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BTC and ETH On-Chain Data Analysis – March 11, 2026

CoinDirection On-Chain Data Analysis

Daily Bitcoin and Ethereum on-chain analysis based on exchange flows, ETF net flows and whale activity.
Source: Dune
Updated: March 11, 2026 06:59 UTC

Market Overview

BTC exchange outflows remain negative but have decreased versus recent averages, indicating reduced accumulation pace. ETF inflows surged sharply compared to the last 3-day average, signaling renewed demand. Over the past week, BTC exchange outflows have been consistently negative but trending less strongly, while ETF inflows remain positive but slightly below the weekly average. Whale activity is significantly reduced, indicating less large-scale positioning.

Daily On-Chain Analysis

Bitcoin Daily On-Chain Analysis
Bias: neutral | Confidence: medium

BTC exchange outflows remain negative but have decreased versus recent averages, indicating reduced accumulation pace. ETF inflows surged sharply compared to the last 3-day average, signaling renewed demand.

Key points
  • Exchange netflow slightly negative but less so than recent baseline
  • ETF net inflows sharply increased versus 3-day average
  • Whale transaction count and volume sharply declined versus 7-day average
Risks
  • Reduced whale activity may limit strong directional moves
  • ETF inflows slightly below 7-day average, indicating some demand normalization
  • Exchange outflows weakening could precede increased sell pressure

Conclusion: In the short term, Bitcoin shows signs of cautious demand with ETF inflows supporting price, but reduced whale activity and weakening exchange outflows suggest limited conviction and potential for sideways or volatile price action.

Bitcoin Medium-Term On-Chain Trends
Bias: neutral | Confidence: medium

Over the past week, BTC exchange outflows have been consistently negative but trending less strongly, while ETF inflows remain positive but slightly below the weekly average. Whale activity is significantly reduced, indicating less large-scale positioning.

Key points
  • Exchange netflows persistently negative but weakening
  • ETF inflows positive but slightly below 7-day average
  • Whale transaction count and volume down over 69% and 72% respectively
Risks
  • Sustained reduction in whale activity may reduce momentum
  • Weaker exchange outflows could increase sell-side risk
  • ETF inflows showing signs of plateauing

Conclusion: Bitcoin's medium-term on-chain data reflects a cautious accumulation environment with diminished whale participation and steady but moderating ETF demand, suggesting a balanced outlook without clear directional bias.

Ethereum Daily On-Chain Analysis
Bias: bullish | Confidence: medium

ETH exchange outflows remain negative but have decreased compared to recent averages, indicating a slight slowdown in accumulation. ETF inflows have turned strongly positive after prior outflows, signaling renewed demand.

Key points
  • Exchange netflow negative but less so than recent baseline
  • ETF net inflows sharply positive versus recent negative averages
  • Whale activity sharply decreased in count and volume
Risks
  • Reduced whale activity may limit strong directional moves
  • Exchange outflows weakening could precede increased sell pressure
  • ETF inflows may be volatile given recent reversal

Conclusion: Ethereum's short-term on-chain signals point to renewed demand driven by ETF inflows, though reduced whale activity and weakening exchange outflows suggest cautious optimism with potential for short-term volatility.

Ethereum Medium-Term On-Chain Trends
Bias: bullish | Confidence: medium

ETH exchange outflows have been persistently negative but trending weaker, while ETF inflows have shifted from negative to strongly positive, indicating improving demand dynamics. Whale activity remains significantly subdued.

Key points
  • Consistent negative exchange netflows but less intense
  • ETF inflows reversed from negative to strongly positive
  • Whale transaction count and volume down over 80%
Risks
  • Sustained low whale activity may limit momentum
  • Exchange outflows weakening could increase sell-side risk
  • ETF inflows reversal may face short-term volatility

Conclusion: Ethereum's medium-term on-chain data suggests improving demand conditions supported by ETF inflows despite reduced whale participation and moderating exchange outflows, indicating a cautiously bullish outlook.

Bitcoin

Bitcoin Exchange Net Flow
-0.00001414
Bitcoin ETF Net Flow
1,337.78
Bitcoin Whale Tx
205
Bitcoin Moved by Whales
111.23K

Bitcoin Exchange Flows

Bitcoin ETF Net Flow

Bitcoin Whale Activity

Bitcoin Summary Tables

Latest Bitcoin Exchange Flows
DateBitcoin InflowBitcoin OutflowBitcoin Net Flow
2026-03-110.000126820.00014096-0.00001414
2026-03-100.000500210.00054948-0.00004927
2026-03-090.000521570.00054702-0.00002546
2026-03-080.000180690.000169340.00001134
2026-03-070.000177840.000176700.00000114
2026-03-060.000795680.00080126-0.00000558
2026-03-050.001076200.00109314-0.00001695
2026-03-040.000983790.00128060-0.00029682
2026-03-030.000482680.00051193-0.00002926
2026-03-020.000484930.00053261-0.00004768
2026-03-010.000281460.00029257-0.00001112
2026-02-280.000434770.00044270-0.00000793
2026-02-270.000599900.000582260.00001764
2026-02-260.000664240.00068580-0.00002156
2026-02-250.001367450.001362100.00000535
Latest Bitcoin ETF Net Flows
DateBitcoin ETF Net Flow
2026-03-101,337.78
2026-03-09-2,712.20
2026-03-06-2,605.51
2026-03-055,366.20
2026-03-044,892.99
2026-03-035,464.69
2026-03-02-470.01
2026-02-28-6.19
2026-02-273,117.42
2026-02-265,493.35
2026-02-253,440.76
2026-02-24-2,284.06
2026-02-231,184.83
2026-02-210.00
2026-02-20-2,449.24
Latest Bitcoin Whale Activity
DateWhale TxBitcoin Moved
2026-03-11205111,231.99
2026-03-10959505,513.57
2026-03-09792408,344.17
2026-03-08264233,534.54
2026-03-07311216,239.21
2026-03-06679496,056.20
2026-03-05792444,240.80
2026-03-04911573,671.18
2026-03-03693457,072.08
2026-03-02708434,753.28
2026-03-01344261,247.30
2026-02-28404227,051.66
2026-02-27709421,079.86
2026-02-261,104651,408.20
2026-02-251,593684,850.22

Ethereum

Ethereum Exchange Net Flow
-112,438.64
Ethereum ETF Net Flow
4,481.49
Ethereum Whale Tx
71
Ethereum Moved by Whales
384.04K

Ethereum Exchange Flows

Ethereum ETF Net Flow

Ethereum Whale Activity

Ethereum Summary Tables

Latest Ethereum Exchange Flows
DateEthereum InflowEthereum OutflowEthereum Net Flow
2026-03-1146,522.03158,960.67-112,438.64
2026-03-10497,199.62741,163.24-243,963.62
2026-03-09449,001.71725,905.15-276,903.44
2026-03-08244,020.82252,844.92-8,824.10
2026-03-07172,998.95135,354.6837,644.27
2026-03-06557,447.84556,678.71769.13
2026-03-05612,142.401,032,436.00-420,293.60
2026-03-04642,235.74746,219.37-103,983.63
2026-03-03518,020.87612,777.69-94,756.82
2026-03-02560,074.70855,675.98-295,601.28
2026-03-01254,942.24281,033.26-26,091.02
2026-02-28271,455.80446,917.19-175,461.39
2026-02-27223,874,586.86223,953,948.29-79,361.43
2026-02-26736,035.16988,317.76-252,282.60
2026-02-25640,831.51726,066.21-85,234.70
Latest Ethereum ETF Net Flows
DateEthereum ETF Net Flow
2026-03-114,481.49
2026-03-10-33,292.73
2026-03-09-3,794.44
2026-03-08-3,097.56
2026-03-071,048.75
2026-03-06-16,872.66
2026-03-0523,329.53
2026-03-0417,697.47
2026-03-03-3,155.68
2026-03-02-16,234.31
2026-03-01-3,121.97
2026-02-282,588.94
2026-02-273,227.30
2026-02-2616,027.47
2026-02-253,528.16
Latest Ethereum Whale Activity
DateWhale TxEthereum Moved
2026-03-1171384,038.61
2026-03-105392,055,391.34
2026-03-095321,687,112.28
2026-03-081,2662,210,411.72
2026-03-07318933,391.02
2026-03-066612,368,238.66
2026-03-057642,398,129.49
2026-03-041,0273,853,115.45
2026-03-035892,251,205.62
2026-03-025972,395,570.15
2026-03-014061,494,063.06
2026-02-28343990,891.92
2026-02-275221,762,875.88
2026-02-266033,192,500.83
2026-02-258923,407,191.53