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BTC and ETH On-Chain Data Analysis – March 24, 2026

CoinDirection On-Chain Data Analysis

Daily Bitcoin and Ethereum on-chain analysis based on exchange flows, ETF net flows and whale activity.
Source: Dune
Updated: March 24, 2026 06:48 UTC

Market Overview

BTC exchange netflows have shifted from negative to slightly positive, indicating potential short-term sell pressure, while ETF outflows remain negative but less severe. Whale activity has dropped sharply, reducing large holder influence today. Over the past week, Bitcoin exchange flows have trended from negative to slightly positive, indicating a possible shift from accumulation to distribution. ETF flows remain negative overall but show signs of improvement, while whale activity has significantly declined, suggesting reduced large-scale positioning.

Daily On-Chain Analysis

Bitcoin Daily On-Chain Flow Analysis
Bias: mixed | Confidence: medium

BTC exchange netflows have shifted from negative to slightly positive, indicating potential short-term sell pressure, while ETF outflows remain negative but less severe. Whale activity has dropped sharply, reducing large holder influence today.

Key points
  • Exchange netflow turned positive from recent negative baseline
  • ETF netflows remain negative but improved versus prior week
  • Whale transaction count and volume sharply decreased
  • Short-term signals conflict between exchange inflows and ETF demand
Risks
  • Rising exchange inflows could trigger sell pressure
  • ETF outflows still indicate weak demand
  • Low whale activity may reduce market support
  • Mixed signals increase short-term uncertainty

Conclusion: Bitcoin's daily on-chain data shows a tentative shift toward increased exchange inflows, suggesting potential short-term selling pressure, but ETF flows and reduced whale activity temper conviction, resulting in a mixed near-term outlook.

Bitcoin Medium-Term On-Chain Trends
Bias: neutral | Confidence: medium

Over the past week, Bitcoin exchange flows have trended from negative to slightly positive, indicating a possible shift from accumulation to distribution. ETF flows remain negative overall but show signs of improvement, while whale activity has significantly declined, suggesting reduced large-scale positioning.

Key points
  • Exchange netflows increased by over 100% versus 7-day average
  • ETF netflows remain negative but improved from prior week
  • Whale activity down over 85% in count and volume
  • No clear sustained accumulation or distribution regime
Risks
  • Sustained positive exchange inflows could increase sell pressure
  • ETF outflows may continue to weigh on demand
  • Low whale engagement could reduce market depth
  • Potential for volatility due to conflicting signals

Conclusion: Bitcoin's medium-term on-chain data reflects a transition phase with rising exchange inflows and improving but still negative ETF flows, combined with diminished whale activity, resulting in a neutral outlook lacking clear directional conviction.

Ethereum Daily On-Chain Flow Analysis
Bias: bullish | Confidence: medium

Ethereum exchange netflows remain strongly negative, indicating continued accumulation and reduced immediate sell pressure. ETF outflows persist but have slightly improved, while whale activity has sharply decreased, suggesting less large-scale repositioning today.

Key points
  • Exchange netflows strongly negative, signaling accumulation
  • ETF netflows negative but improving slightly
  • Whale transaction count and volume sharply declined
  • Daily signals align on reduced sell pressure
Risks
  • ETF outflows may limit demand strength
  • Low whale activity could reduce market support
  • Sudden changes in exchange flows could alter outlook
  • Potential for short-term volatility remains

Conclusion: Ethereum's daily on-chain data supports a bullish bias with persistent exchange outflows indicating accumulation, though negative ETF flows and reduced whale activity suggest cautious optimism amid potential demand headwinds.

Ethereum Medium-Term On-Chain Trends
Bias: bullish | Confidence: high

Ethereum has maintained strong negative exchange netflows over the past week, consistent with ongoing accumulation. ETF outflows have lessened but remain negative, and whale activity has dropped significantly, indicating a sustained accumulation regime with reduced large-scale trading.

Key points
  • Consistent strong negative exchange netflows over 7 days
  • ETF netflows negative but improving over medium term
  • Whale activity down nearly 90% in count and volume
  • Clear accumulation trend with reduced large holder activity
Risks
  • ETF outflows could limit upside momentum
  • Low whale activity may reduce liquidity
  • Market sentiment shifts could disrupt trend
  • Exchange inflows could increase unexpectedly

Conclusion: Ethereum's medium-term on-chain data indicates a robust accumulation phase supported by persistent exchange outflows and improving ETF flows, despite sharply reduced whale activity, suggesting a bullish structural setup with some demand risks.

Bitcoin

Bitcoin Exchange Net Flow
0.00000552
Bitcoin ETF Net Flow
-418.61
Bitcoin Whale Tx
109
Bitcoin Moved by Whales
54.19K

Bitcoin Exchange Flows

Bitcoin ETF Net Flow

Bitcoin Whale Activity

Bitcoin Summary Tables

Latest Bitcoin Exchange Flows
DateBitcoin InflowBitcoin OutflowBitcoin Net Flow
2026-03-240.000241340.000235820.00000552
2026-03-230.000535790.00054718-0.00001138
2026-03-220.000566310.00066358-0.00009727
2026-03-210.000329060.000328770.00000029
2026-03-200.000483430.000474980.00000845
2026-03-190.000401090.000393330.00000776
2026-03-180.000682850.000678410.00000444
2026-03-170.000816880.00085021-0.00003332
2026-03-160.000837130.000780050.00005709
2026-03-150.000191140.000191100.00000005
2026-03-140.000237950.000236780.00000116
2026-03-130.000754230.00080144-0.00004721
2026-03-120.000672210.00077012-0.00009791
2026-03-110.000439050.00047970-0.00004065
2026-03-100.000500210.00054948-0.00004927
Latest Bitcoin ETF Net Flows
DateBitcoin ETF Net Flow
2026-03-23-418.61
2026-03-210.00
2026-03-20-913.86
2026-03-19-838.76
2026-03-182,298.09
2026-03-171,649.80
2026-03-162,045.77
2026-03-150.00
2026-03-13566.51
2026-03-121,477.40
2026-03-112,628.01
2026-03-101,337.78
2026-03-09-2,712.20
2026-03-06-2,605.51
2026-03-055,366.20
Latest Bitcoin Whale Activity
DateWhale TxBitcoin Moved
2026-03-2410954,188.05
2026-03-23874404,865.30
2026-03-22496257,012.27
2026-03-21443179,599.12
2026-03-20831379,330.87
2026-03-19902362,086.48
2026-03-181,012498,596.08
2026-03-171,128535,007.51
2026-03-161,032666,522.65
2026-03-15670313,807.50
2026-03-14613320,957.34
2026-03-13974489,585.53
2026-03-12879452,031.68
2026-03-11898441,276.51
2026-03-10959505,513.57

Ethereum

Ethereum Exchange Net Flow
-15,242.44
Ethereum ETF Net Flow
-2,070.45
Ethereum Whale Tx
50
Ethereum Moved by Whales
97.71K

Ethereum Exchange Flows

Ethereum ETF Net Flow

Ethereum Whale Activity

Ethereum Summary Tables

Latest Ethereum Exchange Flows
DateEthereum InflowEthereum OutflowEthereum Net Flow
2026-03-2435,393.7250,636.16-15,242.44
2026-03-23426,716.14444,232.20-17,516.05
2026-03-22119,969.40950,706.61-830,737.21
2026-03-2187,505.2685,386.452,118.82
2026-03-20504,307.40525,288.45-20,981.05
2026-03-19490,150.97576,873.73-86,722.77
2026-03-18667,669.81717,852.56-50,182.74
2026-03-17483,357.98584,681.43-101,323.45
2026-03-16570,598.44597,330.85-26,732.41
2026-03-15136,563.49163,345.21-26,781.73
2026-03-14109,909.83126,405.56-16,495.73
2026-03-13482,538.90540,741.72-58,202.82
2026-03-12455,554.91781,561.70-326,006.78
2026-03-11521,254.97723,089.41-201,834.43
2026-03-10497,282.00741,163.24-243,881.24
Latest Ethereum ETF Net Flows
DateEthereum ETF Net Flow
2026-03-24-2,070.45
2026-03-23-11,383.60
2026-03-226,058.04
2026-03-21-1,699.88
2026-03-20-56,000.89
2026-03-19-13,352.58
2026-03-185,121.96
2026-03-17-54,456.35
2026-03-16-9,152.89
2026-03-151,106.37
2026-03-14-851.43
2026-03-13-54,272.38
2026-03-12-1,177.90
2026-03-11962.13
2026-03-10-33,292.73
Latest Ethereum Whale Activity
DateWhale TxEthereum Moved
2026-03-245097,713.61
2026-03-235941,893,314.65
2026-03-222402,232,298.09
2026-03-21109410,398.62
2026-03-205852,120,355.04
2026-03-195531,942,562.02
2026-03-186332,582,610.10
2026-03-175121,824,341.85
2026-03-166952,638,439.03
2026-03-15221607,597.38
2026-03-142271,058,298.04
2026-03-135812,323,423.65
2026-03-124471,784,253.95
2026-03-115582,450,785.90
2026-03-105392,055,391.34