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BTC and ETH On-Chain Data Analysis – March 30, 2026

CoinDirection On-Chain Data Analysis

Daily Bitcoin and Ethereum on-chain analysis based on exchange flows, ETF net flows and whale activity.
Source: Dune
Updated: March 30, 2026 06:04 UTC

Market Overview

BTC exchange inflows surged sharply compared to recent baseline, indicating increased potential sell pressure. ETF outflows intensified, signaling weaker institutional demand. Persistent negative ETF flows and rising exchange inflows over the past week indicate sustained sell-side pressure. Whale activity remains subdued, aligning with a distribution regime.

Daily On-Chain Analysis

Bitcoin Daily On-Chain Flow Analysis
Bias: bearish | Confidence: medium

BTC exchange inflows surged sharply compared to recent baseline, indicating increased potential sell pressure. ETF outflows intensified, signaling weaker institutional demand.

Key points
  • Exchange netflow rose over 670% vs 3-day average
  • ETF netflow sharply negative, worsening over 11,600% vs 3-day average
  • Whale transaction count and volume dropped over 80%
  • Short-term signals point to increased sell pressure
  • ETF outflows may weigh on spot demand
Risks
  • Whale activity decline could reduce immediate distribution
  • ETF outflows may be temporary or rebalancing
  • Exchange inflows alone do not guarantee sell-off
  • Market could absorb inflows if demand returns

Conclusion: In the short term, rising BTC exchange inflows combined with deepening ETF outflows suggest increased sell pressure, though reduced whale activity tempers certainty, indicating cautious bearishness.

Bitcoin Medium-Term On-Chain Trends
Bias: bearish | Confidence: high

Persistent negative ETF flows and rising exchange inflows over the past week indicate sustained sell-side pressure. Whale activity remains subdued, aligning with a distribution regime.

Key points
  • Exchange netflows shifted from negative to positive over 7 days
  • ETF netflows consistently negative and worsening
  • Whale transaction counts and volumes remain significantly lower
  • Sustained sell pressure from institutional and retail holders
  • No clear signs of accumulation or demand recovery
Risks
  • Whale inactivity could precede accumulation phases
  • ETF flows may reverse with market catalysts
  • Exchange inflows might reflect short-term trading, not long-term sell-off
  • External macro factors could alter trends

Conclusion: Medium-term BTC on-chain data points to ongoing sell pressure driven by institutional outflows and rising exchange inflows, with subdued whale activity reinforcing a bearish outlook.

Ethereum Daily On-Chain Flow Analysis
Bias: mixed | Confidence: medium

ETH exchange netflows reversed from strong outflows to inflows, suggesting short-term distribution or profit-taking. ETF outflows remain negative but less severe than before.

Key points
  • Exchange netflow turned positive after sustained outflows
  • ETF netflow still negative but improved nearly 100%
  • Whale activity sharply declined in count and volume
  • Short-term signals conflict between exchange inflows and ETF outflows
  • Potential short-term sell pressure amid weakening institutional demand
Risks
  • Whale inactivity may limit distribution impact
  • ETF outflows might be part of rebalancing
  • Exchange inflows could be transient
  • Market reaction to ETH fundamentals could shift flows

Conclusion: Ethereum’s daily on-chain data shows mixed signals with rising exchange inflows indicating possible short-term sell pressure, while ETF outflows remain negative, creating an uncertain near-term outlook.

Ethereum Medium-Term On-Chain Trends
Bias: neutral | Confidence: medium

ETH has seen a shift from persistent exchange outflows to inflows, but ETF outflows continue, and whale activity remains low, resulting in a balanced but cautious medium-term view.

Key points
  • Exchange netflows improved from negative to positive over 7 days
  • ETF netflows remain negative but less severe than prior weeks
  • Whale transaction counts and volumes remain significantly reduced
  • No clear accumulation or distribution dominance
  • Mixed signals suggest consolidation or indecision
Risks
  • ETF outflows could resume or deepen
  • Whale inactivity may precede accumulation or distribution
  • Exchange inflows might not sustain
  • External factors could disrupt current balance

Conclusion: Medium-term Ethereum on-chain data reflects a transition phase with mixed signals from exchange and ETF flows and low whale activity, suggesting a neutral outlook pending clearer directional cues.

Bitcoin

Bitcoin Exchange Net Flow
0.00000898
Bitcoin ETF Net Flow
-1,985.82
Bitcoin Whale Tx
124
Bitcoin Moved by Whales
108.40K

Bitcoin Exchange Flows

Bitcoin ETF Net Flow

Bitcoin Whale Activity

Bitcoin Summary Tables

Latest Bitcoin Exchange Flows
DateBitcoin InflowBitcoin OutflowBitcoin Net Flow
2026-03-300.000249040.000240060.00000898
2026-03-290.000663310.000649980.00001333
2026-03-280.000369410.00036973-0.00000032
2026-03-270.000795610.00080513-0.00000952
2026-03-260.000572910.000544450.00002846
2026-03-250.000463390.00052352-0.00006013
2026-03-240.000892740.000888060.00000468
2026-03-230.000535790.00054718-0.00001138
2026-03-220.000566310.00066358-0.00009727
2026-03-210.000329060.000328770.00000029
2026-03-200.000483430.000474980.00000845
2026-03-190.000401090.000393330.00000776
2026-03-180.000682850.000678410.00000444
2026-03-170.000816880.00085021-0.00003332
2026-03-160.000837130.000780050.00005709
Latest Bitcoin ETF Net Flows
DateBitcoin ETF Net Flow
2026-03-27-1,985.82
2026-03-26-867.35
2026-03-25-538.98
2026-03-241,355.41
2026-03-23-418.61
2026-03-210.00
2026-03-20-913.86
2026-03-19-838.76
2026-03-182,298.09
2026-03-171,649.80
2026-03-162,045.77
2026-03-150.00
2026-03-13566.51
2026-03-121,477.40
2026-03-112,628.01
Latest Bitcoin Whale Activity
DateWhale TxBitcoin Moved
2026-03-30124108,398.92
2026-03-29407249,286.21
2026-03-28455256,817.40
2026-03-271,072524,401.81
2026-03-26826471,699.32
2026-03-25862419,927.31
2026-03-24864453,034.65
2026-03-23874404,865.30
2026-03-22496257,012.27
2026-03-21443179,599.12
2026-03-20831379,330.87
2026-03-19902362,086.48
2026-03-181,012498,596.08
2026-03-171,128535,007.51
2026-03-161,032666,522.65

Ethereum

Ethereum Exchange Net Flow
3,397.92
Ethereum ETF Net Flow
-725.51
Ethereum Whale Tx
74
Ethereum Moved by Whales
209.96K

Ethereum Exchange Flows

Ethereum ETF Net Flow

Ethereum Whale Activity

Ethereum Summary Tables

Latest Ethereum Exchange Flows
DateEthereum InflowEthereum OutflowEthereum Net Flow
2026-03-3036,756.4633,358.553,397.92
2026-03-2999,690.98107,487.04-7,796.06
2026-03-28132,334.14210,064.48-77,730.34
2026-03-27750,172.51817,059.44-66,886.93
2026-03-26430,199.75422,650.447,549.31
2026-03-25408,284.61944,733.25-536,448.63
2026-03-24345,747.03374,906.15-29,159.11
2026-03-23428,298.48453,002.95-24,704.47
2026-03-22120,103.88953,948.51-833,844.63
2026-03-2187,507.6685,395.512,112.16
2026-03-20504,307.40525,288.45-20,981.05
2026-03-19490,150.97576,873.73-86,722.77
2026-03-18667,669.81717,852.56-50,182.74
2026-03-17483,357.98584,681.43-101,323.45
2026-03-16570,598.44597,330.85-26,732.41
Latest Ethereum ETF Net Flows
DateEthereum ETF Net Flow
2026-03-30-725.51
2026-03-29-54.06
2026-03-284,878.93
2026-03-27-78,017.59
2026-03-26-19,132.67
2026-03-25-8,815.48
2026-03-24-7,022.66
2026-03-23-11,383.60
2026-03-226,058.04
2026-03-21-1,699.88
2026-03-20-56,000.89
2026-03-19-13,352.58
2026-03-185,121.96
2026-03-17-54,456.35
2026-03-16-9,152.89
Latest Ethereum Whale Activity
DateWhale TxEthereum Moved
2026-03-3074209,964.40
2026-03-29105386,231.02
2026-03-28163544,628.58
2026-03-277392,640,587.21
2026-03-265202,248,711.17
2026-03-253521,512,041.80
2026-03-243771,582,276.04
2026-03-235941,893,314.65
2026-03-222402,232,298.09
2026-03-21109410,398.62
2026-03-205852,120,355.04
2026-03-195531,942,562.02
2026-03-186332,582,610.10
2026-03-175121,824,341.85
2026-03-166952,638,439.03