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BTC and ETH On-Chain Data Analysis – March 28, 2026

CoinDirection On-Chain Data Analysis

Daily Bitcoin and Ethereum on-chain analysis based on exchange flows, ETF net flows and whale activity.
Source: Dune
Updated: March 28, 2026 07:33 UTC

Market Overview

Bitcoin's exchange net outflows have decreased significantly compared to recent averages, indicating less accumulation pressure. ETF flows show a sharp increase in outflows, suggesting weakening demand. Over the medium term, Bitcoin's persistent exchange outflows have lessened, while ETF outflows have intensified dramatically. Whale activity remains subdued, indicating a potential weakening of demand and accumulation trends.

Daily On-Chain Analysis

Bitcoin Daily On-Chain Flow Analysis
Bias: neutral | Confidence: medium

Bitcoin's exchange net outflows have decreased significantly compared to recent averages, indicating less accumulation pressure. ETF flows show a sharp increase in outflows, suggesting weakening demand.

Key points
  • Exchange netflow remains negative but less so than prior periods
  • ETF netflow sharply negative, much larger outflows than recent baseline
  • Whale transaction count and volume dropped substantially
  • Reduced whale activity may limit directional conviction
Risks
  • ETF outflows could increase selling pressure
  • Lower whale activity may reduce liquidity or market support
  • Exchange outflows slowing could precede a shift in supply dynamics

Conclusion: In the short term, Bitcoin shows signs of reduced accumulation with diminished whale activity and sharply negative ETF flows, suggesting cautious market sentiment without clear directional bias.

Bitcoin Medium-Term On-Chain Trends
Bias: bearish | Confidence: medium

Over the medium term, Bitcoin's persistent exchange outflows have lessened, while ETF outflows have intensified dramatically. Whale activity remains subdued, indicating a potential weakening of demand and accumulation trends.

Key points
  • Exchange outflows have decreased by around 70-80% compared to prior weeks
  • ETF outflows have surged massively, over 500% increase versus prior weeks
  • Whale transaction counts and volumes remain significantly below average
  • Reduced whale engagement may signal less conviction in accumulation
Risks
  • Sustained heavy ETF outflows could pressure prices
  • Diminished whale activity may reduce market support
  • Exchange outflow reduction might indicate supply tightening, conflicting signals

Conclusion: Bitcoin's medium-term on-chain data suggest weakening demand due to intensified ETF outflows and subdued whale activity, despite a reduction in exchange outflows, pointing to a cautious bearish outlook.

Ethereum Daily On-Chain Flow Analysis
Bias: bullish | Confidence: medium

Ethereum's exchange outflows have decreased significantly but remain negative, indicating ongoing accumulation. ETF flows have turned positive recently, signaling renewed demand, though whale activity has sharply declined.

Key points
  • Exchange netflows remain negative but less intense than recent averages
  • ETF netflows shifted from negative to positive, indicating demand pickup
  • Whale transaction count and volume dropped sharply
  • Reduced whale activity may temper the strength of accumulation signals
Risks
  • Lower whale activity could limit momentum
  • Exchange outflows decreasing might reduce accumulation pace
  • ETF inflows need confirmation over coming sessions

Conclusion: Ethereum's short-term on-chain data show improving demand dynamics with positive ETF inflows and continued exchange outflows, though subdued whale activity suggests cautious optimism.

Ethereum Medium-Term On-Chain Trends
Bias: bullish | Confidence: medium

Ethereum's medium-term trend shows persistent exchange outflows indicating ongoing accumulation, combined with a recent shift to positive ETF inflows. Whale activity remains low, which may moderate the bullish signals.

Key points
  • Exchange outflows persist but have eased by about 85-87% from prior weeks
  • ETF flows reversed from negative to positive with over 100% increase
  • Whale transaction counts and moved volume remain significantly below average
  • Positive ETF flows support demand despite low whale engagement
Risks
  • Sustained low whale activity may limit upward price momentum
  • Exchange outflow reduction could signal slowing accumulation
  • ETF inflows need to sustain to confirm bullish demand

Conclusion: Ethereum's medium-term on-chain data indicate a bullish demand environment supported by positive ETF flows and persistent exchange outflows, though low whale activity tempers confidence in sustained strength.

Bitcoin

Bitcoin Exchange Net Flow
-0.00000413
Bitcoin ETF Net Flow
-1,985.82
Bitcoin Whale Tx
117
Bitcoin Moved by Whales
68.99K

Bitcoin Exchange Flows

Bitcoin ETF Net Flow

Bitcoin Whale Activity

Bitcoin Summary Tables

Latest Bitcoin Exchange Flows
DateBitcoin InflowBitcoin OutflowBitcoin Net Flow
2026-03-280.000051320.00005544-0.00000413
2026-03-270.000795610.00080513-0.00000952
2026-03-260.000572910.000544450.00002846
2026-03-250.000463390.00052352-0.00006013
2026-03-240.000892740.000888060.00000468
2026-03-230.000535790.00054718-0.00001138
2026-03-220.000566310.00066358-0.00009727
2026-03-210.000329060.000328770.00000029
2026-03-200.000483430.000474980.00000845
2026-03-190.000401090.000393330.00000776
2026-03-180.000682850.000678410.00000444
2026-03-170.000816880.00085021-0.00003332
2026-03-160.000837130.000780050.00005709
2026-03-150.000191140.000191100.00000005
2026-03-140.000237950.000236780.00000116
Latest Bitcoin ETF Net Flows
DateBitcoin ETF Net Flow
2026-03-27-1,985.82
2026-03-26-867.35
2026-03-25-538.98
2026-03-241,355.41
2026-03-23-418.61
2026-03-210.00
2026-03-20-913.86
2026-03-19-838.76
2026-03-182,298.09
2026-03-171,649.80
2026-03-162,045.77
2026-03-150.00
2026-03-13566.51
2026-03-121,477.40
2026-03-112,628.01
Latest Bitcoin Whale Activity
DateWhale TxBitcoin Moved
2026-03-2811768,991.09
2026-03-271,072524,401.81
2026-03-26826471,699.32
2026-03-25862419,927.31
2026-03-24864453,034.65
2026-03-23874404,865.30
2026-03-22496257,012.27
2026-03-21443179,599.12
2026-03-20831379,330.87
2026-03-19902362,086.48
2026-03-181,012498,596.08
2026-03-171,128535,007.51
2026-03-161,032666,522.65
2026-03-15670313,807.50
2026-03-14613320,957.34

Ethereum

Ethereum Exchange Net Flow
-26,360.87
Ethereum ETF Net Flow
841.47
Ethereum Whale Tx
38
Ethereum Moved by Whales
95.90K

Ethereum Exchange Flows

Ethereum ETF Net Flow

Ethereum Whale Activity

Ethereum Summary Tables

Latest Ethereum Exchange Flows
DateEthereum InflowEthereum OutflowEthereum Net Flow
2026-03-2833,414.1359,774.99-26,360.87
2026-03-27750,172.51817,059.44-66,886.93
2026-03-26430,199.75422,650.447,549.31
2026-03-25408,284.61944,733.25-536,448.63
2026-03-24345,747.03374,906.15-29,159.11
2026-03-23428,298.48453,002.95-24,704.47
2026-03-22120,103.88953,948.51-833,844.63
2026-03-2187,507.6685,395.512,112.16
2026-03-20504,307.40525,288.45-20,981.05
2026-03-19490,150.97576,873.73-86,722.77
2026-03-18667,669.81717,852.56-50,182.74
2026-03-17483,357.98584,681.43-101,323.45
2026-03-16570,598.44597,330.85-26,732.41
2026-03-15136,563.49163,345.21-26,781.73
2026-03-14109,909.83126,405.56-16,495.73
Latest Ethereum ETF Net Flows
DateEthereum ETF Net Flow
2026-03-28841.47
2026-03-27-78,017.59
2026-03-26-19,132.67
2026-03-25-8,815.48
2026-03-24-7,022.66
2026-03-23-11,383.60
2026-03-226,058.04
2026-03-21-1,699.88
2026-03-20-56,000.89
2026-03-19-13,352.58
2026-03-185,121.96
2026-03-17-54,456.35
2026-03-16-9,152.89
2026-03-151,106.37
2026-03-14-851.43
Latest Ethereum Whale Activity
DateWhale TxEthereum Moved
2026-03-283895,898.75
2026-03-277392,640,587.21
2026-03-265202,248,711.17
2026-03-253521,512,041.80
2026-03-243771,582,276.04
2026-03-235941,893,314.65
2026-03-222402,232,298.09
2026-03-21109410,398.62
2026-03-205852,120,355.04
2026-03-195531,942,562.02
2026-03-186332,582,610.10
2026-03-175121,824,341.85
2026-03-166952,638,439.03
2026-03-15221607,597.38
2026-03-142271,058,298.04