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BTC and ETH On-Chain Data Analysis – April 30, 2026

CoinDirection On-Chain Data Analysis

Daily Bitcoin and Ethereum on-chain analysis based on exchange flows, ETF net flows and whale activity.
Source: Dune
Updated: April 30, 2026 06:13 UTC

Market Overview

Bitcoin's latest exchange netflow is slightly positive but down 50% from the recent 3-day average, while ETF outflows remain negative but have improved significantly. Whale activity sharply declined in both count and volume. Over the past week, Bitcoin's exchange netflows have been slightly positive, ETF outflows have lessened significantly, and whale activity remains sharply reduced. This suggests a tentative shift toward accumulation but with uncertainty due to low whale engagement.

Daily On-Chain Analysis

Bitcoin Daily On-Chain Flow Analysis
Bias: neutral | Confidence: medium

Bitcoin's latest exchange netflow is slightly positive but down 50% from the recent 3-day average, while ETF outflows remain negative but have improved significantly. Whale activity sharply declined in both count and volume.

Key points
  • Exchange netflow positive but halved vs 3-day average
  • ETF net outflows remain negative but less severe
  • Whale transaction count and volume dropped over 80%
  • Short-term sell pressure appears reduced
  • Signals are mixed with lower whale activity
Risks
  • Positive exchange netflow can still imply sell pressure
  • ETF outflows remain negative, dampening demand
  • Whale inactivity may reduce liquidity or signal pause
  • Sudden shifts in flows could alter short-term bias

Conclusion: Bitcoin's daily on-chain data shows a moderation in sell pressure with improving ETF flows but subdued whale activity, resulting in a neutral short-term outlook with mixed signals.

Bitcoin Medium-Term On-Chain Trends
Bias: neutral | Confidence: medium

Over the past week, Bitcoin's exchange netflows have been slightly positive, ETF outflows have lessened significantly, and whale activity remains sharply reduced. This suggests a tentative shift toward accumulation but with uncertainty due to low whale engagement.

Key points
  • Exchange netflows slightly positive over 7 days
  • ETF outflows improving but still negative
  • Whale activity down nearly 87% in count and 82% in volume
  • Persistent low whale activity may limit momentum
  • ETF flow improvement supports demand recovery
Risks
  • Sustained positive exchange inflows could trigger sell pressure
  • ETF flows remain negative, limiting bullish conviction
  • Whale inactivity may signal lack of strong conviction
  • Market conditions could shift quickly with new whale moves

Conclusion: Bitcoin's medium-term on-chain data points to a cautious environment with improving demand signals but subdued whale participation, resulting in a neutral bias with moderate confidence.

Ethereum Daily On-Chain Flow Analysis
Bias: bullish | Confidence: medium

Ethereum's latest exchange netflow is strongly negative, indicating significant outflows and potential accumulation. ETF outflows remain negative but have improved, while whale activity has sharply declined in both count and volume.

Key points
  • Exchange netflow sharply negative vs positive recent baseline
  • ETF net outflows less severe but still negative
  • Whale transaction count and volume down over 90%
  • Strong exchange outflows suggest accumulation
  • Reduced whale activity may indicate pause in large moves
Risks
  • ETF outflows remain negative, limiting demand strength
  • Whale inactivity could reduce market momentum
  • Sudden whale reactivation could cause volatility
  • Exchange outflows may reverse if market sentiment shifts

Conclusion: Ethereum's daily on-chain data shows strong exchange outflows consistent with accumulation, supported by improving ETF flows but tempered by very low whale activity, resulting in a cautiously bullish short-term outlook.

Ethereum Medium-Term On-Chain Trends
Bias: bullish | Confidence: medium

Ethereum's medium-term data reveals persistent strong exchange outflows and improving ETF flows, signaling ongoing accumulation. Whale activity remains very low, which introduces some uncertainty despite the positive flow trends.

Key points
  • Sustained strong negative exchange netflows over 7 days
  • ETF outflows improving significantly but still negative
  • Whale activity down over 90% in count and volume
  • Consistent accumulation signals from exchange flows
  • Low whale activity may limit immediate upside
Risks
  • ETF flows remain negative, capping bullish momentum
  • Whale inactivity could delay large directional moves
  • Potential for sudden whale-driven volatility
  • Market sentiment shifts could reverse accumulation

Conclusion: Ethereum's medium-term on-chain trends indicate ongoing accumulation supported by exchange and ETF flows, but very low whale activity tempers confidence, resulting in a moderately bullish outlook.

Bitcoin

Bitcoin Exchange Net Flow
0.00000985
Bitcoin ETF Net Flow
-75.15
Bitcoin Whale Tx
114
Bitcoin Moved by Whales
93.53K

Bitcoin Exchange Flows

Bitcoin ETF Net Flow

Bitcoin Whale Activity

Bitcoin Summary Tables

Latest Bitcoin Exchange Flows
DateBitcoin InflowBitcoin OutflowBitcoin Net Flow
2026-04-300.000144820.000134970.00000985
2026-04-290.000956440.000936960.00001948
2026-04-280.000859880.000827680.00003220
2026-04-270.000828790.000820560.00000822
2026-04-260.000438090.00043958-0.00000149
2026-04-250.000544120.00055571-0.00001159
2026-04-240.001046000.001030230.00001576
2026-04-230.000994650.000991730.00000293
2026-04-220.001399370.00141993-0.00002055
2026-04-210.001604960.00162020-0.00001523
2026-04-200.001267010.001259870.00000714
2026-04-190.001003960.001000940.00000301
2026-04-180.001063160.001030040.00003312
2026-04-170.000590770.000575800.00001496
2026-04-160.000476690.00053533-0.00005865
Latest Bitcoin ETF Net Flows
DateBitcoin ETF Net Flow
2026-04-30-75.15
2026-04-29-814.26
2026-04-28-1,647.32
2026-04-27-119.31
2026-04-260.00
2026-04-250.00
2026-04-241,237.85
2026-04-23687.15
2026-04-2215.17
2026-04-21-383.17
2026-04-205,714.35
2026-04-1884.85
2026-04-17423.50
2026-04-162,909.72
2026-04-154,156.61
Latest Bitcoin Whale Activity
DateWhale TxBitcoin Moved
2026-04-3011493,534.05
2026-04-29947520,115.37
2026-04-28955566,936.56
2026-04-27953487,823.07
2026-04-26585317,197.99
2026-04-25569349,722.45
2026-04-241,110810,668.92
2026-04-23993565,576.76
2026-04-221,025662,376.57
2026-04-211,130656,987.64
2026-04-201,311723,743.81
2026-04-19808514,651.13
2026-04-18795512,365.96
2026-04-171,085614,346.22
2026-04-161,026584,084.71

Ethereum

Ethereum Exchange Net Flow
-9,954.21
Ethereum ETF Net Flow
-1,617.09
Ethereum Whale Tx
39
Ethereum Moved by Whales
146.81K

Ethereum Exchange Flows

Ethereum ETF Net Flow

Ethereum Whale Activity

Ethereum Summary Tables

Latest Ethereum Exchange Flows
DateEthereum InflowEthereum OutflowEthereum Net Flow
2026-04-3027,844.7537,798.96-9,954.21
2026-04-29601,277.83594,909.676,368.17
2026-04-28368,522.38270,855.9997,666.40
2026-04-27496,620.56469,691.3026,929.25
2026-04-26128,737.49140,854.64-12,117.15
2026-04-2590,265.4298,418.97-8,153.55
2026-04-24519,288.65506,929.9512,358.70
2026-04-23396,862.74515,830.07-118,967.33
2026-04-22497,856.98488,880.728,976.26
2026-04-21444,313.35511,162.60-66,849.25
2026-04-20390,655.55851,815.48-461,159.93
2026-04-19219,473.51176,772.4042,701.11
2026-04-18153,768.17467,134.39-313,366.22
2026-04-17362,886.05553,656.52-190,770.47
2026-04-16383,948.71402,932.62-18,983.92
Latest Ethereum ETF Net Flows
DateEthereum ETF Net Flow
2026-04-30-1,617.09
2026-04-29-9,374.05
2026-04-28-6,776.07
2026-04-272,309.37
2026-04-267,506.77
2026-04-2598.14
2026-04-24-115,588.09
2026-04-23-7,585.62
2026-04-2211,665.95
2026-04-21-7,328.47
2026-04-205,622.46
2026-04-196,485.29
2026-04-18-516.34
2026-04-17-10,071.89
2026-04-16976.57
Latest Ethereum Whale Activity
DateWhale TxEthereum Moved
2026-04-3039146,805.78
2026-04-295632,498,589.80
2026-04-285021,894,592.14
2026-04-274901,675,592.98
2026-04-26174614,553.12
2026-04-2594367,799.97
2026-04-245772,129,979.31
2026-04-234541,557,510.16
2026-04-224971,627,107.72
2026-04-215142,370,830.88
2026-04-205031,736,266.01
2026-04-194371,174,355.46
2026-04-183311,526,056.68
2026-04-174421,425,384.48
2026-04-164761,278,273.21