Skip to main content

Coin Direction Telegram Channel

BTC and ETH On-Chain Data Analysis – April 12, 2026

CoinDirection On-Chain Data Analysis

Daily Bitcoin and Ethereum on-chain analysis based on exchange flows, ETF net flows and whale activity.
Source: Dune
Updated: April 12, 2026 06:22 UTC

Market Overview

Bitcoin's latest exchange netflow remains negative, indicating ongoing outflows and accumulation, while ETF inflows surged significantly. Whale activity sharply declined, reducing immediate distribution risk. Persistent negative exchange netflows indicate sustained accumulation, complemented by a strong and growing ETF inflow trend. Whale activity remains subdued, suggesting limited distribution pressure over the medium term.

Daily On-Chain Analysis

Bitcoin Daily On-Chain Flow Analysis
Bias: bullish | Confidence: medium

Bitcoin's latest exchange netflow remains negative, indicating ongoing outflows and accumulation, while ETF inflows surged significantly. Whale activity sharply declined, reducing immediate distribution risk.

Key points
  • Exchange netflow slightly negative but less outflow than recent baseline
  • ETF net inflows increased over 390% vs recent average
  • Whale transaction count and volume dropped over 80%
  • Reduced whale activity may limit short-term volatility
  • ETF demand surge supports spot accumulation
Risks
  • Exchange outflow reduction could reverse if whales re-engage
  • ETF inflows might be front-running price moves
  • Low whale activity may reduce liquidity
  • Sudden exchange inflow spikes could increase sell pressure

Conclusion: Bitcoin shows signs of short-term accumulation supported by strong ETF demand and subdued whale activity, though the sharp drop in whale transactions warrants monitoring for potential shifts in market liquidity.

Bitcoin Medium-Term On-Chain Trends
Bias: bullish | Confidence: high

Persistent negative exchange netflows indicate sustained accumulation, complemented by a strong and growing ETF inflow trend. Whale activity remains subdued, suggesting limited distribution pressure over the medium term.

Key points
  • Exchange netflows consistently negative over 7 days
  • ETF inflows increased over 1000% compared to 7-day average
  • Whale activity down more than 80% in count and volume
  • Sustained outflows imply reduced immediate sell pressure
  • ETF demand likely supporting medium-term price stability
Risks
  • ETF inflows could slow or reverse, reducing demand
  • Whale inactivity might precede sudden repositioning
  • Exchange flows could shift with market sentiment changes
  • External macro factors may impact medium-term trends

Conclusion: Bitcoin's medium-term on-chain data supports a bullish accumulation regime driven by strong ETF demand and persistent exchange outflows, with low whale activity reducing distribution risk but requiring vigilance for sudden changes.

Ethereum Daily On-Chain Flow Analysis
Bias: bearish | Confidence: medium

Ethereum's exchange netflow flipped sharply positive, indicating increased inflows and potential sell pressure, while ETF flows turned negative. Whale activity dropped significantly, adding uncertainty to short-term positioning.

Key points
  • Exchange netflow shifted from negative to strongly positive
  • ETF netflows turned negative, worsening demand signals
  • Whale transaction count and volume decreased over 80%
  • Rising exchange inflows suggest increased selling
  • ETF outflows add to bearish short-term pressure
Risks
  • Whale inactivity may mask accumulation or distribution
  • Exchange inflows could be temporary or reactive
  • ETF outflows might reverse with market shifts
  • Volatility could increase with conflicting signals

Conclusion: Ethereum faces short-term bearish pressure from rising exchange inflows and negative ETF flows, compounded by reduced whale activity, which introduces uncertainty around the sustainability of current selling dynamics.

Ethereum Medium-Term On-Chain Trends
Bias: bearish | Confidence: high

Ethereum's medium-term trend shows persistent exchange inflows and negative ETF flows, signaling sustained sell pressure and weakening demand. Whale activity remains low, limiting signs of strong accumulation or repositioning.

Key points
  • Exchange netflows persistently positive over 7 days
  • ETF netflows consistently negative, deepening demand weakness
  • Whale activity remains significantly below average
  • Sustained inflows imply ongoing distribution
  • Lack of whale accumulation reduces bullish counterbalance
Risks
  • Potential for sudden whale re-entry altering flows
  • ETF flows could improve if market sentiment shifts
  • External catalysts might disrupt current trends
  • Exchange inflows may fluctuate with price volatility

Conclusion: Ethereum's medium-term on-chain data indicates a bearish regime with sustained exchange inflows and negative ETF demand, while low whale activity suggests limited accumulation, reinforcing downside risk absent a shift in key flow dynamics.

Bitcoin

Bitcoin Exchange Net Flow
-0.00000089
Bitcoin ETF Net Flow
3,258.20
Bitcoin Whale Tx
95
Bitcoin Moved by Whales
69.99K

Bitcoin Exchange Flows

Bitcoin ETF Net Flow

Bitcoin Whale Activity

Bitcoin Summary Tables

Latest Bitcoin Exchange Flows
DateBitcoin InflowBitcoin OutflowBitcoin Net Flow
2026-04-120.000106850.00010774-0.00000089
2026-04-110.000928630.00093869-0.00001005
2026-04-100.000889880.00090390-0.00001402
2026-04-090.001061110.00109526-0.00003414
2026-04-080.000965840.000961740.00000409
2026-04-070.001156230.001154530.00000170
2026-04-060.000831140.00085602-0.00002488
2026-04-050.000439340.000433970.00000537
2026-04-040.000480160.00048904-0.00000888
2026-04-030.000784600.000776270.00000832
2026-04-020.000780060.000771750.00000831
2026-04-010.000630010.000616510.00001350
2026-03-310.000868060.000866080.00000198
2026-03-300.000925220.000894860.00003036
2026-03-290.000663310.000649980.00001333
Latest Bitcoin ETF Net Flows
DateBitcoin ETF Net Flow
2026-04-103,258.20
2026-04-09-609.19
2026-04-08-1,521.46
2026-04-074,111.79
2026-04-06-17.09
2026-04-040.00
2026-04-02-1,166.21
2026-04-011,243.75
2026-03-31127.33
2026-03-30-3,427.66
2026-03-27-1,985.82
2026-03-26-867.35
2026-03-25-538.98
2026-03-241,355.41
2026-03-23-418.61
Latest Bitcoin Whale Activity
DateWhale TxBitcoin Moved
2026-04-129569,994.80
2026-04-11649441,115.95
2026-04-10927526,432.24
2026-04-09945456,264.78
2026-04-08876471,884.02
2026-04-071,024570,930.73
2026-04-06791350,121.05
2026-04-05358262,284.88
2026-04-04380229,942.36
2026-04-03672395,015.34
2026-04-02939590,131.90
2026-04-01752383,388.35
2026-03-31837484,882.72
2026-03-30957534,290.44
2026-03-29407249,286.21

Ethereum

Ethereum Exchange Net Flow
10,721.70
Ethereum ETF Net Flow
-4,232.71
Ethereum Whale Tx
58
Ethereum Moved by Whales
173.97K

Ethereum Exchange Flows

Ethereum ETF Net Flow

Ethereum Whale Activity

Ethereum Summary Tables

Latest Ethereum Exchange Flows
DateEthereum InflowEthereum OutflowEthereum Net Flow
2026-04-1256,004.9645,283.2610,721.70
2026-04-11120,976.84125,134.77-4,157.92
2026-04-10520,058.03571,455.84-51,397.81
2026-04-09305,083.32353,946.52-48,863.20
2026-04-08423,389.96430,416.63-7,026.67
2026-04-07487,919.59483,786.474,133.13
2026-04-06390,213.11523,940.06-133,726.95
2026-04-05108,040.87110,055.58-2,014.71
2026-04-0476,072.68122,200.89-46,128.21
2026-04-03135,038.67185,758.47-50,719.80
2026-04-02388,776.11387,535.861,240.25
2026-04-01447,796.86621,095.93-173,299.06
2026-03-31627,270.21700,439.59-73,169.38
2026-03-30524,892.82532,686.99-7,794.17
2026-03-2999,690.98107,487.04-7,796.06
Latest Ethereum ETF Net Flows
DateEthereum ETF Net Flow
2026-04-12-4,232.71
2026-04-11-420.13
2026-04-1040,094.76
2026-04-09-44,511.58
2026-04-083,303.88
2026-04-0730,226.51
2026-04-06-29,343.96
2026-04-053,668.52
2026-04-04-1,371.76
2026-04-03-6,132.45
2026-04-02952.61
2026-04-011,432.97
2026-03-31-9,442.91
2026-03-30-40,139.92
2026-03-29-54.06
Latest Ethereum Whale Activity
DateWhale TxEthereum Moved
2026-04-1258173,970.26
2026-04-11190727,829.84
2026-04-104111,782,756.00
2026-04-093651,327,599.58
2026-04-084151,418,543.28
2026-04-074201,574,623.51
2026-04-064131,460,421.46
2026-04-05135477,586.88
2026-04-0483297,021.12
2026-04-03232643,337.80
2026-04-024681,487,428.39
2026-04-015601,860,088.66
2026-03-314841,867,010.25
2026-03-305771,958,980.06
2026-03-29105386,231.02