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BTC and ETH On-Chain Data Analysis – April 16, 2026

CoinDirection On-Chain Data Analysis

Daily Bitcoin and Ethereum on-chain analysis based on exchange flows, ETF net flows and whale activity.
Source: Dune
Updated: April 16, 2026 09:18 UTC

Market Overview

Bitcoin's latest exchange netflow turned slightly positive after a period of outflows, while ETF inflows surged significantly. Whale activity dropped sharply, indicating reduced large holder movement today. Over the past week, Bitcoin has seen persistent ETF inflows growing substantially, while exchange flows have moved from net outflows to near neutral. Whale activity remains subdued, indicating less large-scale repositioning.

Daily On-Chain Analysis

Bitcoin Daily On-Chain Flow Analysis
Bias: neutral | Confidence: medium

Bitcoin's latest exchange netflow turned slightly positive after a period of outflows, while ETF inflows surged significantly. Whale activity dropped sharply, indicating reduced large holder movement today.

Key points
  • Exchange netflow shifted from negative to slightly positive
  • ETF inflows increased by nearly 200% versus recent baseline
  • Whale transaction count and volume decreased over 70%
  • Potential short-term sell pressure from exchange inflows
  • ETF demand remains strongly positive
Risks
  • Rising exchange inflows could increase sell pressure
  • Low whale activity may reduce market depth
  • ETF inflows may not immediately translate to spot demand
  • Short-term volatility from conflicting signals

Conclusion: Bitcoin's daily data shows a transition from accumulation to neutral exchange flows combined with strong ETF inflows, suggesting balanced short-term dynamics but with caution due to reduced whale participation.

Bitcoin Medium-Term On-Chain Trends
Bias: bullish | Confidence: medium

Over the past week, Bitcoin has seen persistent ETF inflows growing substantially, while exchange flows have moved from net outflows to near neutral. Whale activity remains subdued, indicating less large-scale repositioning.

Key points
  • ETF inflows increased over 300% compared to 7-day average
  • Exchange netflows shifted from negative to near zero
  • Whale transaction volume down over 70% week-on-week
  • ETF demand supports medium-term bullish bias
  • Exchange flows no longer indicate strong sell pressure
Risks
  • Low whale activity may limit strong directional moves
  • Exchange flows remain close to neutral, not strongly bullish
  • ETF inflows could face profit-taking pressure
  • Market may react to external macro factors

Conclusion: Bitcoin's medium-term on-chain signals favor a bullish outlook driven by sustained ETF demand and reduced exchange selling, though muted whale activity tempers confidence in a strong trend continuation.

Ethereum Daily On-Chain Flow Analysis
Bias: bearish | Confidence: medium

Ethereum's exchange netflows surged positive today after a period of outflows, indicating increased sell pressure. ETF inflows also turned positive but whale activity declined sharply, suggesting mixed short-term signals.

Key points
  • Exchange netflow rose sharply from negative to strongly positive
  • ETF inflows reversed from outflows to positive
  • Whale transaction count and volume dropped over 50%
  • Increased exchange inflows suggest short-term sell pressure
  • ETF inflows may partially offset exchange outflows
Risks
  • Rising exchange inflows could trigger further selling
  • ETF inflows may not fully compensate for exchange pressure
  • Reduced whale activity may limit market support
  • Potential volatility from conflicting signals

Conclusion: Ethereum's daily on-chain data points to increased short-term sell pressure from exchange inflows despite positive ETF demand, with declining whale activity adding uncertainty to near-term price action.

Ethereum Medium-Term On-Chain Trends
Bias: mixed | Confidence: medium

Ethereum shows a medium-term shift from persistent exchange outflows to inflows and ETF flows turning positive after prior outflows. Whale activity remains significantly lower, creating a mixed outlook with competing accumulation and distribution signals.

Key points
  • Exchange netflows increased over 200% from negative baseline
  • ETF inflows turned positive after sustained outflows
  • Whale transaction count and volume remain down over 50%
  • Mixed signals between accumulation and distribution regimes
  • ETF demand partially offsets rising exchange inflows
Risks
  • Sustained exchange inflows may increase sell pressure
  • Low whale activity could reduce market stability
  • ETF inflows may not sustain if sell pressure intensifies
  • Market sentiment vulnerable to external shocks

Conclusion: Ethereum's medium-term on-chain profile is mixed, with rising exchange inflows signaling potential distribution while positive ETF flows suggest renewed demand, all amid subdued whale participation that limits clear directional conviction.

Bitcoin

Bitcoin Exchange Net Flow
0.00000621
Bitcoin ETF Net Flow
4,156.61
Bitcoin Whale Tx
245
Bitcoin Moved by Whales
137.14K

Bitcoin Exchange Flows

Bitcoin ETF Net Flow

Bitcoin Whale Activity

Bitcoin Summary Tables

Latest Bitcoin Exchange Flows
DateBitcoin InflowBitcoin OutflowBitcoin Net Flow
2026-04-160.000168490.000162280.00000621
2026-04-150.000499340.00052170-0.00002236
2026-04-140.001332070.00138583-0.00005376
2026-04-130.000663160.00074064-0.00007748
2026-04-120.000440500.00044186-0.00000136
2026-04-110.000928630.00093869-0.00001005
2026-04-100.000889880.00090390-0.00001402
2026-04-090.001061110.00109526-0.00003414
2026-04-080.000965840.000961740.00000409
2026-04-070.001156230.001154530.00000170
2026-04-060.000831140.00085602-0.00002488
2026-04-050.000439340.000433970.00000537
2026-04-040.000480160.00048904-0.00000888
2026-04-030.000784600.000776270.00000832
2026-04-020.000780060.000771750.00000831
Latest Bitcoin ETF Net Flows
DateBitcoin ETF Net Flow
2026-04-154,156.61
2026-04-14-684.41
2026-04-131,629.12
2026-04-103,258.20
2026-04-09-609.19
2026-04-08-1,521.46
2026-04-074,111.79
2026-04-06-17.09
2026-04-040.00
2026-04-02-1,166.21
2026-04-011,243.75
2026-03-31127.33
2026-03-30-3,427.66
2026-03-27-1,985.82
2026-03-26-867.35
Latest Bitcoin Whale Activity
DateWhale TxBitcoin Moved
2026-04-16245137,137.13
2026-04-151,077550,781.01
2026-04-141,299707,381.59
2026-04-13960535,218.39
2026-04-12573278,543.28
2026-04-11649441,115.95
2026-04-10927526,432.24
2026-04-09945456,264.78
2026-04-08876471,884.02
2026-04-071,024570,930.73
2026-04-06791350,121.05
2026-04-05358262,284.88
2026-04-04380229,942.36
2026-04-03672395,015.34
2026-04-02939590,131.90

Ethereum

Ethereum Exchange Net Flow
15,221.44
Ethereum ETF Net Flow
3,120.32
Ethereum Whale Tx
168
Ethereum Moved by Whales
365.81K

Ethereum Exchange Flows

Ethereum ETF Net Flow

Ethereum Whale Activity

Ethereum Summary Tables

Latest Ethereum Exchange Flows
DateEthereum InflowEthereum OutflowEthereum Net Flow
2026-04-1661,011.1145,789.6715,221.44
2026-04-15362,918.62366,223.58-3,304.96
2026-04-14387,650.97360,303.4927,347.47
2026-04-13528,879.14562,747.27-33,868.13
2026-04-12160,094.47152,086.398,008.08
2026-04-11120,976.84125,134.77-4,157.92
2026-04-10520,058.03571,455.84-51,397.81
2026-04-09305,083.32353,946.52-48,863.20
2026-04-08423,389.96430,416.63-7,026.67
2026-04-07487,919.59483,786.474,133.13
2026-04-06390,213.11523,940.06-133,726.95
2026-04-05108,040.87110,055.58-2,014.71
2026-04-0476,072.68122,200.89-46,128.21
2026-04-03135,038.67185,758.47-50,719.80
2026-04-02388,776.11387,535.861,240.25
Latest Ethereum ETF Net Flows
DateEthereum ETF Net Flow
2026-04-163,120.32
2026-04-15-10,900.79
2026-04-143,919.38
2026-04-13-226.81
2026-04-12-3,034.58
2026-04-11-420.13
2026-04-1040,094.76
2026-04-09-44,511.58
2026-04-083,303.88
2026-04-0730,226.51
2026-04-06-29,343.96
2026-04-053,668.52
2026-04-04-1,371.76
2026-04-03-6,132.45
2026-04-02952.61
Latest Ethereum Whale Activity
DateWhale TxEthereum Moved
2026-04-16168365,811.68
2026-04-153401,505,654.64
2026-04-144731,371,516.24
2026-04-134761,608,779.24
2026-04-12209534,957.34
2026-04-11190727,829.84
2026-04-104111,782,756.00
2026-04-093651,327,599.58
2026-04-084151,418,543.28
2026-04-074201,574,623.51
2026-04-064131,460,421.46
2026-04-05135477,586.88
2026-04-0483297,021.12
2026-04-03232643,337.80
2026-04-024681,487,428.39