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BTC and ETH On-Chain Data Analysis – March 25, 2026

CoinDirection On-Chain Data Analysis

Daily Bitcoin and Ethereum on-chain analysis based on exchange flows, ETF net flows and whale activity.
Source: Dune
Updated: March 25, 2026 06:58 UTC

Market Overview

BTC exchange netflows remain negative indicating accumulation, while ETF inflows surged sharply, supporting spot demand. Whale activity declined significantly, reducing immediate distribution risk. Persistent negative exchange netflows indicate ongoing accumulation, complemented by a recent strong rebound in ETF inflows. Whale activity remains subdued compared to the prior week, aligning with a cautious accumulation regime.

Daily On-Chain Analysis

Bitcoin Daily On-Chain Flow Analysis
Bias: bullish | Confidence: medium

BTC exchange netflows remain negative indicating accumulation, while ETF inflows surged sharply, supporting spot demand. Whale activity declined significantly, reducing immediate distribution risk.

Key points
  • Exchange netflow negative but less so than recent baseline
  • ETF net inflows sharply positive versus recent averages
  • Whale transaction count and volume dropped substantially
  • Reduced whale activity may limit short-term volatility
Risks
  • Exchange outflows could reverse if whale activity picks up
  • ETF inflows may not sustain if market sentiment shifts
  • Sudden increase in whale movements could trigger sell pressure

Conclusion: In the short term, Bitcoin shows accumulation signals supported by strong ETF demand and subdued whale activity, suggesting reduced immediate sell pressure but monitoring whale behavior remains important.

Bitcoin Medium-Term On-Chain Trends
Bias: bullish | Confidence: medium

Persistent negative exchange netflows indicate ongoing accumulation, complemented by a recent strong rebound in ETF inflows. Whale activity remains subdued compared to the prior week, aligning with a cautious accumulation regime.

Key points
  • Exchange netflows consistently negative over past week
  • ETF inflows shifted from negative to strongly positive
  • Whale activity remains well below weekly average
  • Accumulation trend supported by ETF demand
Risks
  • ETF inflows could reverse, weakening demand
  • Whale inactivity may precede sudden repositioning
  • Exchange flows could shift if market conditions deteriorate

Conclusion: Bitcoin’s medium-term on-chain data supports a cautious bullish stance driven by sustained accumulation and improving ETF demand, though low whale activity warrants attention for potential sudden shifts.

Ethereum Daily On-Chain Flow Analysis
Bias: bearish | Confidence: medium

ETH exchange netflows turned strongly positive, indicating increased sell pressure or distribution. ETF inflows improved but remain volatile, while whale activity sharply declined, reducing large holder influence in the short term.

Key points
  • Exchange netflows shifted from negative to strongly positive
  • ETF net inflows improved but remain inconsistent
  • Whale transaction count and volume dropped significantly
  • Short-term sell pressure indicated by exchange inflows
Risks
  • ETF inflows may not offset rising exchange sell pressure
  • Whale inactivity could precede sudden accumulation or distribution
  • Exchange inflows could accelerate if market sentiment worsens

Conclusion: Ethereum’s short-term on-chain data signals rising sell pressure from exchanges despite some ETF demand recovery, with diminished whale activity adding uncertainty to near-term price dynamics.

Ethereum Medium-Term On-Chain Trends
Bias: bearish | Confidence: medium

ETH exchange netflows have persistently shifted from negative to positive, suggesting a trend toward distribution. Although ETF inflows have improved, they remain volatile, and whale activity is significantly reduced, indicating weaker accumulation support.

Key points
  • Exchange netflows consistently positive over recent sessions
  • ETF inflows improved but remain below stable demand levels
  • Whale activity remains sharply lower than weekly average
  • Distribution signals outweigh accumulation in medium term
Risks
  • ETF inflows could reverse, exacerbating sell pressure
  • Whale inactivity may lead to sudden repositioning
  • Sustained positive exchange inflows could pressure prices

Conclusion: Ethereum’s medium-term on-chain trends point to a distribution regime with rising exchange inflows and weak whale participation, despite some ETF demand improvement, suggesting cautious bearishness.

Bitcoin

Bitcoin Exchange Net Flow
-0.00000242
Bitcoin ETF Net Flow
1,355.41
Bitcoin Whale Tx
184
Bitcoin Moved by Whales
99.56K

Bitcoin Exchange Flows

Bitcoin ETF Net Flow

Bitcoin Whale Activity

Bitcoin Summary Tables

Latest Bitcoin Exchange Flows
DateBitcoin InflowBitcoin OutflowBitcoin Net Flow
2026-03-250.000163750.00016617-0.00000242
2026-03-240.000892740.000888060.00000468
2026-03-230.000535790.00054718-0.00001138
2026-03-220.000566310.00066358-0.00009727
2026-03-210.000329060.000328770.00000029
2026-03-200.000483430.000474980.00000845
2026-03-190.000401090.000393330.00000776
2026-03-180.000682850.000678410.00000444
2026-03-170.000816880.00085021-0.00003332
2026-03-160.000837130.000780050.00005709
2026-03-150.000191140.000191100.00000005
2026-03-140.000237950.000236780.00000116
2026-03-130.000754230.00080144-0.00004721
2026-03-120.000672210.00077012-0.00009791
2026-03-110.000439050.00047970-0.00004065
Latest Bitcoin ETF Net Flows
DateBitcoin ETF Net Flow
2026-03-241,355.41
2026-03-23-418.61
2026-03-210.00
2026-03-20-913.86
2026-03-19-838.76
2026-03-182,298.09
2026-03-171,649.80
2026-03-162,045.77
2026-03-150.00
2026-03-13566.51
2026-03-121,477.40
2026-03-112,628.01
2026-03-101,337.78
2026-03-09-2,712.20
2026-03-06-2,605.51
Latest Bitcoin Whale Activity
DateWhale TxBitcoin Moved
2026-03-2518499,559.41
2026-03-24864453,034.65
2026-03-23874404,865.30
2026-03-22496257,012.27
2026-03-21443179,599.12
2026-03-20831379,330.87
2026-03-19902362,086.48
2026-03-181,012498,596.08
2026-03-171,128535,007.51
2026-03-161,032666,522.65
2026-03-15670313,807.50
2026-03-14613320,957.34
2026-03-13974489,585.53
2026-03-12879452,031.68
2026-03-11898441,276.51

Ethereum

Ethereum Exchange Net Flow
7,828.54
Ethereum ETF Net Flow
2,973.36
Ethereum Whale Tx
58
Ethereum Moved by Whales
264.91K

Ethereum Exchange Flows

Ethereum ETF Net Flow

Ethereum Whale Activity

Ethereum Summary Tables

Latest Ethereum Exchange Flows
DateEthereum InflowEthereum OutflowEthereum Net Flow
2026-03-2539,362.9231,534.387,828.54
2026-03-24345,747.03374,906.15-29,159.11
2026-03-23428,298.48453,002.95-24,704.47
2026-03-22120,103.88953,948.51-833,844.63
2026-03-2187,507.6685,395.512,112.16
2026-03-20504,307.40525,288.45-20,981.05
2026-03-19490,150.97576,873.73-86,722.77
2026-03-18667,669.81717,852.56-50,182.74
2026-03-17483,357.98584,681.43-101,323.45
2026-03-16570,598.44597,330.85-26,732.41
2026-03-15136,563.49163,345.21-26,781.73
2026-03-14109,909.83126,405.56-16,495.73
2026-03-13482,538.90540,741.72-58,202.82
2026-03-12455,554.91781,561.70-326,006.78
2026-03-11521,254.97723,089.41-201,834.43
Latest Ethereum ETF Net Flows
DateEthereum ETF Net Flow
2026-03-252,973.36
2026-03-24-7,022.66
2026-03-23-11,383.60
2026-03-226,058.04
2026-03-21-1,699.88
2026-03-20-56,000.89
2026-03-19-13,352.58
2026-03-185,121.96
2026-03-17-54,456.35
2026-03-16-9,152.89
2026-03-151,106.37
2026-03-14-851.43
2026-03-13-54,272.38
2026-03-12-1,177.90
2026-03-11962.13
Latest Ethereum Whale Activity
DateWhale TxEthereum Moved
2026-03-2558264,910.10
2026-03-243771,582,276.04
2026-03-235941,893,314.65
2026-03-222402,232,298.09
2026-03-21109410,398.62
2026-03-205852,120,355.04
2026-03-195531,942,562.02
2026-03-186332,582,610.10
2026-03-175121,824,341.85
2026-03-166952,638,439.03
2026-03-15221607,597.38
2026-03-142271,058,298.04
2026-03-135812,323,423.65
2026-03-124471,784,253.95
2026-03-115582,450,785.90