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BTC and ETH On-Chain Data Analysis – March 10, 2026

CoinDirection On-Chain Data Analysis

Daily Bitcoin and Ethereum on-chain analysis based on exchange flows, ETF net flows and whale activity.
Source: Dune
Updated: March 10, 2026 06:56 UTC

Market Overview

BTC exchange netflows have turned positive from recent negative baselines, indicating increased sell pressure today. ETF flows sharply reversed to negative, suggesting weakening institutional demand. Over the past week, BTC exchange flows have persistently been negative but recently shifted positive, while ETF flows have reversed from positive to strongly negative. Whale activity remains subdued, reinforcing a bearish medium-term outlook.

Daily On-Chain Analysis

Bitcoin Daily On-Chain Flow Analysis
Bias: bearish | Confidence: medium

BTC exchange netflows have turned positive from recent negative baselines, indicating increased sell pressure today. ETF flows sharply reversed to negative, suggesting weakening institutional demand.

Key points
  • Exchange netflow rose from negative to slightly positive
  • ETF netflow dropped significantly below zero
  • Whale transaction count and volume sharply decreased
  • Short-term signals point to increased potential sell pressure
Risks
  • ETF outflows may continue to pressure demand
  • Whale inactivity could reduce liquidity
  • Exchange inflows might be temporary or noise

Conclusion: In the short term, Bitcoin shows signs of increased sell pressure due to rising exchange inflows and negative ETF flows, though reduced whale activity tempers conviction.

Bitcoin Medium-Term On-Chain Trends
Bias: bearish | Confidence: high

Over the past week, BTC exchange flows have persistently been negative but recently shifted positive, while ETF flows have reversed from positive to strongly negative. Whale activity remains subdued, reinforcing a bearish medium-term outlook.

Key points
  • Exchange netflows were negative but recently turned positive
  • ETF flows shifted from positive to strongly negative
  • Whale transaction counts and volumes remain well below average
  • Persistent ETF outflows indicate weakening institutional demand
Risks
  • Potential for short-term correction if whales re-engage
  • Exchange inflows could reverse if accumulation resumes
  • ETF flow volatility may cause sudden demand shifts

Conclusion: Bitcoin’s medium-term on-chain data suggests weakening demand and rising sell pressure, driven by ETF outflows and a recent uptick in exchange inflows, with low whale participation limiting bullish counterbalance.

Ethereum Daily On-Chain Flow Analysis
Bias: bullish | Confidence: medium

ETH exchange netflows remain negative but have decreased in magnitude, indicating reduced outflows and potential accumulation. ETF flows continue negative but less so than prior days, while whale activity sharply declined.

Key points
  • Exchange netflows remain negative but less extreme
  • ETF netflows negative but reduced from recent baseline
  • Whale transaction count and volume dropped significantly
  • Short-term signals suggest cautious accumulation
Risks
  • ETF outflows still present, pressuring demand
  • Whale inactivity may limit strong accumulation
  • Exchange outflows could resume if sentiment worsens

Conclusion: Ethereum’s daily on-chain data points to ongoing accumulation with reduced outflows, though ETF outflows and low whale activity introduce caution.

Ethereum Medium-Term On-Chain Trends
Bias: mixed | Confidence: medium

ETH has persistently negative exchange netflows indicating accumulation, but ETF flows have turned negative from prior positive levels. Whale activity remains very low, creating a mixed medium-term picture.

Key points
  • Sustained negative exchange netflows suggest accumulation
  • ETF flows shifted from positive to negative over the week
  • Whale transaction counts and volumes are sharply down
  • Conflicting signals between accumulation and demand pressure
Risks
  • ETF outflows may undermine accumulation gains
  • Low whale activity could limit momentum
  • Exchange flows may normalize, altering trend

Conclusion: Ethereum’s medium-term on-chain trends show accumulation on exchanges but weakening institutional demand and subdued whale activity, resulting in a mixed outlook.

Bitcoin

Bitcoin Exchange Net Flow
0.00000186
Bitcoin ETF Net Flow
-2,712.20
Bitcoin Whale Tx
119
Bitcoin Moved by Whales
95.35K

Bitcoin Exchange Flows

Bitcoin ETF Net Flow

Bitcoin Whale Activity

Bitcoin Summary Tables

Latest Bitcoin Exchange Flows
DateBitcoin InflowBitcoin OutflowBitcoin Net Flow
2026-03-100.000138700.000136830.00000186
2026-03-090.000521570.00054702-0.00002546
2026-03-080.000180690.000169340.00001134
2026-03-070.000177840.000176700.00000114
2026-03-060.000795680.00080126-0.00000558
2026-03-050.001076200.00109314-0.00001695
2026-03-040.000983790.00128060-0.00029682
2026-03-030.000482680.00051193-0.00002926
2026-03-020.000484930.00053261-0.00004768
2026-03-010.000281460.00029257-0.00001112
2026-02-280.000434770.00044270-0.00000793
2026-02-270.000599900.000582260.00001764
2026-02-260.000664240.00068580-0.00002156
2026-02-250.001367450.001362100.00000535
2026-02-240.001236140.00123927-0.00000313
Latest Bitcoin ETF Net Flows
DateBitcoin ETF Net Flow
2026-03-09-2,712.20
2026-03-06-2,605.51
2026-03-055,366.20
2026-03-044,892.99
2026-03-035,464.69
2026-03-02-470.01
2026-02-28-6.19
2026-02-273,117.42
2026-02-265,493.35
2026-02-253,440.76
2026-02-24-2,284.06
2026-02-231,184.83
2026-02-210.00
2026-02-20-2,449.24
2026-02-19-1,269.98
Latest Bitcoin Whale Activity
DateWhale TxBitcoin Moved
2026-03-1011995,347.69
2026-03-09792408,344.17
2026-03-08264233,534.54
2026-03-07311216,239.21
2026-03-06679496,056.20
2026-03-05792444,240.80
2026-03-04911573,671.18
2026-03-03693457,072.08
2026-03-02708434,753.28
2026-03-01344261,247.30
2026-02-28404227,051.66
2026-02-27709421,079.86
2026-02-261,104651,408.20
2026-02-251,593684,850.22
2026-02-24878577,159.96

Ethereum

Ethereum Exchange Net Flow
-6,625.86
Ethereum ETF Net Flow
-2,463.94
Ethereum Whale Tx
72
Ethereum Moved by Whales
313.16K

Ethereum Exchange Flows

Ethereum ETF Net Flow

Ethereum Whale Activity

Ethereum Summary Tables

Latest Ethereum Exchange Flows
DateEthereum InflowEthereum OutflowEthereum Net Flow
2026-03-1063,151.2669,777.12-6,625.86
2026-03-09449,001.71725,905.15-276,903.44
2026-03-08244,020.82252,844.92-8,824.10
2026-03-07172,998.95135,354.6837,644.27
2026-03-06557,447.84556,678.71769.13
2026-03-05612,142.401,032,436.00-420,293.60
2026-03-04642,235.74746,219.37-103,983.63
2026-03-03518,020.87612,777.69-94,756.82
2026-03-02560,074.70855,675.98-295,601.28
2026-03-01254,942.24281,033.26-26,091.02
2026-02-28271,455.80446,917.19-175,461.39
2026-02-27223,874,586.86223,953,948.29-79,361.43
2026-02-26736,035.16988,317.76-252,282.60
2026-02-25640,831.51726,066.21-85,234.70
2026-02-24494,617.80601,025.70-106,407.90
Latest Ethereum ETF Net Flows
DateEthereum ETF Net Flow
2026-03-10-2,463.94
2026-03-09-3,794.44
2026-03-08-3,097.56
2026-03-071,048.75
2026-03-06-16,872.66
2026-03-0523,329.53
2026-03-0417,697.47
2026-03-03-3,155.68
2026-03-02-16,234.31
2026-03-01-3,121.97
2026-02-282,588.94
2026-02-273,227.30
2026-02-2616,027.47
2026-02-253,528.16
2026-02-24-16,220.69
Latest Ethereum Whale Activity
DateWhale TxEthereum Moved
2026-03-1072313,161.13
2026-03-095321,687,112.28
2026-03-081,2662,210,411.72
2026-03-07318933,391.02
2026-03-066612,368,238.66
2026-03-057642,398,129.49
2026-03-041,0273,853,115.45
2026-03-035892,251,205.62
2026-03-025972,395,570.15
2026-03-014061,494,063.06
2026-02-28343990,891.92
2026-02-275221,762,875.88
2026-02-266033,192,500.83
2026-02-258923,407,191.53
2026-02-245982,054,135.24