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BTC and ETH On-Chain Data Analysis – March 20, 2026

CoinDirection On-Chain Data Analysis

Daily Bitcoin and Ethereum on-chain analysis based on exchange flows, ETF net flows and whale activity.
Source: Dune
Updated: March 20, 2026 07:20 UTC

Market Overview

BTC exchange netflows have shifted from negative to slightly positive, indicating increased sell pressure today. ETF flows have turned sharply negative, reducing demand signals. Over the past week, BTC exchange flows have shifted from consistent outflows to net inflows, while ETF demand has reversed from positive to negative. Whale activity remains subdued, indicating a lack of strong accumulation.

Daily On-Chain Analysis

Bitcoin Daily On-Chain Flow Analysis
Bias: bearish | Confidence: medium

BTC exchange netflows have shifted from negative to slightly positive, indicating increased sell pressure today. ETF flows have turned sharply negative, reducing demand signals.

Key points
  • Exchange netflow turned positive after recent outflows
  • ETF netflow sharply negative today versus recent inflows
  • Whale transaction count and volume dropped significantly
  • Short-term signals suggest rising sell pressure
  • ETF outflows may weigh on spot demand
Risks
  • Whale activity decline reduces clarity on positioning
  • ETF outflows could accelerate if sell pressure persists
  • Exchange inflows remain low in absolute terms
  • Potential for short-term volatility due to mixed signals

Conclusion: In the short term, Bitcoin shows signs of increased sell pressure with rising exchange inflows and negative ETF flows, though low whale activity tempers conviction. This suggests cautious monitoring as immediate demand appears weaker.

Bitcoin Medium-Term On-Chain Trends
Bias: bearish | Confidence: high

Over the past week, BTC exchange flows have shifted from consistent outflows to net inflows, while ETF demand has reversed from positive to negative. Whale activity remains subdued, indicating a lack of strong accumulation.

Key points
  • Exchange netflows reversed from negative to positive over 7 days
  • ETF netflows declined sharply from sustained inflows
  • Whale transaction counts and volumes remain well below average
  • Persistent ETF outflows suggest weakening institutional demand
  • Exchange inflows imply potential distribution phase
Risks
  • Low whale activity reduces signal strength
  • Potential for sudden demand shifts if ETF flows reverse
  • Exchange inflows still modest in absolute terms
  • Market could react to external macro factors

Conclusion: Bitcoin’s medium-term on-chain data points to a transition from accumulation to distribution, driven by rising exchange inflows and declining ETF demand, with subdued whale activity reinforcing a cautious bearish outlook.

Ethereum Daily On-Chain Flow Analysis
Bias: bullish | Confidence: medium

ETH exchange outflows remain negative but have decreased in magnitude, while ETF flows have turned positive today, signaling renewed demand. Whale activity has dropped sharply, reducing immediate large-scale positioning.

Key points
  • Exchange netflows still negative but less so than recent averages
  • ETF netflows shifted from negative to positive
  • Whale transaction count and volume sharply lower
  • Positive ETF flows support spot demand
  • Reduced whale activity may limit volatility
Risks
  • Exchange outflows weakening could signal reduced accumulation
  • Low whale activity may reduce market momentum
  • ETF inflows need confirmation over coming days
  • Potential for short-term pullbacks despite positive ETF flows

Conclusion: Ethereum’s short-term on-chain data suggests improving demand conditions with positive ETF inflows and sustained though reduced exchange outflows, but diminished whale activity calls for cautious interpretation.

Ethereum Medium-Term On-Chain Trends
Bias: bullish | Confidence: high

ETH has maintained persistent exchange outflows over the past week, indicating ongoing accumulation. ETF flows have reversed from negative to positive, signaling a strengthening institutional demand backdrop despite sharply reduced whale activity.

Key points
  • Consistent exchange outflows over 7 days indicate accumulation
  • ETF netflows shifted from negative to positive over the week
  • Whale transaction counts and volumes remain significantly lower
  • Institutional demand appears to be recovering
  • Reduced whale activity may limit large directional moves
Risks
  • Whale inactivity could reduce market depth
  • ETF inflows need sustained confirmation
  • Exchange outflows have lessened recently
  • External factors could disrupt accumulation trend

Conclusion: Ethereum’s medium-term on-chain signals remain constructive with steady accumulation and improving ETF demand, though low whale activity suggests the trend may lack strong momentum and warrants ongoing observation.

Bitcoin

Bitcoin Exchange Net Flow
0.00000151
Bitcoin ETF Net Flow
-838.76
Bitcoin Whale Tx
119
Bitcoin Moved by Whales
82.82K

Bitcoin Exchange Flows

Bitcoin ETF Net Flow

Bitcoin Whale Activity

Bitcoin Summary Tables

Latest Bitcoin Exchange Flows
DateBitcoin InflowBitcoin OutflowBitcoin Net Flow
2026-03-200.000080320.000078820.00000151
2026-03-190.000401090.000393330.00000776
2026-03-180.000682850.000678410.00000444
2026-03-170.000816880.00085021-0.00003332
2026-03-160.000837130.000780050.00005709
2026-03-150.000191140.000191100.00000005
2026-03-140.000237950.000236780.00000116
2026-03-130.000754230.00080144-0.00004721
2026-03-120.000672210.00077012-0.00009791
2026-03-110.000439050.00047970-0.00004065
2026-03-100.000500210.00054948-0.00004927
2026-03-090.000521570.00054702-0.00002546
2026-03-080.000180690.000169340.00001134
2026-03-070.000177840.000176700.00000114
2026-03-060.000795680.00080126-0.00000558
Latest Bitcoin ETF Net Flows
DateBitcoin ETF Net Flow
2026-03-19-838.76
2026-03-182,298.09
2026-03-171,649.80
2026-03-162,045.77
2026-03-150.00
2026-03-13566.51
2026-03-121,477.40
2026-03-112,628.01
2026-03-101,337.78
2026-03-09-2,712.20
2026-03-06-2,605.51
2026-03-055,366.20
2026-03-044,892.99
2026-03-035,464.69
2026-03-02-470.01
Latest Bitcoin Whale Activity
DateWhale TxBitcoin Moved
2026-03-2011982,824.01
2026-03-19902362,086.48
2026-03-181,012498,596.08
2026-03-171,128535,007.51
2026-03-161,032666,522.65
2026-03-15670313,807.50
2026-03-14613320,957.34
2026-03-13974489,585.53
2026-03-12879452,031.68
2026-03-11898441,276.51
2026-03-10959505,513.57
2026-03-09792408,344.17
2026-03-08264233,534.54
2026-03-07311216,239.21
2026-03-06679496,056.20

Ethereum

Ethereum Exchange Net Flow
-9,456.66
Ethereum ETF Net Flow
708.64
Ethereum Whale Tx
63
Ethereum Moved by Whales
188.49K

Ethereum Exchange Flows

Ethereum ETF Net Flow

Ethereum Whale Activity

Ethereum Summary Tables

Latest Ethereum Exchange Flows
DateEthereum InflowEthereum OutflowEthereum Net Flow
2026-03-2060,543.2369,999.89-9,456.66
2026-03-19490,150.97576,873.73-86,722.77
2026-03-18667,669.81717,852.56-50,182.74
2026-03-17483,357.98584,681.43-101,323.45
2026-03-16570,598.44597,330.85-26,732.41
2026-03-15136,563.49163,345.21-26,781.73
2026-03-14109,909.83126,405.56-16,495.73
2026-03-13482,538.90540,741.72-58,202.82
2026-03-12455,554.91781,561.70-326,006.78
2026-03-11521,254.97723,089.41-201,834.43
2026-03-10497,282.00741,163.24-243,881.24
2026-03-09449,001.71725,905.15-276,903.44
2026-03-08244,020.82252,844.92-8,824.10
2026-03-07172,998.95135,354.6837,644.27
2026-03-06557,447.84556,678.71769.13
Latest Ethereum ETF Net Flows
DateEthereum ETF Net Flow
2026-03-20708.64
2026-03-19-13,352.58
2026-03-185,121.96
2026-03-17-54,456.35
2026-03-16-9,152.89
2026-03-151,106.37
2026-03-14-851.43
2026-03-13-54,272.38
2026-03-12-1,177.90
2026-03-11962.13
2026-03-10-33,292.73
2026-03-09-3,794.44
2026-03-08-3,097.56
2026-03-071,048.75
2026-03-06-16,872.66
Latest Ethereum Whale Activity
DateWhale TxEthereum Moved
2026-03-2063188,491.01
2026-03-195531,942,562.02
2026-03-186332,582,610.10
2026-03-175121,824,341.85
2026-03-166952,638,439.03
2026-03-15221607,597.38
2026-03-142271,058,298.04
2026-03-135812,323,423.65
2026-03-124471,784,253.95
2026-03-115582,450,785.90
2026-03-105392,055,391.34
2026-03-095321,687,112.28
2026-03-081,2662,210,411.72
2026-03-07318933,391.02
2026-03-066612,368,238.66