93
2026-03-27-78,017.59
2026-03-26-19,132.67
2026-03-25-8,815.48
2026-03-24-7,022.66
2026-03-23-11,383.60
2026-03-226,058.04
2026-03-21-1,699.88
2026-03-20-56,000.89
2026-03-19-13,352.58
2026-03-185,121.96
2026-03-17-54,456.35
Latest Ethereum Whale Activity
DateWhale TxEthereum Moved
2026-03-31111595,743.62
2026-03-305771,958,980.06
2026-03-29105386,231.02
2026-03-28163544,628.58
2026-03-277392,640,587.21
2026-03-265202,248,711.17
2026-03-253521,512,041.80
2026-03-243771,582,276.04
2026-03-235941,893,314.65
2026-03-222402,232,298.09
2026-03-21109410,398.62
2026-03-205852,120,355.04
2026-03-195531,942,562.02
2026-03-186332,582,610.10
2026-03-175121,824,341.85