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BTC and ETH On-Chain Data Analysis – March 13, 2026

CoinDirection On-Chain Data Analysis

Daily Bitcoin and Ethereum on-chain analysis based on exchange flows, ETF net flows and whale activity.
Source: Dune
Updated: March 13, 2026 06:41 UTC

Market Overview

Bitcoin's latest exchange netflow turned slightly positive after a period of outflows, while ETF inflows surged significantly compared to the recent 3-day average. Whale activity sharply declined, reducing large holder influence. Over the past week, Bitcoin has shifted from consistent exchange outflows to near-neutral netflows, while ETF inflows remain positive but below the weekly average. Whale activity has significantly decreased, indicating less large holder involvement.

Daily On-Chain Analysis

Bitcoin Daily On-Chain Flow Analysis
Bias: mixed | Confidence: medium

Bitcoin's latest exchange netflow turned slightly positive after a period of outflows, while ETF inflows surged significantly compared to the recent 3-day average. Whale activity sharply declined, reducing large holder influence.

Key points
  • Exchange netflow shifted from negative to slightly positive, indicating potential short-term sell pressure.
  • ETF inflows increased by over 250% versus the 3-day average, supporting spot demand.
  • Whale transaction count and volume dropped by over 70%, signaling reduced large holder activity.
  • Exchange inflows remain low in absolute terms despite the percentage increase.
  • ETF inflows are below the 7-day average, suggesting some recent weakening in demand.
Risks
  • Rising exchange inflows could lead to increased sell pressure.
  • ETF inflows declined versus the 7-day average, indicating potential demand softening.
  • Low whale activity may reduce market support from large holders.
  • Small absolute netflows may limit the strength of these signals.

Conclusion: Bitcoin's short-term on-chain data shows a mixed picture with rising exchange inflows hinting at potential sell pressure, partially offset by strong ETF inflows. Reduced whale activity tempers the impact of these flows, suggesting cautious monitoring is warranted.

Bitcoin Medium-Term On-Chain Trends
Bias: neutral | Confidence: medium

Over the past week, Bitcoin has shifted from consistent exchange outflows to near-neutral netflows, while ETF inflows remain positive but below the weekly average. Whale activity has significantly decreased, indicating less large holder involvement.

Key points
  • Exchange netflows moved from negative to near zero, reducing accumulation signals.
  • ETF inflows remain positive but are down 28% compared to the 7-day average.
  • Whale transaction counts and volumes are down over 70%, showing diminished large holder activity.
  • The trend suggests a balance between selling pressure and demand.
  • No clear directional dominance in flows over the medium term.
Risks
  • Potential for renewed selling if exchange inflows continue rising.
  • ETF inflows weakening could reduce spot demand support.
  • Low whale activity may limit strong accumulation or distribution moves.
  • Market may remain range-bound without clear flow direction.

Conclusion: Bitcoin's medium-term on-chain data indicates a neutral stance with exchange flows stabilizing and ETF demand positive but weakening. The marked drop in whale activity reduces the likelihood of large directional moves, suggesting a balanced market environment.

Ethereum Daily On-Chain Flow Analysis
Bias: bearish | Confidence: medium

Ethereum's exchange netflow reversed sharply from heavy outflows to significant inflows, indicating increased sell pressure. ETF flows remain negative and have worsened, while whale activity has dropped substantially.

Key points
  • Exchange netflow shifted from large negative to strongly positive, signaling potential distribution.
  • ETF netflows remain negative and declined further versus the 3-day average.
  • Whale transaction count and volume decreased by nearly 90%, reducing large holder influence.
  • The reversal in exchange flows suggests short-term selling pressure.
  • ETF outflows indicate weakening institutional demand.
Risks
  • Rising exchange inflows may increase sell-side pressure.
  • Continued negative ETF flows could suppress demand.
  • Low whale activity limits potential accumulation support.
  • Conflicting signals between exchange inflows and ETF outflows create uncertainty.

Conclusion: Ethereum's daily on-chain data points to increased short-term sell pressure driven by rising exchange inflows and worsening ETF outflows. The sharp decline in whale activity further reduces potential accumulation, suggesting caution amid mixed signals.

Ethereum Medium-Term On-Chain Trends
Bias: bearish | Confidence: medium

Ethereum has experienced a persistent negative ETF flow trend alongside a recent sharp shift from sustained exchange outflows to inflows. Whale activity remains very low, indicating limited large holder participation in accumulation or distribution.

Key points
  • Exchange netflows reversed from negative to positive, reducing accumulation signals.
  • ETF netflows are consistently negative and have deepened over the week.
  • Whale activity remains suppressed, with transaction counts and volumes down nearly 90%.
  • The combination suggests weakening demand despite reduced selling on exchanges.
  • Medium-term trend favors cautious bearishness due to ETF outflows.
Risks
  • Potential for increased sell pressure if exchange inflows persist.
  • ETF outflows may continue to weigh on price and demand.
  • Low whale activity limits strong accumulation support.
  • Conflicting signals between exchange and ETF flows may cause volatility.

Conclusion: Ethereum's medium-term on-chain trends lean bearish, driven by persistent negative ETF flows and a recent shift to exchange inflows. The lack of whale activity reduces the likelihood of strong accumulation, indicating potential downside risks amid mixed signals.

Bitcoin

Bitcoin Exchange Net Flow
0.00001199
Bitcoin ETF Net Flow
1,477.40
Bitcoin Whale Tx
186
Bitcoin Moved by Whales
73.65K

Bitcoin Exchange Flows

Bitcoin ETF Net Flow

Bitcoin Whale Activity

Bitcoin Summary Tables

Latest Bitcoin Exchange Flows
DateBitcoin InflowBitcoin OutflowBitcoin Net Flow
2026-03-130.000083950.000071970.00001199
2026-03-120.000672210.00077012-0.00009791
2026-03-110.000439050.00047970-0.00004065
2026-03-100.000500210.00054948-0.00004927
2026-03-090.000521570.00054702-0.00002546
2026-03-080.000180690.000169340.00001134
2026-03-070.000177840.000176700.00000114
2026-03-060.000795680.00080126-0.00000558
2026-03-050.001076200.00109314-0.00001695
2026-03-040.000983790.00128060-0.00029682
2026-03-030.000482680.00051193-0.00002926
2026-03-020.000484930.00053261-0.00004768
2026-03-010.000281460.00029257-0.00001112
2026-02-280.000434770.00044270-0.00000793
2026-02-270.000599900.000582260.00001764
Latest Bitcoin ETF Net Flows
DateBitcoin ETF Net Flow
2026-03-121,477.40
2026-03-112,628.01
2026-03-101,337.78
2026-03-09-2,712.20
2026-03-06-2,605.51
2026-03-055,366.20
2026-03-044,892.99
2026-03-035,464.69
2026-03-02-470.01
2026-02-28-6.19
2026-02-273,117.42
2026-02-265,493.35
2026-02-253,440.76
2026-02-24-2,284.06
2026-02-231,184.83
Latest Bitcoin Whale Activity
DateWhale TxBitcoin Moved
2026-03-1318673,645.12
2026-03-12879452,031.68
2026-03-11898441,276.51
2026-03-10959505,513.57
2026-03-09792408,344.17
2026-03-08264233,534.54
2026-03-07311216,239.21
2026-03-06679496,056.20
2026-03-05792444,240.80
2026-03-04911573,671.18
2026-03-03693457,072.08
2026-03-02708434,753.28
2026-03-01344261,247.30
2026-02-28404227,051.66
2026-02-27709421,079.86

Ethereum

Ethereum Exchange Net Flow
5,715.64
Ethereum ETF Net Flow
-13,422.86
Ethereum Whale Tx
71
Ethereum Moved by Whales
207.64K

Ethereum Exchange Flows

Ethereum ETF Net Flow

Ethereum Whale Activity

Ethereum Summary Tables

Latest Ethereum Exchange Flows
DateEthereum InflowEthereum OutflowEthereum Net Flow
2026-03-1377,732.2272,016.585,715.64
2026-03-12454,498.53781,561.70-327,063.17
2026-03-11521,243.36723,089.41-201,846.04
2026-03-10497,199.62741,163.24-243,963.62
2026-03-09449,001.71725,905.15-276,903.44
2026-03-08244,020.82252,844.92-8,824.10
2026-03-07172,998.95135,354.6837,644.27
2026-03-06557,447.84556,678.71769.13
2026-03-05612,142.401,032,436.00-420,293.60
2026-03-04642,235.74746,219.37-103,983.63
2026-03-03518,020.87612,777.69-94,756.82
2026-03-02560,074.70855,675.98-295,601.28
2026-03-01254,942.24281,033.26-26,091.02
2026-02-28271,455.80446,917.19-175,461.39
2026-02-27223,874,586.86223,953,948.29-79,361.43
Latest Ethereum ETF Net Flows
DateEthereum ETF Net Flow
2026-03-13-13,422.86
2026-03-12-1,177.90
2026-03-11962.13
2026-03-10-33,292.73
2026-03-09-3,794.44
2026-03-08-3,097.56
2026-03-071,048.75
2026-03-06-16,872.66
2026-03-0523,329.53
2026-03-0417,697.47
2026-03-03-3,155.68
2026-03-02-16,234.31
2026-03-01-3,121.97
2026-02-282,588.94
2026-02-273,227.30
Latest Ethereum Whale Activity
DateWhale TxEthereum Moved
2026-03-1371207,635.91
2026-03-124471,784,253.95
2026-03-115582,450,785.90
2026-03-105392,055,391.34
2026-03-095321,687,112.28
2026-03-081,2662,210,411.72
2026-03-07318933,391.02
2026-03-066612,368,238.66
2026-03-057642,398,129.49
2026-03-041,0273,853,115.45
2026-03-035892,251,205.62
2026-03-025972,395,570.15
2026-03-014061,494,063.06
2026-02-28343990,891.92
2026-02-275221,762,875.88