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BTC and ETH On-Chain Data Analysis – March 29, 2026

CoinDirection On-Chain Data Analysis

Daily Bitcoin and Ethereum on-chain analysis based on exchange flows, ETF net flows and whale activity.
Source: Dune
Updated: March 29, 2026 07:20 UTC

Market Overview

Bitcoin's latest exchange netflow remains slightly positive but decreased versus recent averages, while ETF outflows intensified sharply. Whale activity dropped significantly, indicating lower large-holder movement today. Over the past week, Bitcoin's exchange netflows have shifted from negative to slightly positive, but ETF flows remain strongly negative, and whale activity is significantly reduced. This alignment points to persistent demand weakness despite some accumulation signals.

Daily On-Chain Analysis

Bitcoin Daily On-Chain Flow Analysis
Bias: neutral | Confidence: medium

Bitcoin's latest exchange netflow remains slightly positive but decreased versus recent averages, while ETF outflows intensified sharply. Whale activity dropped significantly, indicating lower large-holder movement today.

Key points
  • Exchange netflow positive but down 29% vs 3-day average
  • ETF netflow sharply negative, worsening over recent days
  • Whale transaction count and volume down over 90%
  • Daily signals show reduced immediate sell pressure from exchanges
  • ETF outflows suggest weakening institutional demand
Risks
  • ETF outflows could pressure spot demand
  • Low whale activity may reduce liquidity
  • Exchange inflows, though lower, remain positive
  • Potential for sudden whale reactivation

Conclusion: Bitcoin's daily on-chain data presents a mixed picture with subdued exchange inflows and sharply negative ETF flows, alongside a notable drop in whale activity, suggesting cautious short-term sentiment without clear directional conviction.

Bitcoin Medium-Term On-Chain Trends
Bias: bearish | Confidence: medium

Over the past week, Bitcoin's exchange netflows have shifted from negative to slightly positive, but ETF flows remain strongly negative, and whale activity is significantly reduced. This alignment points to persistent demand weakness despite some accumulation signals.

Key points
  • 7-day average exchange netflow was negative but latest readings turned slightly positive
  • ETF netflows consistently negative and worsening
  • Whale activity down over 90% in count and volume
  • Persistent ETF outflows indicate institutional demand erosion
  • Exchange outflows not sustained enough to confirm accumulation
Risks
  • ETF outflows may continue to weigh on price
  • Reduced whale activity could limit market support
  • Exchange inflows could increase, adding sell pressure
  • Potential for conflicting signals if whale activity rebounds

Conclusion: Bitcoin's medium-term on-chain trends suggest a bearish bias driven by sustained negative ETF flows and diminished whale participation, despite a recent shift to slight positive exchange netflows that do not yet confirm strong accumulation.

Ethereum Daily On-Chain Flow Analysis
Bias: bearish | Confidence: medium

Ethereum's exchange netflow surged to a strong positive level today, reversing recent outflow trends, while ETF outflows remain negative but less severe. Whale activity sharply declined, indicating reduced large-holder engagement.

Key points
  • Exchange netflow turned strongly positive, up over 120% vs 3-day average
  • ETF netflow remains negative but improved versus recent averages
  • Whale transaction count and volume dropped nearly 90%
  • Daily data suggests increased sell pressure from exchanges
  • ETF flows still indicate weak institutional demand
Risks
  • Rising exchange inflows may increase sell pressure
  • ETF outflows could continue to suppress demand
  • Low whale activity reduces potential support
  • Volatility risk from sudden whale repositioning

Conclusion: Ethereum's daily on-chain data points to increased short-term sell pressure due to rising exchange inflows and persistent ETF outflows, compounded by sharply reduced whale activity, signaling cautious market conditions.

Ethereum Medium-Term On-Chain Trends
Bias: bearish | Confidence: high

Ethereum shows a clear medium-term trend of rising exchange inflows reversing prior accumulation, combined with sustained negative ETF flows and a significant drop in whale activity. This alignment suggests ongoing distribution pressure and weakening demand.

Key points
  • Exchange netflows shifted from strong negative to positive over 7 days
  • ETF netflows remain consistently negative with slight improvement
  • Whale activity decreased over 89% in count and volume
  • Persistent exchange inflows indicate distribution
  • ETF outflows confirm weak institutional demand
Risks
  • Continued exchange inflows may drive further sell pressure
  • ETF outflows could prolong demand weakness
  • Low whale activity limits accumulation potential
  • Potential for sudden shifts if whales re-engage

Conclusion: Ethereum's medium-term on-chain data reveals a bearish regime with rising exchange inflows and sustained negative ETF flows, alongside sharply reduced whale activity, indicating persistent distribution and subdued demand conditions.

Bitcoin

Bitcoin Exchange Net Flow
0.00000440
Bitcoin ETF Net Flow
-1,985.82
Bitcoin Whale Tx
61
Bitcoin Moved by Whales
71.73K

Bitcoin Exchange Flows

Bitcoin ETF Net Flow

Bitcoin Whale Activity

Bitcoin Summary Tables

Latest Bitcoin Exchange Flows
DateBitcoin InflowBitcoin OutflowBitcoin Net Flow
2026-03-290.000104500.000100100.00000440
2026-03-280.000369410.00036973-0.00000032
2026-03-270.000795610.00080513-0.00000952
2026-03-260.000572910.000544450.00002846
2026-03-250.000463390.00052352-0.00006013
2026-03-240.000892740.000888060.00000468
2026-03-230.000535790.00054718-0.00001138
2026-03-220.000566310.00066358-0.00009727
2026-03-210.000329060.000328770.00000029
2026-03-200.000483430.000474980.00000845
2026-03-190.000401090.000393330.00000776
2026-03-180.000682850.000678410.00000444
2026-03-170.000816880.00085021-0.00003332
2026-03-160.000837130.000780050.00005709
2026-03-150.000191140.000191100.00000005
Latest Bitcoin ETF Net Flows
DateBitcoin ETF Net Flow
2026-03-27-1,985.82
2026-03-26-867.35
2026-03-25-538.98
2026-03-241,355.41
2026-03-23-418.61
2026-03-210.00
2026-03-20-913.86
2026-03-19-838.76
2026-03-182,298.09
2026-03-171,649.80
2026-03-162,045.77
2026-03-150.00
2026-03-13566.51
2026-03-121,477.40
2026-03-112,628.01
Latest Bitcoin Whale Activity
DateWhale TxBitcoin Moved
2026-03-296171,728.83
2026-03-28455256,817.40
2026-03-271,072524,401.81
2026-03-26826471,699.32
2026-03-25862419,927.31
2026-03-24864453,034.65
2026-03-23874404,865.30
2026-03-22496257,012.27
2026-03-21443179,599.12
2026-03-20831379,330.87
2026-03-19902362,086.48
2026-03-181,012498,596.08
2026-03-171,128535,007.51
2026-03-161,032666,522.65
2026-03-15670313,807.50

Ethereum

Ethereum Exchange Net Flow
12,222.90
Ethereum ETF Net Flow
-1,006.17
Ethereum Whale Tx
43
Ethereum Moved by Whales
137.21K

Ethereum Exchange Flows

Ethereum ETF Net Flow

Ethereum Whale Activity

Ethereum Summary Tables

Latest Ethereum Exchange Flows
DateEthereum InflowEthereum OutflowEthereum Net Flow
2026-03-2927,500.5515,277.6512,222.90
2026-03-28132,334.14210,064.48-77,730.34
2026-03-27750,172.51817,059.44-66,886.93
2026-03-26430,199.75422,650.447,549.31
2026-03-25408,284.61944,733.25-536,448.63
2026-03-24345,747.03374,906.15-29,159.11
2026-03-23428,298.48453,002.95-24,704.47
2026-03-22120,103.88953,948.51-833,844.63
2026-03-2187,507.6685,395.512,112.16
2026-03-20504,307.40525,288.45-20,981.05
2026-03-19490,150.97576,873.73-86,722.77
2026-03-18667,669.81717,852.56-50,182.74
2026-03-17483,357.98584,681.43-101,323.45
2026-03-16570,598.44597,330.85-26,732.41
2026-03-15136,563.49163,345.21-26,781.73
Latest Ethereum ETF Net Flows
DateEthereum ETF Net Flow
2026-03-29-1,006.17
2026-03-284,878.93
2026-03-27-78,017.59
2026-03-26-19,132.67
2026-03-25-8,815.48
2026-03-24-7,022.66
2026-03-23-11,383.60
2026-03-226,058.04
2026-03-21-1,699.88
2026-03-20-56,000.89
2026-03-19-13,352.58
2026-03-185,121.96
2026-03-17-54,456.35
2026-03-16-9,152.89
2026-03-151,106.37
Latest Ethereum Whale Activity
DateWhale TxEthereum Moved
2026-03-2943137,214.77
2026-03-28163544,628.58
2026-03-277392,640,587.21
2026-03-265202,248,711.17
2026-03-253521,512,041.80
2026-03-243771,582,276.04
2026-03-235941,893,314.65
2026-03-222402,232,298.09
2026-03-21109410,398.62
2026-03-205852,120,355.04
2026-03-195531,942,562.02
2026-03-186332,582,610.10
2026-03-175121,824,341.85
2026-03-166952,638,439.03
2026-03-15221607,597.38