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BTC and ETH On-Chain Data Analysis – April 03, 2026

CoinDirection On-Chain Data Analysis

Daily Bitcoin and Ethereum on-chain analysis based on exchange flows, ETF net flows and whale activity.
Source: Dune
Updated: April 03, 2026 06:05 UTC

Market Overview

BTC exchange netflows have declined significantly from recent averages, indicating reduced sell pressure. However, ETF outflows have intensified, reflecting weaker spot demand today. Persistent negative ETF flows combined with sharply reduced whale activity indicate weakening demand over the medium term. Exchange flows have moderated but remain near neutral, offering limited support.

Daily On-Chain Analysis

Bitcoin Daily On-Chain Flow Analysis
Bias: neutral | Confidence: high

BTC exchange netflows have declined significantly from recent averages, indicating reduced sell pressure. However, ETF outflows have intensified, reflecting weaker spot demand today.

Key points
  • Exchange netflow dropped ~65% vs recent baseline, now near zero inflow
  • ETF net outflows increased by over 70%, signaling demand weakness
  • Whale transaction count and volume sharply lower, down ~85-90%
  • Reduced whale activity may limit directional conviction
  • Exchange flows suggest lower immediate sell pressure
Risks
  • ETF outflows may pressure spot price if sustained
  • Low whale activity reduces potential for strong accumulation
  • Sudden increase in exchange inflows could reverse current calm
  • Market sentiment may remain fragile given ETF demand drop

Conclusion: Bitcoin's daily on-chain data shows a reduction in exchange inflows suggesting less immediate sell pressure, but intensified ETF outflows and subdued whale activity point to weaker demand and limited bullish momentum in the short term.

Bitcoin Medium-Term On-Chain Trends
Bias: bearish | Confidence: medium

Persistent negative ETF flows combined with sharply reduced whale activity indicate weakening demand over the medium term. Exchange flows have moderated but remain near neutral, offering limited support.

Key points
  • ETF net outflows have nearly doubled compared to 7-day average
  • Whale activity drastically reduced, down over 85% in count and volume
  • Exchange netflows remain low, no strong accumulation signal
  • ETF outflows suggest sustained demand pressure
  • Whale inactivity may signal distribution or lack of conviction
Risks
  • Potential for sudden whale reactivation could shift dynamics
  • Exchange flows could turn positive, reducing bearish bias
  • ETF flows may stabilize or reverse unexpectedly
  • External macro factors could override on-chain signals

Conclusion: Over the medium term, Bitcoin faces bearish pressure from persistent ETF outflows and minimal whale activity, with exchange flows offering little counterbalance, suggesting subdued demand and potential for continued weakness.

Ethereum Daily On-Chain Flow Analysis
Bias: bullish | Confidence: medium

ETH exchange outflows have decreased sharply but remain negative, indicating ongoing accumulation. ETF inflows have turned positive today, signaling renewed demand, though whale activity remains very low.

Key points
  • Exchange netflow improved nearly 100% but still negative, showing accumulation
  • ETF net inflows shifted from negative to positive, a bullish demand signal
  • Whale transaction count and volume dropped over 90%, limiting impact
  • ETF inflows may support spot price in short term
  • Exchange outflows suggest continued reduced sell pressure
Risks
  • Low whale activity may limit strength of accumulation
  • Exchange outflows less pronounced than prior weeks
  • ETF inflows could be short-lived or reversed
  • Market volatility could disrupt current flow patterns

Conclusion: Ethereum's daily on-chain data points to improving demand with positive ETF inflows and continued exchange outflows, though subdued whale activity tempers confidence in a strong short-term bullish trend.

Ethereum Medium-Term On-Chain Trends
Bias: bullish | Confidence: medium

Sustained exchange outflows and a recent shift to positive ETF inflows suggest improving demand for ETH. However, persistent low whale activity indicates cautious positioning among large holders.

Key points
  • Exchange outflows remain consistently negative, supporting accumulation
  • ETF flows reversed from negative to positive, indicating demand recovery
  • Whale activity remains very low, down over 90% in count and volume
  • ETF inflows may drive medium-term price support
  • Exchange flows and ETF signals aligned bullishly
Risks
  • Whale inactivity may limit momentum or signal uncertainty
  • ETF inflows could fluctuate, reducing demand clarity
  • External factors could impact on-chain flow trends
  • Exchange outflows may diminish if sell pressure returns

Conclusion: Ethereum's medium-term on-chain trends show a bullish alignment between sustained exchange outflows and recovering ETF inflows, suggesting improving demand, though low whale activity introduces some caution regarding the strength of this trend.

Bitcoin

Bitcoin Exchange Net Flow
0.00000283
Bitcoin ETF Net Flow
-1,166.21
Bitcoin Whale Tx
83
Bitcoin Moved by Whales
61.85K

Bitcoin Exchange Flows

Bitcoin ETF Net Flow

Bitcoin Whale Activity

Bitcoin Summary Tables

Latest Bitcoin Exchange Flows
DateBitcoin InflowBitcoin OutflowBitcoin Net Flow
2026-04-030.000130980.000128150.00000283
2026-04-020.000780060.000771750.00000831
2026-04-010.000630010.000616510.00001350
2026-03-310.000868060.000866080.00000198
2026-03-300.000925220.000894860.00003036
2026-03-290.000663310.000649980.00001333
2026-03-280.000369410.00036973-0.00000032
2026-03-270.000795610.00080513-0.00000952
2026-03-260.000572910.000544450.00002846
2026-03-250.000463390.00052352-0.00006013
2026-03-240.000892740.000888060.00000468
2026-03-230.000535790.00054718-0.00001138
2026-03-220.000566310.00066358-0.00009727
2026-03-210.000329060.000328770.00000029
2026-03-200.000483430.000474980.00000845
Latest Bitcoin ETF Net Flows
DateBitcoin ETF Net Flow
2026-04-02-1,166.21
2026-04-011,243.75
2026-03-31127.33
2026-03-30-3,427.66
2026-03-27-1,985.82
2026-03-26-867.35
2026-03-25-538.98
2026-03-241,355.41
2026-03-23-418.61
2026-03-210.00
2026-03-20-913.86
2026-03-19-838.76
2026-03-182,298.09
2026-03-171,649.80
2026-03-162,045.77
Latest Bitcoin Whale Activity
DateWhale TxBitcoin Moved
2026-04-038361,850.04
2026-04-02939590,131.90
2026-04-01752383,388.35
2026-03-31837484,882.72
2026-03-30957534,290.44
2026-03-29407249,286.21
2026-03-28455256,817.40
2026-03-271,072524,401.81
2026-03-26826471,699.32
2026-03-25862419,927.31
2026-03-24864453,034.65
2026-03-23874404,865.30
2026-03-22496257,012.27
2026-03-21443179,599.12
2026-03-20831379,330.87

Ethereum

Ethereum Exchange Net Flow
-793.61
Ethereum ETF Net Flow
677.75
Ethereum Whale Tx
38
Ethereum Moved by Whales
96.45K

Ethereum Exchange Flows

Ethereum ETF Net Flow

Ethereum Whale Activity

Ethereum Summary Tables

Latest Ethereum Exchange Flows
DateEthereum InflowEthereum OutflowEthereum Net Flow
2026-04-0325,499.3726,292.98-793.61
2026-04-02388,776.11387,535.861,240.25
2026-04-01447,796.86621,095.93-173,299.06
2026-03-31627,270.21700,439.59-73,169.38
2026-03-30524,892.82532,686.99-7,794.17
2026-03-2999,690.98107,487.04-7,796.06
2026-03-28132,334.14210,064.48-77,730.34
2026-03-27750,172.51817,059.44-66,886.93
2026-03-26430,199.75422,650.447,549.31
2026-03-25408,284.61944,733.25-536,448.63
2026-03-24345,747.03374,906.15-29,159.11
2026-03-23428,298.48453,002.95-24,704.47
2026-03-22120,103.88953,948.51-833,844.63
2026-03-2187,507.6685,395.512,112.16
2026-03-20504,307.40525,288.45-20,981.05
Latest Ethereum ETF Net Flows
DateEthereum ETF Net Flow
2026-04-03677.75
2026-04-02952.61
2026-04-011,432.97
2026-03-31-9,442.91
2026-03-30-40,139.92
2026-03-29-54.06
2026-03-284,878.93
2026-03-27-78,017.59
2026-03-26-19,132.67
2026-03-25-8,815.48
2026-03-24-7,022.66
2026-03-23-11,383.60
2026-03-226,058.04
2026-03-21-1,699.88
2026-03-20-56,000.89
Latest Ethereum Whale Activity
DateWhale TxEthereum Moved
2026-04-033896,452.23
2026-04-024681,487,428.39
2026-04-015601,860,088.66
2026-03-314841,867,010.25
2026-03-305771,958,980.06
2026-03-29105386,231.02
2026-03-28163544,628.58
2026-03-277392,640,587.21
2026-03-265202,248,711.17
2026-03-253521,512,041.80
2026-03-243771,582,276.04
2026-03-235941,893,314.65
2026-03-222402,232,298.09
2026-03-21109410,398.62
2026-03-205852,120,355.04