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BTC and ETH On-Chain Data Analysis – March 07, 2026

CoinDirection On-Chain Data Analysis

Daily Bitcoin and Ethereum on-chain analysis based on exchange flows, ETF net flows and whale activity.
Source: Dune
Updated: March 07, 2026 17:11 UTC

Market Overview

Bitcoin's latest exchange netflow turned slightly positive after days of outflows, signaling potential short-term sell pressure. ETF flows sharply reversed to negative, indicating reduced institutional demand today. Over the past week, Bitcoin exhibited persistent accumulation via negative exchange netflows, but the recent reversal to positive inflows and sharply negative ETF flows suggest weakening demand. Whale activity remains subdued, indicating limited large-scale accumulation.

Daily On-Chain Analysis

Bitcoin Daily On-Chain Flow Analysis
Bias: mixed | Confidence: medium

Bitcoin's latest exchange netflow turned slightly positive after days of outflows, signaling potential short-term sell pressure. ETF flows sharply reversed to negative, indicating reduced institutional demand today.

Key points
  • Exchange netflow turned positive from recent negative baseline
  • ETF netflow sharply negative compared to prior positive inflows
  • Whale transaction count and volume significantly lower than weekly average
  • Short-term signals conflict between exchange and ETF flows
Risks
  • Rising exchange inflows may increase sell pressure
  • Negative ETF flows could reduce spot demand
  • Low whale activity may limit directional conviction
  • Potential for short-term volatility due to conflicting signals

Conclusion: Bitcoin's daily on-chain data shows emerging sell pressure from rising exchange inflows and negative ETF flows, but subdued whale activity tempers conviction, resulting in a mixed short-term outlook.

Bitcoin Medium-Term On-Chain Trends
Bias: bearish | Confidence: medium

Over the past week, Bitcoin exhibited persistent accumulation via negative exchange netflows, but the recent reversal to positive inflows and sharply negative ETF flows suggest weakening demand. Whale activity remains subdued, indicating limited large-scale accumulation.

Key points
  • Exchange netflows averaged negative but recently turned positive
  • ETF inflows shifted from positive to strongly negative
  • Whale transaction count and volume down over 60% vs weekly average
  • Trend shows weakening institutional demand and potential distribution
Risks
  • Reversal in exchange flows may signal distribution phase
  • Negative ETF flows reduce institutional buying pressure
  • Low whale activity may delay trend confirmation
  • External market factors could override on-chain signals

Conclusion: Bitcoin's medium-term on-chain trends indicate a transition from accumulation to potential distribution, driven by rising exchange inflows and declining ETF demand, with subdued whale participation limiting strong directional bias.

Ethereum Daily On-Chain Flow Analysis
Bias: bullish | Confidence: medium

Ethereum's latest exchange netflow surged positive, reversing recent outflows and suggesting renewed accumulation or reduced sell pressure. ETF inflows remain positive but sharply lower than recent averages, while whale activity is significantly reduced.

Key points
  • Exchange netflow sharply positive after days of outflows
  • ETF inflows positive but down substantially from recent levels
  • Whale transaction count and volume decreased over 60%
  • Short-term signals mostly align on accumulation
Risks
  • ETF inflows declining may limit sustained demand
  • Reduced whale activity could imply weaker conviction
  • Exchange inflows could precede profit-taking
  • Market volatility may disrupt short-term trends

Conclusion: Ethereum's daily on-chain data points to renewed accumulation with strong exchange outflows and positive ETF flows, though declining institutional demand and low whale activity suggest cautious optimism.

Ethereum Medium-Term On-Chain Trends
Bias: bullish | Confidence: medium

Ethereum has shown persistent exchange outflows over the past week, indicating ongoing accumulation. ETF flows remain positive overall despite recent dips, and whale activity is subdued but consistent with a consolidation phase.

Key points
  • Sustained negative exchange netflows indicate accumulation
  • ETF flows positive on a 7-day average basis
  • Whale activity lower but stable compared to prior weeks
  • Medium-term signals support demand resilience
Risks
  • Recent ETF inflow declines could signal weakening demand
  • Low whale activity may delay strong trend confirmation
  • Exchange inflows could increase if market sentiment shifts
  • External macro factors may impact on-chain trends

Conclusion: Ethereum's medium-term on-chain trends reflect steady accumulation supported by persistent exchange outflows and positive ETF demand, though subdued whale activity and recent ETF flow dips warrant monitoring for potential shifts.

Bitcoin

Bitcoin Exchange Net Flow
0.00001165
Bitcoin ETF Net Flow
-2,605.51
Bitcoin Whale Tx
222
Bitcoin Moved by Whales
167.69K

Bitcoin Exchange Flows

Bitcoin ETF Net Flow

Bitcoin Whale Activity

Bitcoin Summary Tables

Latest Bitcoin Exchange Flows
Date Bitcoin Inflow Bitcoin Outflow Bitcoin Net Flow
2026-03-07 0.00011291 0.00010126 0.00001165
2026-03-06 0.00079568 0.00080126 -0.00000558
2026-03-05 0.00107620 0.00109314 -0.00001695
2026-03-04 0.00098379 0.00128060 -0.00029682
2026-03-03 0.00048268 0.00051193 -0.00002926
2026-03-02 0.00048493 0.00053261 -0.00004768
2026-03-01 0.00028146 0.00029257 -0.00001112
2026-02-28 0.00043477 0.00044270 -0.00000793
2026-02-27 0.00059990 0.00058226 0.00001764
2026-02-26 0.00066424 0.00068580 -0.00002156
2026-02-25 0.00136745 0.00136210 0.00000535
2026-02-24 0.00123614 0.00123927 -0.00000313
2026-02-23 0.00068510 0.00067848 0.00000661
2026-02-22 0.00058238 0.00057935 0.00000303
2026-02-21 0.00063057 0.00062463 0.00000594
Latest Bitcoin ETF Net Flows
Date Bitcoin ETF Net Flow
2026-03-06 -2,605.51
2026-03-05 5,366.20
2026-03-04 4,892.99
2026-03-03 5,464.69
2026-03-02 -470.01
2026-02-28 -6.19
2026-02-27 3,117.42
2026-02-26 5,493.35
2026-02-25 3,440.76
2026-02-24 -2,284.06
2026-02-23 1,184.83
2026-02-21 0.00
2026-02-20 -2,449.24
2026-02-19 -1,269.98
2026-02-18 -1,337.69
Latest Bitcoin Whale Activity
Date Whale Tx Bitcoin Moved
2026-03-07 222 167,687.93
2026-03-06 679 496,056.20
2026-03-05 792 444,240.80
2026-03-04 911 573,671.18
2026-03-03 693 457,072.08
2026-03-02 708 434,753.28
2026-03-01 344 261,247.30
2026-02-28 404 227,051.66
2026-02-27 709 421,079.86
2026-02-26 1,104 651,408.20
2026-02-25 1,593 684,850.22
2026-02-24 878 577,159.96
2026-02-23 628 372,842.47
2026-02-22 230 237,517.89
2026-02-21 264 251,639.26

Ethereum

Ethereum Exchange Net Flow
58,182.94
Ethereum ETF Net Flow
641.77
Ethereum Whale Tx
223
Ethereum Moved by Whales
714.44K

Ethereum Exchange Flows

Ethereum ETF Net Flow

Ethereum Whale Activity

Ethereum Summary Tables

Latest Ethereum Exchange Flows
Date Ethereum Inflow Ethereum Outflow Ethereum Net Flow
2026-03-07 143,226.38 85,043.44 58,182.94
2026-03-06 557,447.84 556,678.71 769.13
2026-03-05 612,142.40 1,032,436.00 -420,293.60
2026-03-04 642,235.74 746,219.37 -103,983.63
2026-03-03 518,020.87 612,777.69 -94,756.82
2026-03-02 560,074.70 855,675.98 -295,601.28
2026-03-01 254,942.24 281,033.26 -26,091.02
2026-02-28 271,455.80 446,917.19 -175,461.39
2026-02-27 223,874,586.86 223,953,948.29 -79,361.43
2026-02-26 736,035.16 988,317.76 -252,282.60
2026-02-25 640,831.51 726,066.21 -85,234.70
2026-02-24 494,617.80 601,025.70 -106,407.90
2026-02-23 563,679.82 629,722.76 -66,042.93
2026-02-22 147,961.82 200,265.83 -52,304.01
2026-02-21 136,761.69 209,740.53 -72,978.83
Latest Ethereum ETF Net Flows
Date Ethereum ETF Net Flow
2026-03-07 641.77
2026-03-06 -16,872.66
2026-03-05 23,329.53
2026-03-04 17,697.47
2026-03-03 -3,155.68
2026-03-02 -16,234.31
2026-03-01 -3,121.97
2026-02-28 2,588.94
2026-02-27 3,227.30
2026-02-26 16,027.47
2026-02-25 3,528.16
2026-02-24 -16,220.69
2026-02-23 -13,799.55
2026-02-22 10,100.74
2026-02-21 -9,804.73
Latest Ethereum Whale Activity
Date Whale Tx Ethereum Moved
2026-03-07 223 714,436.55
2026-03-06 661 2,368,238.66
2026-03-05 764 2,398,129.49
2026-03-04 1,027 3,853,115.45
2026-03-03 589 2,251,205.62
2026-03-02 597 2,395,570.15
2026-03-01 406 1,494,063.06
2026-02-28 343 990,891.92
2026-02-27 522 1,762,875.88
2026-02-26 603 3,192,500.83
2026-02-25 892 3,407,191.53
2026-02-24 598 2,054,135.24
2026-02-23 631 2,123,116.45
2026-02-22 164 904,197.61
2026-02-21 224 533,447.32