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BTC and ETH On-Chain Data Analysis – March 16, 2026

CoinDirection On-Chain Data Analysis

Daily Bitcoin and Ethereum on-chain analysis based on exchange flows, ETF net flows and whale activity.
Source: Dune
Updated: March 16, 2026 06:36 UTC

Market Overview

BTC exchange netflows remain negative but have risen sharply from deeper outflow levels, indicating reduced sell pressure. ETF inflows are negligible, and whale activity is significantly lower than average. Persistent negative exchange netflows over the past week indicate steady accumulation despite a recent reduction in outflow magnitude. Whale activity remains subdued, and ETF inflows have effectively vanished, signaling a lack of fresh external demand.

Daily On-Chain Analysis

Bitcoin Daily On-Chain Analysis
Bias: bullish | Confidence: medium

BTC exchange netflows remain negative but have risen sharply from deeper outflow levels, indicating reduced sell pressure. ETF inflows are negligible, and whale activity is significantly lower than average.

Key points
  • Exchange netflow slightly negative but improving vs recent baseline
  • ETF netflow near zero, no fresh demand from ETFs
  • Whale transaction count and volume sharply down
  • Reduced whale activity may limit volatility
  • Exchange outflows suggest ongoing accumulation
Risks
  • ETF inflows collapsed, removing a potential demand source
  • Whale inactivity could precede sudden repositioning
  • Exchange netflow improvement may reverse
  • Market sentiment could shift if sell pressure returns

Conclusion: Bitcoin’s short-term on-chain signals point to a cautious accumulation phase with reduced selling pressure and subdued whale activity, though the collapse in ETF inflows tempers bullish conviction.

Bitcoin Medium-Term On-Chain Trends
Bias: bullish | Confidence: medium

Persistent negative exchange netflows over the past week indicate steady accumulation despite a recent reduction in outflow magnitude. Whale activity remains subdued, and ETF inflows have effectively vanished, signaling a lack of fresh external demand.

Key points
  • Consistent exchange outflows over 7 days indicate accumulation
  • ETF inflows dropped nearly 100%, removing a key demand driver
  • Whale transaction counts and volumes remain well below average
  • Exchange outflow trend suggests reduced immediate sell pressure
  • Potential for accumulation to continue if whale inactivity persists
Risks
  • ETF demand absence may limit price support
  • Whale inactivity could precede distribution
  • Exchange netflow improvement might reverse
  • External macro factors could impact flows

Conclusion: Bitcoin’s medium-term on-chain data reflect a steady accumulation regime with diminished ETF demand and low whale activity, suggesting cautious positioning but limited bullish momentum.

Ethereum Daily On-Chain Analysis
Bias: bearish | Confidence: medium

Ethereum’s exchange netflows have turned strongly positive, signaling increased sell pressure after a period of outflows. ETF flows remain negative but less severe, while whale activity has dropped significantly in both count and volume.

Key points
  • Sharp rise in exchange inflows indicates potential distribution
  • ETF netflows remain negative but improved vs recent baseline
  • Whale transaction count and volume down over 60%
  • Recent inflow spike contrasts with prior accumulation trend
  • Exchange inflows suggest increased short-term sell pressure
Risks
  • Whale inactivity could mask larger repositioning
  • ETF outflows may continue pressuring demand
  • Exchange inflows might be temporary or reversed
  • Market could react to external catalysts

Conclusion: Ethereum’s daily on-chain data point to a short-term shift toward distribution with rising exchange inflows and subdued whale activity, indicating increased sell pressure despite some easing in ETF outflows.

Ethereum Medium-Term On-Chain Trends
Bias: bearish | Confidence: medium

Over the past week, Ethereum has transitioned from persistent exchange outflows to significant inflows, signaling a potential change in market regime. ETF flows remain negative, and whale activity is markedly reduced, aligning with a cautious or bearish medium-term outlook.

Key points
  • Exchange netflows shifted from negative to strongly positive
  • ETF outflows persist, indicating ongoing demand weakness
  • Whale activity remains low in both count and volume
  • Trend suggests possible distribution or profit-taking phase
  • Medium-term signals align with increased sell-side pressure
Risks
  • Whale inactivity could precede accumulation or distribution
  • ETF flow negativity may not persist
  • Exchange inflows could be short-lived
  • External factors could alter trend quickly

Conclusion: Ethereum’s medium-term on-chain trends reveal a shift toward distribution with rising exchange inflows and sustained negative ETF flows, supported by low whale activity, suggesting increased sell pressure and cautious market sentiment.

Bitcoin

Bitcoin Exchange Net Flow
-0.00000339
Bitcoin ETF Net Flow
0.00
Bitcoin Whale Tx
181
Bitcoin Moved by Whales
151.39K

Bitcoin Exchange Flows

Bitcoin ETF Net Flow

Bitcoin Whale Activity

Bitcoin Summary Tables

Latest Bitcoin Exchange Flows
DateBitcoin InflowBitcoin OutflowBitcoin Net Flow
2026-03-160.000140370.00014376-0.00000339
2026-03-150.000191140.000191100.00000005
2026-03-140.000237950.000236780.00000116
2026-03-130.000754230.00080144-0.00004721
2026-03-120.000672210.00077012-0.00009791
2026-03-110.000439050.00047970-0.00004065
2026-03-100.000500210.00054948-0.00004927
2026-03-090.000521570.00054702-0.00002546
2026-03-080.000180690.000169340.00001134
2026-03-070.000177840.000176700.00000114
2026-03-060.000795680.00080126-0.00000558
2026-03-050.001076200.00109314-0.00001695
2026-03-040.000983790.00128060-0.00029682
2026-03-030.000482680.00051193-0.00002926
2026-03-020.000484930.00053261-0.00004768
Latest Bitcoin ETF Net Flows
DateBitcoin ETF Net Flow
2026-03-150.00
2026-03-13566.51
2026-03-121,477.40
2026-03-112,628.01
2026-03-101,337.78
2026-03-09-2,712.20
2026-03-06-2,605.51
2026-03-055,366.20
2026-03-044,892.99
2026-03-035,464.69
2026-03-02-470.01
2026-02-28-6.19
2026-02-273,117.42
2026-02-265,493.35
2026-02-253,440.76
Latest Bitcoin Whale Activity
DateWhale TxBitcoin Moved
2026-03-16181151,389.27
2026-03-15670313,807.50
2026-03-14613320,957.34
2026-03-13974489,585.53
2026-03-12879452,031.68
2026-03-11898441,276.51
2026-03-10959505,513.57
2026-03-09792408,344.17
2026-03-08264233,534.54
2026-03-07311216,239.21
2026-03-06679496,056.20
2026-03-05792444,240.80
2026-03-04911573,671.18
2026-03-03693457,072.08
2026-03-02708434,753.28

Ethereum

Ethereum Exchange Net Flow
33,371.69
Ethereum ETF Net Flow
-1,382.92
Ethereum Whale Tx
152
Ethereum Moved by Whales
602.55K

Ethereum Exchange Flows

Ethereum ETF Net Flow

Ethereum Whale Activity

Ethereum Summary Tables

Latest Ethereum Exchange Flows
DateEthereum InflowEthereum OutflowEthereum Net Flow
2026-03-16119,706.8586,335.1633,371.69
2026-03-15136,563.49163,345.21-26,781.73
2026-03-14109,909.83126,405.56-16,495.73
2026-03-13482,538.90540,741.72-58,202.82
2026-03-12455,554.91781,561.70-326,006.78
2026-03-11521,254.97723,089.41-201,834.43
2026-03-10497,282.00741,163.24-243,881.24
2026-03-09449,001.71725,905.15-276,903.44
2026-03-08244,020.82252,844.92-8,824.10
2026-03-07172,998.95135,354.6837,644.27
2026-03-06557,447.84556,678.71769.13
2026-03-05612,142.401,032,436.00-420,293.60
2026-03-04642,235.74746,219.37-103,983.63
2026-03-03518,020.87612,777.69-94,756.82
2026-03-02560,074.70855,675.98-295,601.28
Latest Ethereum ETF Net Flows
DateEthereum ETF Net Flow
2026-03-16-1,382.92
2026-03-151,106.37
2026-03-14-851.43
2026-03-13-54,272.38
2026-03-12-1,177.90
2026-03-11962.13
2026-03-10-33,292.73
2026-03-09-3,794.44
2026-03-08-3,097.56
2026-03-071,048.75
2026-03-06-16,872.66
2026-03-0523,329.53
2026-03-0417,697.47
2026-03-03-3,155.68
2026-03-02-16,234.31
Latest Ethereum Whale Activity
DateWhale TxEthereum Moved
2026-03-16152602,548.66
2026-03-15221607,597.38
2026-03-142271,058,298.04
2026-03-135812,323,423.65
2026-03-124471,784,253.95
2026-03-115582,450,785.90
2026-03-105392,055,391.34
2026-03-095321,687,112.28
2026-03-081,2662,210,411.72
2026-03-07318933,391.02
2026-03-066612,368,238.66
2026-03-057642,398,129.49
2026-03-041,0273,853,115.45
2026-03-035892,251,205.62
2026-03-025972,395,570.15