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BTC and ETH On-Chain Data Analysis – March 12, 2026

CoinDirection On-Chain Data Analysis

Daily Bitcoin and Ethereum on-chain analysis based on exchange flows, ETF net flows and whale activity.
Source: Dune
Updated: March 12, 2026 06:24 UTC

Market Overview

Bitcoin's latest exchange netflow remains negative but has risen sharply compared to recent days, indicating reduced outflows. ETF inflows surged significantly, while whale activity dropped sharply. Over the past week, Bitcoin has maintained negative exchange netflows indicating ongoing accumulation, while ETF inflows have shifted from negative to positive, signaling improving demand. Whale activity remains subdued compared to the prior week.

Daily On-Chain Analysis

Bitcoin Daily On-Chain Flow Analysis
Bias: neutral | Confidence: medium

Bitcoin's latest exchange netflow remains negative but has risen sharply compared to recent days, indicating reduced outflows. ETF inflows surged significantly, while whale activity dropped sharply.

Key points
  • Exchange netflow negative but increased 93% vs 3-day average
  • ETF netflow turned strongly positive after recent negative average
  • Whale transaction count and volume decreased over 70%
  • Reduced exchange outflows may signal less immediate sell pressure
  • ETF inflows suggest renewed institutional demand
Risks
  • Whale activity decline may reduce market conviction
  • Exchange netflow still negative, so accumulation persists
  • ETF inflow spikes can be short-lived
  • Potential for conflicting signals between flows and whales

Conclusion: Bitcoin's short-term on-chain data shows a mixed picture with reduced exchange outflows and strong ETF inflows suggesting demand, but sharply lower whale activity introduces uncertainty about sustained positioning.

Bitcoin Medium-Term On-Chain Trends
Bias: bullish | Confidence: medium

Over the past week, Bitcoin has maintained negative exchange netflows indicating ongoing accumulation, while ETF inflows have shifted from negative to positive, signaling improving demand. Whale activity remains subdued compared to the prior week.

Key points
  • Exchange netflows persistently negative over 7 days
  • ETF netflows improved from negative to positive over 7 days
  • Whale activity down over 70% compared to prior week
  • Consistent exchange outflows imply steady accumulation
  • ETF inflows support institutional demand trend
Risks
  • Low whale activity may limit market momentum
  • ETF inflows could reverse if market conditions change
  • Exchange outflows less intense than before, possibly signaling pause
  • Potential for short-term volatility due to mixed signals

Conclusion: Bitcoin's medium-term on-chain data suggests a bullish accumulation regime supported by steady exchange outflows and improving ETF demand, though subdued whale activity tempers confidence in sustained momentum.

Ethereum Daily On-Chain Flow Analysis
Bias: neutral | Confidence: medium

Ethereum's exchange outflows remain negative but have decreased significantly compared to recent averages, indicating less accumulation or sell pressure. ETF inflows turned positive after a period of outflows, while whale activity dropped sharply.

Key points
  • Exchange netflow negative but increased 93% vs 3-day average
  • ETF netflow shifted from negative to positive
  • Whale transaction count and volume down over 85%
  • Reduced exchange outflows may indicate pause in accumulation
  • ETF inflows suggest renewed institutional interest
Risks
  • Whale activity decline may reduce directional clarity
  • Exchange outflows still negative, so some accumulation persists
  • ETF inflows could be short-term or volatile
  • Conflicting signals between flows and whale behavior

Conclusion: Ethereum's short-term on-chain data shows a transition phase with less intense exchange outflows and positive ETF inflows, but the sharp drop in whale activity adds uncertainty to the near-term trend.

Ethereum Medium-Term On-Chain Trends
Bias: bullish | Confidence: medium

Ethereum has maintained negative exchange netflows over the past week, indicating ongoing accumulation, while ETF inflows have improved from negative to positive territory. Whale activity remains significantly lower than the prior week.

Key points
  • Persistent negative exchange netflows over 7 days
  • ETF netflows improved from negative to positive over 7 days
  • Whale activity decreased over 85% compared to prior week
  • Consistent exchange outflows support accumulation thesis
  • ETF inflows indicate strengthening institutional demand
Risks
  • Low whale activity may limit trend strength
  • ETF inflows could reverse if market sentiment shifts
  • Exchange outflows less intense, possibly signaling consolidation
  • Potential for mixed signals causing short-term volatility

Conclusion: Ethereum's medium-term on-chain data points to a bullish accumulation environment supported by steady exchange outflows and improving ETF demand, though subdued whale activity introduces caution regarding trend durability.

Bitcoin

Bitcoin Exchange Net Flow
-0.00000254
Bitcoin ETF Net Flow
2,628.01
Bitcoin Whale Tx
153
Bitcoin Moved by Whales
104.98K

Bitcoin Exchange Flows

Bitcoin ETF Net Flow

Bitcoin Whale Activity

Bitcoin Summary Tables

Latest Bitcoin Exchange Flows
DateBitcoin InflowBitcoin OutflowBitcoin Net Flow
2026-03-120.000096830.00009937-0.00000254
2026-03-110.000439050.00047970-0.00004065
2026-03-100.000500210.00054948-0.00004927
2026-03-090.000521570.00054702-0.00002546
2026-03-080.000180690.000169340.00001134
2026-03-070.000177840.000176700.00000114
2026-03-060.000795680.00080126-0.00000558
2026-03-050.001076200.00109314-0.00001695
2026-03-040.000983790.00128060-0.00029682
2026-03-030.000482680.00051193-0.00002926
2026-03-020.000484930.00053261-0.00004768
2026-03-010.000281460.00029257-0.00001112
2026-02-280.000434770.00044270-0.00000793
2026-02-270.000599900.000582260.00001764
2026-02-260.000664240.00068580-0.00002156
Latest Bitcoin ETF Net Flows
DateBitcoin ETF Net Flow
2026-03-112,628.01
2026-03-101,337.78
2026-03-09-2,712.20
2026-03-06-2,605.51
2026-03-055,366.20
2026-03-044,892.99
2026-03-035,464.69
2026-03-02-470.01
2026-02-28-6.19
2026-02-273,117.42
2026-02-265,493.35
2026-02-253,440.76
2026-02-24-2,284.06
2026-02-231,184.83
2026-02-210.00
Latest Bitcoin Whale Activity
DateWhale TxBitcoin Moved
2026-03-12153104,977.71
2026-03-11898441,276.51
2026-03-10959505,513.57
2026-03-09792408,344.17
2026-03-08264233,534.54
2026-03-07311216,239.21
2026-03-06679496,056.20
2026-03-05792444,240.80
2026-03-04911573,671.18
2026-03-03693457,072.08
2026-03-02708434,753.28
2026-03-01344261,247.30
2026-02-28404227,051.66
2026-02-27709421,079.86
2026-02-261,104651,408.20

Ethereum

Ethereum Exchange Net Flow
-16,808.87
Ethereum ETF Net Flow
79.91
Ethereum Whale Tx
65
Ethereum Moved by Whales
269.04K

Ethereum Exchange Flows

Ethereum ETF Net Flow

Ethereum Whale Activity

Ethereum Summary Tables

Latest Ethereum Exchange Flows
DateEthereum InflowEthereum OutflowEthereum Net Flow
2026-03-1241,573.7558,382.62-16,808.87
2026-03-11521,243.36723,089.41-201,846.04
2026-03-10497,199.62741,163.24-243,963.62
2026-03-09449,001.71725,905.15-276,903.44
2026-03-08244,020.82252,844.92-8,824.10
2026-03-07172,998.95135,354.6837,644.27
2026-03-06557,447.84556,678.71769.13
2026-03-05612,142.401,032,436.00-420,293.60
2026-03-04642,235.74746,219.37-103,983.63
2026-03-03518,020.87612,777.69-94,756.82
2026-03-02560,074.70855,675.98-295,601.28
2026-03-01254,942.24281,033.26-26,091.02
2026-02-28271,455.80446,917.19-175,461.39
2026-02-27223,874,586.86223,953,948.29-79,361.43
2026-02-26736,035.16988,317.76-252,282.60
Latest Ethereum ETF Net Flows
DateEthereum ETF Net Flow
2026-03-1279.91
2026-03-11962.13
2026-03-10-33,292.73
2026-03-09-3,794.44
2026-03-08-3,097.56
2026-03-071,048.75
2026-03-06-16,872.66
2026-03-0523,329.53
2026-03-0417,697.47
2026-03-03-3,155.68
2026-03-02-16,234.31
2026-03-01-3,121.97
2026-02-282,588.94
2026-02-273,227.30
2026-02-2616,027.47
Latest Ethereum Whale Activity
DateWhale TxEthereum Moved
2026-03-1265269,041.90
2026-03-115582,450,785.90
2026-03-105392,055,391.34
2026-03-095321,687,112.28
2026-03-081,2662,210,411.72
2026-03-07318933,391.02
2026-03-066612,368,238.66
2026-03-057642,398,129.49
2026-03-041,0273,853,115.45
2026-03-035892,251,205.62
2026-03-025972,395,570.15
2026-03-014061,494,063.06
2026-02-28343990,891.92
2026-02-275221,762,875.88
2026-02-266033,192,500.83