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BTC and ETH On-Chain Data Analysis – March 09, 2026

CoinDirection On-Chain Data Analysis

Daily Bitcoin and Ethereum on-chain analysis based on exchange flows, ETF net flows and whale activity.
Source: Dune
Updated: March 09, 2026 07:20 UTC

Market Overview

Bitcoin's latest exchange netflow is slightly positive but significantly lower than recent averages, while ETF flows turned sharply negative. Whale activity has dropped substantially in both count and volume. Over the past week, Bitcoin's exchange netflows have shifted from negative to near neutral, but ETF flows have turned decisively negative. Whale activity remains markedly lower, indicating reduced large-holder engagement.

Daily On-Chain Analysis

Bitcoin Daily On-Chain Flow Analysis
Bias: neutral | Confidence: medium

Bitcoin's latest exchange netflow is slightly positive but significantly lower than recent averages, while ETF flows turned sharply negative. Whale activity has dropped substantially in both count and volume.

Key points
  • Exchange netflow slightly positive but down 88% vs 3-day average
  • ETF netflow strongly negative, reversing prior inflows
  • Whale transaction count and volume down over 75%
  • Daily signals conflict between exchange and ETF flows
Risks
  • Negative ETF flows may pressure spot demand
  • Reduced whale activity could limit strong directional moves
  • Slight positive exchange inflows may indicate some sell pressure
  • Conflicting signals increase short-term uncertainty

Conclusion: Bitcoin's short-term on-chain data shows mixed signals with subdued whale activity and negative ETF flows offsetting minimal exchange inflows, suggesting cautious market conditions without clear directional bias.

Bitcoin Medium-Term On-Chain Trends
Bias: bearish | Confidence: medium

Over the past week, Bitcoin's exchange netflows have shifted from negative to near neutral, but ETF flows have turned decisively negative. Whale activity remains markedly lower, indicating reduced large-holder engagement.

Key points
  • Exchange netflow improved from negative to near zero over 7 days
  • ETF netflow dropped sharply, indicating demand weakness
  • Whale activity persistently low in count and volume
  • Trend suggests waning institutional demand
Risks
  • ETF outflows could exacerbate selling pressure
  • Low whale activity may reduce liquidity and volatility
  • Exchange flows near neutral, limiting clear accumulation signals
  • Potential for sudden shifts if whale activity resumes

Conclusion: Bitcoin's medium-term on-chain data points to weakening demand driven by negative ETF flows and low whale participation, with exchange flows not yet signaling strong accumulation, implying a cautious to bearish outlook.

Ethereum Daily On-Chain Flow Analysis
Bias: bullish | Confidence: medium

Ethereum's latest exchange netflow remains positive but has declined from recent highs, while ETF inflows have surged from negative to strongly positive. Whale activity has dropped sharply in both count and volume.

Key points
  • Exchange netflow positive but down 67% vs 3-day average
  • ETF netflow turned strongly positive, reversing prior outflows
  • Whale transaction count and volume decreased over 85%
  • ETF inflows support spot demand despite lower whale activity
Risks
  • Declining whale activity may limit strong directional moves
  • Reduced exchange inflows could signal weakening short-term momentum
  • ETF inflow strength may be offset if whales remain inactive
  • Volatility could increase if signals diverge further

Conclusion: Ethereum's daily on-chain data suggests improving demand from ETF inflows and positive exchange flows, though sharply reduced whale activity tempers confidence in sustained short-term strength.

Ethereum Medium-Term On-Chain Trends
Bias: bullish | Confidence: medium

Ethereum shows a medium-term trend of positive ETF inflows and exchange netflows recovering from negative territory, while whale activity remains subdued. This indicates ongoing accumulation supported by institutional demand but with limited large-holder engagement.

Key points
  • Exchange netflows shifted from large negative to positive over 7 days
  • ETF inflows strongly positive, indicating institutional accumulation
  • Whale activity persistently low in count and volume
  • Trend aligns with gradual demand recovery
Risks
  • Low whale activity may reduce market depth and momentum
  • ETF inflows could reverse, impacting demand
  • Exchange flows still below recent peaks
  • Potential for volatility if whale participation changes

Conclusion: Ethereum's medium-term on-chain data reflects a cautiously bullish environment driven by strong ETF inflows and improving exchange flows, though subdued whale activity suggests limited large-holder conviction for now.

Bitcoin

Bitcoin Exchange Net Flow
0.00000026
Bitcoin ETF Net Flow
-2,605.51
Bitcoin Whale Tx
138
Bitcoin Moved by Whales
96.69K

Bitcoin Exchange Flows

Bitcoin ETF Net Flow

Bitcoin Whale Activity

Bitcoin Summary Tables

Latest Bitcoin Exchange Flows
DateBitcoin InflowBitcoin OutflowBitcoin Net Flow
2026-03-090.000118750.000118490.00000026
2026-03-080.000180690.000169340.00001134
2026-03-070.000177840.000176700.00000114
2026-03-060.000795680.00080126-0.00000558
2026-03-050.001076200.00109314-0.00001695
2026-03-040.000983790.00128060-0.00029682
2026-03-030.000482680.00051193-0.00002926
2026-03-020.000484930.00053261-0.00004768
2026-03-010.000281460.00029257-0.00001112
2026-02-280.000434770.00044270-0.00000793
2026-02-270.000599900.000582260.00001764
2026-02-260.000664240.00068580-0.00002156
2026-02-250.001367450.001362100.00000535
2026-02-240.001236140.00123927-0.00000313
2026-02-230.000685100.000678480.00000661
Latest Bitcoin ETF Net Flows
DateBitcoin ETF Net Flow
2026-03-06-2,605.51
2026-03-055,366.20
2026-03-044,892.99
2026-03-035,464.69
2026-03-02-470.01
2026-02-28-6.19
2026-02-273,117.42
2026-02-265,493.35
2026-02-253,440.76
2026-02-24-2,284.06
2026-02-231,184.83
2026-02-210.00
2026-02-20-2,449.24
2026-02-19-1,269.98
2026-02-18-1,337.69
Latest Bitcoin Whale Activity
DateWhale TxBitcoin Moved
2026-03-0913896,694.52
2026-03-08264233,534.54
2026-03-07311216,239.21
2026-03-06679496,056.20
2026-03-05792444,240.80
2026-03-04911573,671.18
2026-03-03693457,072.08
2026-03-02708434,753.28
2026-03-01344261,247.30
2026-02-28404227,051.66
2026-02-27709421,079.86
2026-02-261,104651,408.20
2026-02-251,593684,850.22
2026-02-24878577,159.96
2026-02-23628372,842.47

Ethereum

Ethereum Exchange Net Flow
3,279.95
Ethereum ETF Net Flow
2,063.02
Ethereum Whale Tx
99
Ethereum Moved by Whales
227.61K

Ethereum Exchange Flows

Ethereum ETF Net Flow

Ethereum Whale Activity

Ethereum Summary Tables

Latest Ethereum Exchange Flows
DateEthereum InflowEthereum OutflowEthereum Net Flow
2026-03-0981,973.0878,693.123,279.95
2026-03-08244,020.82252,844.92-8,824.10
2026-03-07172,998.95135,354.6837,644.27
2026-03-06557,447.84556,678.71769.13
2026-03-05612,142.401,032,436.00-420,293.60
2026-03-04642,235.74746,219.37-103,983.63
2026-03-03518,020.87612,777.69-94,756.82
2026-03-02560,074.70855,675.98-295,601.28
2026-03-01254,942.24281,033.26-26,091.02
2026-02-28271,455.80446,917.19-175,461.39
2026-02-27223,874,586.86223,953,948.29-79,361.43
2026-02-26736,035.16988,317.76-252,282.60
2026-02-25640,831.51726,066.21-85,234.70
2026-02-24494,617.80601,025.70-106,407.90
2026-02-23563,679.82629,722.76-66,042.93
Latest Ethereum ETF Net Flows
DateEthereum ETF Net Flow
2026-03-092,063.02
2026-03-08-3,097.56
2026-03-071,048.75
2026-03-06-16,872.66
2026-03-0523,329.53
2026-03-0417,697.47
2026-03-03-3,155.68
2026-03-02-16,234.31
2026-03-01-3,121.97
2026-02-282,588.94
2026-02-273,227.30
2026-02-2616,027.47
2026-02-253,528.16
2026-02-24-16,220.69
2026-02-23-13,799.55
Latest Ethereum Whale Activity
DateWhale TxEthereum Moved
2026-03-0999227,607.92
2026-03-081,2662,210,411.72
2026-03-07318933,391.02
2026-03-066612,368,238.66
2026-03-057642,398,129.49
2026-03-041,0273,853,115.45
2026-03-035892,251,205.62
2026-03-025972,395,570.15
2026-03-014061,494,063.06
2026-02-28343990,891.92
2026-02-275221,762,875.88
2026-02-266033,192,500.83
2026-02-258923,407,191.53
2026-02-245982,054,135.24
2026-02-236312,123,116.45