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BTC and ETH On-Chain Data Analysis – March 15, 2026

CoinDirection On-Chain Data Analysis

Daily Bitcoin and Ethereum on-chain analysis based on exchange flows, ETF net flows and whale activity.
Source: Dune
Updated: March 15, 2026 08:00 UTC

Market Overview

Bitcoin's exchange netflows have turned positive today after a period of outflows, suggesting increased sell pressure. ETF inflows have collapsed nearly to zero, and whale activity has sharply declined. Over the past week, Bitcoin has transitioned from consistent exchange outflows to slight inflows, while ETF inflows have collapsed and whale activity remains subdued. This suggests a pause in accumulation with unclear directional bias.

Daily On-Chain Analysis

Bitcoin Daily On-Chain Flow Analysis
Bias: mixed | Confidence: medium

Bitcoin's exchange netflows have turned positive today after a period of outflows, suggesting increased sell pressure. ETF inflows have collapsed nearly to zero, and whale activity has sharply declined.

Key points
  • Exchange netflow shifted from negative to slightly positive
  • ETF net inflows dropped nearly 100% compared to recent averages
  • Whale transaction count and volume decreased by over 75%
  • Short-term signals indicate potential sell pressure but low demand from ETFs
  • Whale inactivity reduces clarity on large holder positioning
Risks
  • Sudden whale reactivation could change flow dynamics
  • ETF inactivity may be temporary and not fully indicative of demand
  • Exchange inflows remain very low in absolute terms
  • Short-term volatility could distort netflow interpretation

Conclusion: In the short term, Bitcoin shows signs of increased sell pressure from rising exchange inflows but lacks supporting demand from ETFs and whales, resulting in a mixed outlook with moderate uncertainty.

Bitcoin Medium-Term On-Chain Trends
Bias: neutral | Confidence: medium

Over the past week, Bitcoin has transitioned from consistent exchange outflows to slight inflows, while ETF inflows have collapsed and whale activity remains subdued. This suggests a pause in accumulation with unclear directional bias.

Key points
  • Exchange netflows averaged negative but latest data shows reversal
  • ETF inflows sharply declined from strong positive levels
  • Whale activity decreased significantly in count and volume
  • Medium-term trend shows weakening demand despite prior accumulation
  • No clear sustained distribution or accumulation regime
Risks
  • Potential for renewed whale accumulation or distribution
  • ETF flows could rebound, altering medium-term demand
  • Exchange flows remain near neutral, limiting conviction
  • External market factors could override on-chain signals

Conclusion: Bitcoin's medium-term on-chain data indicates a transition phase with weakening accumulation signals and no clear directional momentum, warranting cautious monitoring of evolving flows.

Ethereum Daily On-Chain Flow Analysis
Bias: bearish | Confidence: medium

Ethereum's exchange netflows have turned strongly positive today, indicating increased sell pressure. ETF inflows have also shifted from negative to positive, but whale activity has collapsed, reducing clarity on large holder behavior.

Key points
  • Exchange netflows reversed from large outflows to significant inflows
  • ETF netflows shifted from negative to positive
  • Whale transaction count and volume dropped over 95%
  • Short-term signals suggest distribution pressure despite ETF inflows
  • Whale inactivity clouds interpretation of large holder intent
Risks
  • ETF inflows may not fully offset exchange sell pressure
  • Whale inactivity could precede sudden repositioning
  • Exchange inflows might be transient and not sustained
  • Market volatility could distort daily netflow signals

Conclusion: Ethereum's short-term on-chain data points to increased sell pressure from exchanges despite positive ETF flows, with diminished whale activity adding uncertainty to the immediate outlook.

Ethereum Medium-Term On-Chain Trends
Bias: neutral | Confidence: medium

Ethereum has shown a persistent shift from heavy exchange outflows to inflows over the past week, accompanied by a similar reversal in ETF flows and a sharp decline in whale activity. This mixed picture suggests a pause in accumulation with unclear medium-term direction.

Key points
  • Exchange netflows moved from strong negative to positive territory
  • ETF flows reversed from negative to positive
  • Whale activity remains extremely low compared to prior levels
  • Medium-term trend indicates weakening accumulation momentum
  • No definitive distribution or accumulation regime established
Risks
  • Whale reactivation could shift medium-term trend
  • ETF flows may fluctuate, impacting demand signals
  • Exchange inflows could be temporary
  • External factors may override on-chain trends

Conclusion: Ethereum's medium-term on-chain data reflects a transition phase with reduced accumulation signals and ambiguous directional bias, necessitating close observation of flow developments.

Bitcoin

Bitcoin Exchange Net Flow
0.00000224
Bitcoin ETF Net Flow
0.00
Bitcoin Whale Tx
165
Bitcoin Moved by Whales
101.72K

Bitcoin Exchange Flows

Bitcoin ETF Net Flow

Bitcoin Whale Activity

Bitcoin Summary Tables

Latest Bitcoin Exchange Flows
DateBitcoin InflowBitcoin OutflowBitcoin Net Flow
2026-03-150.000042660.000040430.00000224
2026-03-140.000237950.000236780.00000116
2026-03-130.000754230.00080144-0.00004721
2026-03-120.000672210.00077012-0.00009791
2026-03-110.000439050.00047970-0.00004065
2026-03-100.000500210.00054948-0.00004927
2026-03-090.000521570.00054702-0.00002546
2026-03-080.000180690.000169340.00001134
2026-03-070.000177840.000176700.00000114
2026-03-060.000795680.00080126-0.00000558
2026-03-050.001076200.00109314-0.00001695
2026-03-040.000983790.00128060-0.00029682
2026-03-030.000482680.00051193-0.00002926
2026-03-020.000484930.00053261-0.00004768
2026-03-010.000281460.00029257-0.00001112
Latest Bitcoin ETF Net Flows
DateBitcoin ETF Net Flow
2026-03-150.00
2026-03-13566.51
2026-03-121,477.40
2026-03-112,628.01
2026-03-101,337.78
2026-03-09-2,712.20
2026-03-06-2,605.51
2026-03-055,366.20
2026-03-044,892.99
2026-03-035,464.69
2026-03-02-470.01
2026-02-28-6.19
2026-02-273,117.42
2026-02-265,493.35
2026-02-253,440.76
Latest Bitcoin Whale Activity
DateWhale TxBitcoin Moved
2026-03-15165101,724.99
2026-03-14613320,957.34
2026-03-13974489,585.53
2026-03-12879452,031.68
2026-03-11898441,276.51
2026-03-10959505,513.57
2026-03-09792408,344.17
2026-03-08264233,534.54
2026-03-07311216,239.21
2026-03-06679496,056.20
2026-03-05792444,240.80
2026-03-04911573,671.18
2026-03-03693457,072.08
2026-03-02708434,753.28
2026-03-01344261,247.30

Ethereum

Ethereum Exchange Net Flow
1,975.82
Ethereum ETF Net Flow
235.50
Ethereum Whale Tx
23
Ethereum Moved by Whales
68.54K

Ethereum Exchange Flows

Ethereum ETF Net Flow

Ethereum Whale Activity

Ethereum Summary Tables

Latest Ethereum Exchange Flows
DateEthereum InflowEthereum OutflowEthereum Net Flow
2026-03-1523,118.2221,142.401,975.82
2026-03-14109,909.83126,405.56-16,495.73
2026-03-13482,538.90540,741.72-58,202.82
2026-03-12455,554.91781,561.70-326,006.78
2026-03-11521,254.97723,089.41-201,834.43
2026-03-10497,282.00741,163.24-243,881.24
2026-03-09449,001.71725,905.15-276,903.44
2026-03-08244,020.82252,844.92-8,824.10
2026-03-07172,998.95135,354.6837,644.27
2026-03-06557,447.84556,678.71769.13
2026-03-05612,142.401,032,436.00-420,293.60
2026-03-04642,235.74746,219.37-103,983.63
2026-03-03518,020.87612,777.69-94,756.82
2026-03-02560,074.70855,675.98-295,601.28
2026-03-01254,942.24281,033.26-26,091.02
Latest Ethereum ETF Net Flows
DateEthereum ETF Net Flow
2026-03-15235.50
2026-03-14-851.43
2026-03-13-54,272.38
2026-03-12-1,177.90
2026-03-11962.13
2026-03-10-33,292.73
2026-03-09-3,794.44
2026-03-08-3,097.56
2026-03-071,048.75
2026-03-06-16,872.66
2026-03-0523,329.53
2026-03-0417,697.47
2026-03-03-3,155.68
2026-03-02-16,234.31
2026-03-01-3,121.97
Latest Ethereum Whale Activity
DateWhale TxEthereum Moved
2026-03-152368,538.32
2026-03-142271,058,298.04
2026-03-135812,323,423.65
2026-03-124471,784,253.95
2026-03-115582,450,785.90
2026-03-105392,055,391.34
2026-03-095321,687,112.28
2026-03-081,2662,210,411.72
2026-03-07318933,391.02
2026-03-066612,368,238.66
2026-03-057642,398,129.49
2026-03-041,0273,853,115.45
2026-03-035892,251,205.62
2026-03-025972,395,570.15
2026-03-014061,494,063.06