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BTC and ETH On-Chain Data Analysis – March 26, 2026

CoinDirection On-Chain Data Analysis

Daily Bitcoin and Ethereum on-chain analysis based on exchange flows, ETF net flows and whale activity.
Source: Dune
Updated: March 26, 2026 06:52 UTC

Market Overview

BTC exchange netflows have flipped positive from recent negative averages, suggesting increased sell pressure today. However, ETF flows sharply reversed to net outflows, indicating reduced institutional demand. Over the past week, BTC has seen persistent exchange outflows indicating accumulation, but recent daily reversal to inflows and sharp ETF outflows create a mixed medium-term outlook. Whale activity remains subdued compared to prior weeks.

Daily On-Chain Analysis

Bitcoin Daily On-Chain Flow Analysis
Bias: mixed | Confidence: medium

BTC exchange netflows have flipped positive from recent negative averages, suggesting increased sell pressure today. However, ETF flows sharply reversed to net outflows, indicating reduced institutional demand.

Key points
  • Exchange netflow turned positive after days of outflows
  • ETF netflow sharply negative today versus prior inflows
  • Whale activity significantly lower than weekly average
  • Short-term signals conflict between exchange and ETF flows
Risks
  • Rising exchange inflows may increase sell pressure
  • ETF outflows could reduce spot demand
  • Low whale activity reduces clarity on large holder positioning
  • Potential volatility from conflicting signals

Conclusion: Bitcoin's daily on-chain data shows a mixed picture with rising exchange inflows suggesting short-term sell pressure, countered by declining ETF demand and subdued whale activity, indicating uncertainty in immediate market direction.

Bitcoin Medium-Term On-Chain Trends
Bias: neutral | Confidence: medium

Over the past week, BTC has seen persistent exchange outflows indicating accumulation, but recent daily reversal to inflows and sharp ETF outflows create a mixed medium-term outlook. Whale activity remains subdued compared to prior weeks.

Key points
  • 7-day average exchange netflows negative, signaling accumulation
  • ETF inflows have reversed to significant outflows
  • Whale transaction count and volume down ~80%
  • Medium-term signals show tension between accumulation and demand reduction
Risks
  • ETF outflows may pressure price despite accumulation
  • Reduced whale activity limits large holder influence
  • Exchange inflow spikes could trigger short-term sell-offs
  • Market may remain range-bound amid conflicting signals

Conclusion: Bitcoin's medium-term on-chain trends reflect ongoing accumulation via exchange outflows but are tempered by declining institutional demand and low whale participation, resulting in a neutral outlook with potential for volatility.

Ethereum Daily On-Chain Flow Analysis
Bias: bullish | Confidence: medium

ETH exchange netflows remain negative but have decreased in magnitude, suggesting continued but slowing accumulation. ETF outflows persist but are less severe, while whale activity is sharply reduced, indicating cautious positioning.

Key points
  • Exchange netflows negative but smaller than recent averages
  • ETF outflows continue but at reduced levels
  • Whale transaction count and volume significantly lower
  • Daily data suggests slowing sell pressure and ongoing accumulation
Risks
  • ETF outflows still indicate demand weakness
  • Low whale activity may reduce market support
  • Reduced exchange outflows could precede sell pressure
  • Short-term volatility possible amid mixed signals

Conclusion: Ethereum's daily on-chain data points to ongoing accumulation with reduced sell pressure, though persistent ETF outflows and low whale activity suggest demand remains cautious and the near-term trend is fragile.

Ethereum Medium-Term On-Chain Trends
Bias: bullish | Confidence: medium

ETH has shown persistent exchange outflows over the past week, indicating steady accumulation despite weakening ETF inflows and diminished whale activity. The trend suggests cautious but consistent demand support.

Key points
  • 7-day average exchange netflows strongly negative
  • ETF netflows negative but improving compared to prior weeks
  • Whale activity down over 80% in count and volume
  • Medium-term trend favors accumulation with reduced demand momentum
Risks
  • ETF outflows may limit upside potential
  • Low whale participation reduces large holder influence
  • Potential for accumulation to stall if demand weakens further
  • Market may remain range-bound without stronger demand signals

Conclusion: Ethereum's medium-term on-chain data supports a cautious accumulation regime with persistent exchange outflows, though weakening ETF demand and low whale activity temper confidence in sustained upward momentum.

Bitcoin

Bitcoin Exchange Net Flow
0.00000077
Bitcoin ETF Net Flow
-538.98
Bitcoin Whale Tx
151
Bitcoin Moved by Whales
74.80K

Bitcoin Exchange Flows

Bitcoin ETF Net Flow

Bitcoin Whale Activity

Bitcoin Summary Tables

Latest Bitcoin Exchange Flows
DateBitcoin InflowBitcoin OutflowBitcoin Net Flow
2026-03-260.000086730.000085960.00000077
2026-03-250.000463390.00052352-0.00006013
2026-03-240.000892740.000888060.00000468
2026-03-230.000535790.00054718-0.00001138
2026-03-220.000566310.00066358-0.00009727
2026-03-210.000329060.000328770.00000029
2026-03-200.000483430.000474980.00000845
2026-03-190.000401090.000393330.00000776
2026-03-180.000682850.000678410.00000444
2026-03-170.000816880.00085021-0.00003332
2026-03-160.000837130.000780050.00005709
2026-03-150.000191140.000191100.00000005
2026-03-140.000237950.000236780.00000116
2026-03-130.000754230.00080144-0.00004721
2026-03-120.000672210.00077012-0.00009791
Latest Bitcoin ETF Net Flows
DateBitcoin ETF Net Flow
2026-03-25-538.98
2026-03-241,355.41
2026-03-23-418.61
2026-03-210.00
2026-03-20-913.86
2026-03-19-838.76
2026-03-182,298.09
2026-03-171,649.80
2026-03-162,045.77
2026-03-150.00
2026-03-13566.51
2026-03-121,477.40
2026-03-112,628.01
2026-03-101,337.78
2026-03-09-2,712.20
Latest Bitcoin Whale Activity
DateWhale TxBitcoin Moved
2026-03-2615174,803.48
2026-03-25862419,927.31
2026-03-24864453,034.65
2026-03-23874404,865.30
2026-03-22496257,012.27
2026-03-21443179,599.12
2026-03-20831379,330.87
2026-03-19902362,086.48
2026-03-181,012498,596.08
2026-03-171,128535,007.51
2026-03-161,032666,522.65
2026-03-15670313,807.50
2026-03-14613320,957.34
2026-03-13974489,585.53
2026-03-12879452,031.68

Ethereum

Ethereum Exchange Net Flow
-15,744.26
Ethereum ETF Net Flow
-618.50
Ethereum Whale Tx
63
Ethereum Moved by Whales
541.24K

Ethereum Exchange Flows

Ethereum ETF Net Flow

Ethereum Whale Activity

Ethereum Summary Tables

Latest Ethereum Exchange Flows
DateEthereum InflowEthereum OutflowEthereum Net Flow
2026-03-2636,815.8652,560.11-15,744.26
2026-03-25408,284.61944,733.25-536,448.63
2026-03-24345,747.03374,906.15-29,159.11
2026-03-23428,298.48453,002.95-24,704.47
2026-03-22120,103.88953,948.51-833,844.63
2026-03-2187,507.6685,395.512,112.16
2026-03-20504,307.40525,288.45-20,981.05
2026-03-19490,150.97576,873.73-86,722.77
2026-03-18667,669.81717,852.56-50,182.74
2026-03-17483,357.98584,681.43-101,323.45
2026-03-16570,598.44597,330.85-26,732.41
2026-03-15136,563.49163,345.21-26,781.73
2026-03-14109,909.83126,405.56-16,495.73
2026-03-13482,538.90540,741.72-58,202.82
2026-03-12455,554.91781,561.70-326,006.78
Latest Ethereum ETF Net Flows
DateEthereum ETF Net Flow
2026-03-26-618.50
2026-03-25-8,815.48
2026-03-24-7,022.66
2026-03-23-11,383.60
2026-03-226,058.04
2026-03-21-1,699.88
2026-03-20-56,000.89
2026-03-19-13,352.58
2026-03-185,121.96
2026-03-17-54,456.35
2026-03-16-9,152.89
2026-03-151,106.37
2026-03-14-851.43
2026-03-13-54,272.38
2026-03-12-1,177.90
Latest Ethereum Whale Activity
DateWhale TxEthereum Moved
2026-03-2663541,236.65
2026-03-253521,512,041.80
2026-03-243771,582,276.04
2026-03-235941,893,314.65
2026-03-222402,232,298.09
2026-03-21109410,398.62
2026-03-205852,120,355.04
2026-03-195531,942,562.02
2026-03-186332,582,610.10
2026-03-175121,824,341.85
2026-03-166952,638,439.03
2026-03-15221607,597.38
2026-03-142271,058,298.04
2026-03-135812,323,423.65
2026-03-124471,784,253.95