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BTC and ETH On-Chain Data Analysis – April 02, 2026

CoinDirection On-Chain Data Analysis

Daily Bitcoin and Ethereum on-chain analysis based on exchange flows, ETF net flows and whale activity.
Source: Dune
Updated: April 02, 2026 06:06 UTC

Market Overview

Bitcoin's exchange inflows have dropped sharply compared to recent averages, reducing immediate sell pressure, while ETF inflows have surged from negative to strongly positive. Whale activity is significantly lower, suggesting less large-scale positioning today. Over the past week, Bitcoin's exchange inflows have consistently declined, signaling ongoing accumulation or reduced selling. ETF inflows have reversed from negative to strongly positive, supporting demand, though whale activity remains subdued.

Daily On-Chain Analysis

Bitcoin Daily On-Chain Flow Analysis
Bias: neutral | Confidence: medium

Bitcoin's exchange inflows have dropped sharply compared to recent averages, reducing immediate sell pressure, while ETF inflows have surged from negative to strongly positive. Whale activity is significantly lower, suggesting less large-scale positioning today.

Key points
  • Exchange netflow sharply decreased by over 90%, indicating reduced sell pressure
  • ETF netflow turned strongly positive after recent negative readings
  • Whale transaction count and volume dropped by over 85%
  • Daily signals show a shift from distribution to potential demand
  • Reduced whale activity tempers confidence in strong directional moves
Risks
  • ETF inflows may be short-lived and volatile
  • Low whale activity could imply lack of conviction
  • Sudden reversal in exchange flows could increase sell pressure
  • Market sentiment may not yet fully reflect on-chain changes

Conclusion: Bitcoin's short-term on-chain data suggests a reduction in immediate sell pressure and renewed ETF-driven demand, but subdued whale activity introduces uncertainty about the strength and sustainability of this shift.

Bitcoin Medium-Term On-Chain Trends
Bias: bullish | Confidence: medium

Over the past week, Bitcoin's exchange inflows have consistently declined, signaling ongoing accumulation or reduced selling. ETF inflows have reversed from negative to strongly positive, supporting demand, though whale activity remains subdued.

Key points
  • Persistent decline in exchange inflows over 7 days
  • Strong positive reversal in ETF netflows compared to prior week
  • Whale transaction counts and volumes remain significantly below average
  • Alignment of exchange and ETF flows suggests accumulation
  • Whale inactivity could limit momentum
Risks
  • Whale inactivity may reduce market conviction
  • ETF inflows could be reactive rather than trend-setting
  • Potential for renewed exchange inflows if sentiment shifts
  • External macro factors not reflected in on-chain data

Conclusion: Bitcoin's medium-term on-chain trends point to a bullish accumulation phase supported by ETF demand and declining exchange inflows, but muted whale participation tempers confidence in sustained upward momentum.

Ethereum Daily On-Chain Flow Analysis
Bias: bullish | Confidence: medium

Ethereum continues to show negative exchange netflows indicating accumulation, though these outflows have lessened compared to recent averages. ETF inflows have turned strongly positive, signaling increased demand, while whale activity has sharply decreased.

Key points
  • Exchange netflows remain negative but are rising towards zero
  • ETF netflows shifted from negative to strongly positive
  • Whale transaction count and volume dropped by over 75%
  • Daily data suggests ongoing accumulation with rising demand
  • Lower whale activity introduces some uncertainty
Risks
  • Reduced whale activity may limit price impact
  • Exchange outflows weakening could precede reversal
  • ETF inflows may be short-term or speculative
  • Market conditions could change rapidly

Conclusion: Ethereum's daily on-chain data indicates continued accumulation and improving demand dynamics, supported by ETF inflows, but the significant drop in whale activity suggests caution regarding the strength of this trend.

Ethereum Medium-Term On-Chain Trends
Bias: bullish | Confidence: medium

Ethereum has maintained negative exchange netflows over the past week, consistent with accumulation, while ETF inflows have shifted from negative to positive, indicating improving demand. Whale activity remains subdued, which may limit the trend's strength.

Key points
  • Sustained negative exchange netflows over 7 days
  • ETF netflows reversed from negative to positive over the week
  • Whale transaction counts and volumes remain well below average
  • Trend alignment suggests accumulation and demand improvement
  • Whale inactivity could constrain momentum
Risks
  • Low whale activity may reduce market conviction
  • ETF inflows might not sustain without broader participation
  • Exchange netflows could revert if selling resumes
  • External factors may impact on-chain trends

Conclusion: Ethereum's medium-term on-chain signals indicate a bullish accumulation phase supported by ETF demand and persistent exchange outflows, but subdued whale activity introduces uncertainty about the durability of this trend.

Bitcoin

Bitcoin Exchange Net Flow
0.00000096
Bitcoin ETF Net Flow
1,243.75
Bitcoin Whale Tx
101
Bitcoin Moved by Whales
38.32K

Bitcoin Exchange Flows

Bitcoin ETF Net Flow

Bitcoin Whale Activity

Bitcoin Summary Tables

Latest Bitcoin Exchange Flows
DateBitcoin InflowBitcoin OutflowBitcoin Net Flow
2026-04-020.000093840.000092880.00000096
2026-04-010.000630010.000616510.00001350
2026-03-310.000868060.000866080.00000198
2026-03-300.000925220.000894860.00003036
2026-03-290.000663310.000649980.00001333
2026-03-280.000369410.00036973-0.00000032
2026-03-270.000795610.00080513-0.00000952
2026-03-260.000572910.000544450.00002846
2026-03-250.000463390.00052352-0.00006013
2026-03-240.000892740.000888060.00000468
2026-03-230.000535790.00054718-0.00001138
2026-03-220.000566310.00066358-0.00009727
2026-03-210.000329060.000328770.00000029
2026-03-200.000483430.000474980.00000845
2026-03-190.000401090.000393330.00000776
Latest Bitcoin ETF Net Flows
DateBitcoin ETF Net Flow
2026-04-011,243.75
2026-03-31127.33
2026-03-30-3,427.66
2026-03-27-1,985.82
2026-03-26-867.35
2026-03-25-538.98
2026-03-241,355.41
2026-03-23-418.61
2026-03-210.00
2026-03-20-913.86
2026-03-19-838.76
2026-03-182,298.09
2026-03-171,649.80
2026-03-162,045.77
2026-03-150.00
Latest Bitcoin Whale Activity
DateWhale TxBitcoin Moved
2026-04-0210138,321.13
2026-04-01752383,388.35
2026-03-31837484,882.72
2026-03-30957534,290.44
2026-03-29407249,286.21
2026-03-28455256,817.40
2026-03-271,072524,401.81
2026-03-26826471,699.32
2026-03-25862419,927.31
2026-03-24864453,034.65
2026-03-23874404,865.30
2026-03-22496257,012.27
2026-03-21443179,599.12
2026-03-20831379,330.87
2026-03-19902362,086.48

Ethereum

Ethereum Exchange Net Flow
-13,882.35
Ethereum ETF Net Flow
1,973.63
Ethereum Whale Tx
103
Ethereum Moved by Whales
267.71K

Ethereum Exchange Flows

Ethereum ETF Net Flow

Ethereum Whale Activity

Ethereum Summary Tables

Latest Ethereum Exchange Flows
DateEthereum InflowEthereum OutflowEthereum Net Flow
2026-04-0263,104.4876,986.83-13,882.35
2026-04-01447,796.86621,095.93-173,299.06
2026-03-31627,270.21700,439.59-73,169.38
2026-03-30524,892.82532,686.99-7,794.17
2026-03-2999,690.98107,487.04-7,796.06
2026-03-28132,334.14210,064.48-77,730.34
2026-03-27750,172.51817,059.44-66,886.93
2026-03-26430,199.75422,650.447,549.31
2026-03-25408,284.61944,733.25-536,448.63
2026-03-24345,747.03374,906.15-29,159.11
2026-03-23428,298.48453,002.95-24,704.47
2026-03-22120,103.88953,948.51-833,844.63
2026-03-2187,507.6685,395.512,112.16
2026-03-20504,307.40525,288.45-20,981.05
2026-03-19490,150.97576,873.73-86,722.77
Latest Ethereum ETF Net Flows
DateEthereum ETF Net Flow
2026-04-021,973.63
2026-04-011,432.97
2026-03-31-9,442.91
2026-03-30-40,139.92
2026-03-29-54.06
2026-03-284,878.93
2026-03-27-78,017.59
2026-03-26-19,132.67
2026-03-25-8,815.48
2026-03-24-7,022.66
2026-03-23-11,383.60
2026-03-226,058.04
2026-03-21-1,699.88
2026-03-20-56,000.89
2026-03-19-13,352.58
Latest Ethereum Whale Activity
DateWhale TxEthereum Moved
2026-04-02103267,707.33
2026-04-015601,860,088.66
2026-03-314841,867,010.25
2026-03-305771,958,980.06
2026-03-29105386,231.02
2026-03-28163544,628.58
2026-03-277392,640,587.21
2026-03-265202,248,711.17
2026-03-253521,512,041.80
2026-03-243771,582,276.04
2026-03-235941,893,314.65
2026-03-222402,232,298.09
2026-03-21109410,398.62
2026-03-205852,120,355.04
2026-03-195531,942,562.02